[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Ahmed Chilmeran Grain Commentary
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Oct 31 15:51:00 EDT 2012
FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, October 31
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9996 up 0.0002
Chicago corn closed mixed.
DEC12 HI 7.57 3/4 DEC13 HI 6.42
LOW 7.41 3/4 LOW 6.33 3/4
CLOSE7.55 3/4 Up 14 CLOSE 6.36 1/2 Down 3/4
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj $/bu $/mt Cntrct Adj $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +MAR13+MAR13+MAR13
CK Low -0.75 6.81 268.00 -0.75 5.62 221.05
CK High -0.55 7.01 275.87 -0.70 5.67 223.02
CK Avg -0.69 -0.69 6.87 270.30 -0.72 -0.75 5.65 222.37
Essex Cty -0.75 6.81 268.00 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Mdsx Low -0.70 6.86 269.97 -0.75 5.62 221.05
Mdsx High -0.65 6.91 271.94 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Mdsx Avg -0.68 -0.67 6.88 270.95 -0.73 -0.76 5.64 222.04
Hensall -0.63 6.93 272.92 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Bruce -0.75 6.81 268.00 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Putnam -0.60 6.96 273.90 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Burford -0.60 6.96 273.90 -0.75 5.62 221.05
Port Perry -0.70 6.86 269.97 -0.75 5.62 221.05
Norfolk -0.60 6.96 273.90 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Palmerston -0.65 6.91 271.94 -0.75 5.62 221.05
Varna -0.60 6.96 273.90 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Trenton -0.65 6.91 271.94 -0.75 5.62 221.05
Winchester -0.30 7.26 285.72 -0.70 5.67 223.02
North Gower -0.50 7.06 277.84 -0.60 5.77 226.96
Huron FOB -0.65 6.91 271.94 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Kent FOB -0.70 6.86 269.97 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Lamb FOB -0.70 6.86 269.97 -0.70 5.67 223.02
Mdsx FOB -0.65 -0.45 -0.40 -0.35 6.91 271.94 -0.75 5.62 221.05
FOB SW Que -0.65 6.91 271.94 -0.60 5.77 226.96
Track -0.28 7.28 286.70N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aylmer-Eth -0.50 -0.35 -0.30 -0.30 7.06 277.84 N/A
Sarn-Eth -0.50 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20 7.06 277.84N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A*
London-Cas N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.55 5.82 228.93
Pt.Colb-Cas -0.15 -0.05 0.00 0.05 7.41 291.62 -0.50 5.87 230.89
Cardnl-Cas -0.10 -0.05 0.05 0.10 7.46 293.59 -0.50 5.87 230.89
W O Feed -0.16 -0.16 7.40 291.23
US Rep 0.10 0.10 7.66 301.46
Toledo El. 0.04 7.60 299.10 -0.43 5.93 233.55
TRANSFER
Sarnia N/A N/A
Pt. Stanley -0.70 6.86 269.97 -0.70 5.67223
Hamilton -0.45 7.11279 4/5 -0.50 5.87230 8/9
MID SD CRN -0.65 6.90 3/4
HI SD CRN -0.55 7.00 3/4
*Wet Bid
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9996 up 0.0002
Chicago soybeans closed moderately higher.
JAN13 HI 15.58 3/4 NOV13 HI 13.50
LOW 15.35 LOW 13.30 1/4
CLOSE15.48 3/4 Up 12 1/4 CLOSE 13.44 1/2 Up 13 1/2
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj. $/bu $/mt BasisAdj. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +JAN1+JAN1+MAR13
CK Low -1.02 14.47 531.59-1.05 12.40 455.44
CK High -1.00 14.49 532.32-1.00 12.45 457.28
CK Average -1.00 -1.0014.48 532.20-1.01-1.0912.43 456.85
Essex Cty -0.88 14.61 536.73-0.71 12.74 467.93
Mdsx Low -0.97 14.52 533.43-0.95 12.50 459.11
Mdsx High -0.95 14.54 534.16-0.92 12.53 460.21
Mdsx Average -0.96 -0.9614.53 533.79-0.94-1.0112.51 459.66
Hensall -0.98 14.51 533.24-0.93 12.52 460.03
Bruce -0.95 14.54 534.16-0.95 12.50 459.11
Putnam -1.10 14.39 528.65-1.00 12.45 457.28
Burford -0.97 14.52 533.43-0.92 12.53 460.21
Port Perry -1.00 14.49 532.32-0.95 12.50 459.11
Norfolk -0.97 14.52 533.43-0.97 12.48 458.38
Palmerston -1.07 14.42 529.75-0.95 12.50 459.11
Varna -1.02 14.47 531.59-0.90 12.55 460.95
Trenton -0.85 14.64 537.84-1.05 12.40 455.44
Winchester -0.65 14.84 545.18-0.95 12.50 459.11
North Gower -0.58 14.91 547.76-0.87 12.58 462.05
Huron FOB -1.00 14.49 532.32-0.85 12.60 462.79
Kent FOB -1.02 14.47 531.59-1.02 12.43 456.54
Lambton FOB -1.02 14.47 531.59-1.02 12.43 456.54
Middlesex FOB-0.66-0.56 N/A N/A 14.83 544.82-0.76 12.69 466.09
PROCESSORS
Hamilton -0.30-0.25-0.20-0.20 15.19 558.05-0.45 13.00 477.48
Windsor -0.65-0.37-0.33 N/A 14.84 545.18-0.48 12.97 476.38
Winchester N/A N/A
TRANSFER
Hamilton -0.30-0.20 N/A N/A 15.19 558.05-0.50 12.95 475.65
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A
Sarnia N/A N/A
Owen Sound N/A N/A
Sorel QC 0.15 15.64 574.58-0.15 13.30 488.51
Toledo El. -0.28 15.21 558.78-0.48 12.96 476.28
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9996 up 0.0002
Chicago wheat closed slightly higher.
DEC12 HI 8.75 JUL13 HI 8.79
LOW 8.58 1/4 LOW 8.66 1/4
CLOSE 8.64 1/2 Up 7 3/4 CLOSE 8.73 1/2 Up 5 1/4
Minni wheat closed slightly higher.
DEC12 HI 9.50 SEP13 HI 9.40
LOW 9.35 3/4 LOW 9.26 1/2
CLOSE 9.41 1/2 Up 6 3/4 CLOSE 9.34 1/2 Up 4 1/2
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 12 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis -0.60 -0.40 -0.95 -0.95
CAD $/bu 8.04 8.24 7.69 8.46
CAD $/tonne 295.54 302.89 282.69 310.97
Direct MarkHarvest 2012 Harvest 2013
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A N/A -1.20 N/A N/A -0.95 -1.25 N/A
London -0.90 -0.90 -1.25 N/A -0.90 -0.90 -1.25 N/A
Hensall -0.90 N/A -1.20 N/A -0.75 N/A -1.25 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.40 N/A
Winchester N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Essex N/A N/A -1.36 N/A N/A N/A -1.20 N/A
Norwich -0.90 N/A -1.20 N/A -0.75 N/A -1.25 N/A
Mt. Elgin N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kent Bridge -0.90 N/A -1.20 N/A -0.80 N/A -1.25 N/A
Chatham N/A -0.90 -1.20 N/A N/A -0.93 -1.25 N/A
Brigden N/A -0.90 -1.20 N/A N/A -0.93 -1.25 N/A
Palmerston N/A -0.82 -1.20 -0.90 N/A -0.69 -1.19 -1.09
Varna -0.80 -0.85 -1.20 N/A -0.75 -1.05 -1.20 N/A
Mitchell -0.90 -0.90 -1.20 N/A -0.75 -1.00 -1.25 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A -1.68 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A N/A N/A -0.94 N/A N/A N/A -0.86
TERMINAL
Sarnia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Hamilton N/A N/A -0.85 N/A N/A N/A -0.85 N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A N/A 0.00N/A 0.45N/A -0.15N/A
Toledo El. 8.39US 8.38CA 8.56US 8.61CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 13 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis -0.30 -0.15 -0.65 -0.85
CAD $/bu 8.43 8.59 8.08 8.50
CAD $/tonne 309.92 315.47 296.99 312.14
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat 360.00 - 365.00
Bayport Oats 340.00
Bayport Barley 345.00
FOB Hm Soymeal 570.13 - 578.94
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 240.00 - 265.00
Wednesday October 31, 2012
Commodity Period Price Weekly Movement - Thursday to Friday
Corn CBOT Dec 7.5525 ↑ 12.85 cents
Soybeans CBOT Nov 15.5100 ↓ 6.00 cents
Wheat CBOT Dec 8.6550 ↓ 9.50 cents
Wheat Minn. Dec 9.4250 ↓ 4.70 cents
Wheat Kansas Dec 9.0225 ↓ 14.50 cents
Canadian $ Dec 0.9988 ↓ 21.00 points
Merger and acquisition (M&A) news today came from Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan, which is in talks with the Israeli government about taking over Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL), a metals and fertilizer multinational. The strategic acquisition is highly contentious given that ICL is part of the Ofer Group, a large umbrella corporation heavily involved in the shipping and oil refinery business. Other major M&A news came from the federal government extending its review of the $15.1-billion bid by China’s CNOOC Ltd. for oil producer Nexen Inc. beyond next week’s deadline possibly for further investment analysis. The TSX opened higher on Wednesday finding support from energy and materials stocks. The NYSE had a mixed opening after a two day close due to hurricane Sandy. The loonie weakened versus the greenback, while bond prices rose after data showed the Canadian economy shrank by 0.1% in August. This news surfaced after Moody’s credit rating agency indicated it’s going to review major Canadian banks with likelihood for downgrade. This came amidst high unemployment statistics in the EU, indicating that unemployment is at a record high of 11.6% in September, according to Eurostat, the EU's statistics bureau.
Corn
Corn futures are up in Chicago. Futures are finding support from investors repositioning on technical buying at the end of the month. The grain complex is also lending support for the market. The USDA’s weekly crop progress report is scheduled to be released later on Wednesday with expectations that corn harvest will be at the mid 90% complete.
Soybeans
Soybean is up in Chicago with November soybeans following investors technical buying at the end of the month for better positioning. Prices are also finding support from heavy rains in South America. The rains appear to be hindering the soybean planting process in various regions. The USDA is scheduled to release its crop progress report later today with expectation of soybean harvest completion of nearly 90%.
WHEAT
Wheat is up in Chicago on month end fund buying & technical buying. Bullish trend in the grain complex is also lending support to the market. Although, recent drought in Eastern Europe may cut into wheat harvests in Ukraine, Russia and Kazakhstan by as much as 37% according to the USDA this year sending global stocks to a four year low, Ukraine Government says it has no intention of limiting exports.
Contract prices for October 31st 2012 at 3pm, are as follows:
SWW at $296.33 per tonne ($8.06 /bu), HRW at $303.68 per tonne ($8.26/bu.),
HRS at $311.78 per tonne ($8.49/bu.), and SRW at $283.45 per tonne ($7.71 /bu.).
--
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink
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