[Farmmarketnews] Thursday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Thu Jan 25 15:29:55 EST 2018
FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Thu, January 25
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.2374 up 0.0053
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.
MAR18 HI 3.58 DEC18 HI 3.90 3/4
LOW 3.54 1/2 LOW 3.87 1/2
CLOSE3.55 1/4 Down 1 1/4 CLOSE 3.88 1/2 Down 1
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt U.S. $/bu $/mt Cntrct U.S. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +MAR18+MAY18+MAY18
CK Low 0.55 4.10 161.51 0.55 4.44 174.60
CK High 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.65 4.54 178.54
CK Avg 0.57 -0.22 4.12 162.16 0.58 -0.27 4.46 175.58
Essex Cty 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.65 4.54 178.54
Mdsx Low 0.55 4.10 161.51 0.55 4.44 174.60
Mdsx High 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.55 4.44 174.60
Mdsx Avg 0.58 -0.22 4.13 162.49 0.55 -0.29 4.44 174.60
Hensall 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.55 4.44 174.60
Bruce 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.55 4.44 174.60
Putnam 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.55 4.44 174.60
Burford 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.55 4.44 174.60
Port Perry 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.60 4.49 176.57
Norfolk 0.55 4.10 161.51 0.55 4.44 174.60
Palmerston 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.65 4.54 178.54
Varna 0.60 4.15 163.48 0.55 4.44 174.60
Trenton 0.65 4.20 165.45 0.75 4.64 182.47
Winchester 0.90 4.45 175.29 0.86 4.75 186.80
North Gower 0.90 4.45 175.29 0.82 4.71 185.23
Huron FOB 0.75 4.30 169.38 0.60 4.49 176.57
Kent FOB 0.77 4.32 170.17 0.60 4.49 176.57
Lamb FOB 0.75 4.30 169.38 0.60 4.49 176.57
Mdsx FOB 0.60 0.60N/A N/A 4.15 163.48 0.60 4.49 176.57
FOB SW Que 1.45 5.00 196.94 1.05 4.94 194.28
Track 1.04 4.59 180.60N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth 0.87 1.00 0.98 1.04 4.42 174.11 0.80 4.69 184.44
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aylmer-Eth N/A 0.85 0.85 0.80 N/A
Sarn-Eth 0.95 0.95 0.95N/A 4.50 177.26N/A
Kawartha N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
London-Ing N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.90 4.79 188.38
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Cardnl-Ing N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.05 4.94 194.28
W O Feed 1.13 4.68 184.42
US Rep 1.11 4.66 183.55
Toledo El. -0.04 3.52 138.39 -0.25 3.64 143.22
MID SD CRN 0.57 1/2 4.12 3/4
HI SD CRN 0.60 4.15 1/4
*Wet Bid
Exchange rate was 1.2374 up 0.0053
Chicago soybeans closed narrowly mixed.
MAR18 HI 10.02 NOV18 HI 10.15
LOW 9.87 LOW 10.02 1/2
CLOSE9.92 1/4 Unchanged CLOSE 10.07 Down 1/2
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt U.S. $/bu $/mt BasisU.S. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +MAR1+MAR1+MAY18
CK Low 1.62 11.54 424.111.56 11.63 427.33
CK High 1.65 11.57 425.221.70 11.77 432.47
CK Average 1.65 -0.5711.57 425.031.62 -0.6011.69 429.47
Essex Cty 1.65 11.57 425.221.55 11.62 426.96
Mdsx Low 1.60 11.52 423.381.56 11.63 427.33
Mdsx High 1.62 11.54 424.111.65 11.72 430.64
Mdsx Average 1.61 -0.6011.53 423.751.61 -0.6211.68 428.98
Hensall 1.60 11.52 423.381.65 11.72 430.64
Bruce 1.60 11.52 423.381.65 11.72 430.64
Putnam 1.60 11.52 423.381.65 11.72 430.64
Burford 1.69 11.61 426.691.63 11.70 429.90
Port Perry 1.62 11.54 424.111.56 11.63 427.33
Norfolk 1.65 11.57 425.221.70 11.77 432.47
Palmerston 1.65 11.57 425.221.60 11.67 428.80
Varna 1.60 11.52 423.381.65 11.72 430.64
Trenton 1.60 11.52 423.381.65 11.72 430.64
Winchester 1.57 11.49 422.281.60 11.67 428.80
North Gower 1.63 11.55 424.481.76 11.83 434.68
Huron FOB 1.70 11.62 427.051.70 11.77 432.47
Kent FOB 1.80 11.72 430.731.65 11.72 430.64
Lambton FOB 1.90 11.82 434.401.70 11.77 432.47
Middlesex FOB1.73 1.73 1.79 1.74 11.65 428.161.67 11.74 431.37
TRANSFER
Hamilton N/A 2.05 12.12 445.33
Prescott 1.78 11.70 429.991.97 12.04 442.39
Toledo El. -0.24 9.69 355.95-0.37 9.70 356.40
Exchange rate was 1.2374 up 0.0053
Chicago wheat closed slightly higher.
MAR18 HI 4.38 3/4 JUL18 HI 4.63 1/2
LOW 4.29 1/2 LOW 4.54 3/4
CLOSE 4.34 1/2 Up 1 1/2 CLOSE 4.59 3/4 Up 1 1/2
Minni wheat closed steady to slightly higher.
MAR18 HI 6.16 SEP18 HI 6.30
LOW 6.07 3/4 LOW 6.25
CLOSE 6.10 1/4 Up 2 1/4 CLOSE 6.25 1/4 Unchanged
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 17 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 0.97 0.91 0.85 0.15
CAD $/bu 5.31 5.25 5.19 6.25
CAD $/tonne 195.28 193.01 190.73 229.72
Direct MarkHarvest 2017 Harvest 2018
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A N/A 0.80 N/A N/A N/A 0.70 N/A
London 0.78 1.08 0.71 N/A 0.89 0.64 0.64 N/A
Hensall 0.85 N/A 0.75 N/A 0.90 N/A 0.65 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.85 N/A
Bruce 0.85 0.80 0.75 0.10 0.90 0.65 0.65 0.25
Essex N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.49 N/A
Norwich 0.85 N/A 0.75 N/A 0.90 N/A 0.65 N/A
Port Hope N/A N/A 0.80 N/A N/A 0.70 0.70 N/A
Kent Bridge 0.85 N/A 0.75 N/A 0.90 N/A 0.65 N/A
Chatham N/A N/A 0.75 N/A N/A N/A 0.65 N/A
Brigden N/A N/A 0.75 N/A N/A N/A 0.65 N/A
Palmerston N/A 0.80 0.80 0.25 N/A 0.75 0.80 0.35
Varna 1.05 0.80 0.75 N/A 0.85 0.65 0.65 N/A
Mitchell 0.85 0.80 0.75 N/A 0.90 0.65 0.65 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A 0.25 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A 0.86 0.73 0.20 N/A 0.87 0.81 0.16
W O Feed 1.40
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A N/A 1.16 N/A N/A N/A 1.08 N/A
Toledo El. 4.25US 5.25CA 4.45US 5.49CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 18 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 0.96 0.83 0.77 0.11
CAD $/bu 5.55 5.43 5.37 6.36
CAD $/tonne 204.06 199.52 197.25 233.77
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal 472.24
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm 235.00 - 240.00
---
Ontario Grain Market Commentary for January 24, 2018
By Marty Hibbs, Grain Farmers of Ontario
Wednesday, January 24, 2018 Closing Prices
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT Mar 3.56 ↑ 03 cents
Soybeans CBOT Mar 9.92 ↑ 23 cents
Wheat CBOT Mar 4.33 ↑ 13 cents
Wheat Minn. Mar 6.08 ↓ 04 cents
Wheat Kansas Mar 4.33 ↑ 05 cents
Chicago Oats Mar 2.75 ↑ 21 cents
Canadian $ Mar .8115 ↑ 1.50 points
Corn:
As we suggested last week, we are now pushing the envelope at the $3.55 level on the March contract. We closed the day at $3.56 but not quite enough to call it a break above support. Let’s see what tomorrow brings, but for now the charts are looking promising and as we mentioned last week we should be on our way to test the $3.60 level in the coming week. Support is still seen at the $3.40 level on the March contract, while overhead resistance is seen at $3.60.
Short term indicators are still negative, with the continuation chart looking more constructive for a spring rally.
The primary trend is still down.
Soybeans:
The soybean chart has given us two red buy signals, one on the weekly chart back before Christmas and this week we received one on the daily chart. Pressure is mounting for yet another challenge to the $10.25 level in February. The weekly chart shows a clear break of the down-trend line, although the momentum hasn’t transformed into a rally as of yet. Support is seen on the March charts at the $9.50 level while our overhead resistance level is still at the $10.25 level.
A close about the $10.50 top would catapult this contract at least a dollar higher in a short time frame.
Short term indicators are still neutral but the primary trend is still down.
Wheat:
The wheat had a good move on January 24 as the March contract moved higher by 11 ½ cents to close at $4.33 cents. Our resistance has been pegged at the $4.35 level and like the corn we are basically in that area. It will be interesting to see if we continue upward through the resistance levels on both contracts or if we pull back again before making a run at the resistance levels on both contracts. Last week we stuck our nose in the gap at $4.21 by just a penny, but that is enough technically to take out any stops.
Good support is seen around the $4 - $4.10 mark on the March futures chart. Overhead resistance is still viewed at $4.35 and again at $4.45. The wheat contract at this point is more of the follower than the leader but it is looking like the support is holding quite nicely.
Indicators are showing oversold conditions. Short term indicators are bullish, but the primary trend is still down.
Cash Grain prices as of the close, January 24, are as follows:
SWW @ $193.79MT ($5.27/bu), HRW @ $191.53/MT ($5.21/bu),
HRS @ $227.76/MT ($6.20bu), SRW @ $189.27/MT ($5.15/bu).
---
Blair Andrews
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500<callto:519-674-1500> x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530<callto:519-674-1530>
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This Farm Market News product is sponsored by:
Grain Farmers of Ontario
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