[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Jan 29 16:36:57 EST 2014


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, January 29
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.1148 up 0.0000
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.

      MAR14   HI 4.31  3/4                    DEC14    HI 4.50  3/4
             LOW 4.27                                 LOW 4.46
            CLOSE4.27  1/2  Down 4 1/2              CLOSE 4.46  3/4  Down 4

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAR14+MAY14+MAY14
CK Low      -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
CK High     -0.05                        4.23 166.33 -0.15         4.32 169.97
CK Avg      -0.08                  -0.58 4.19 165.02 -0.15 -0.67   4.32 169.97
Essex Cty    0.00                        4.28 168.30 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Mdsx Low    -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Mdsx High   -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Mdsx Avg    -0.10                  -0.60 4.18 164.36 -0.15 -0.67   4.32 169.97
Hensall     -0.11                        4.17 163.97 -0.17         4.30 169.38
Bruce       -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Putnam      -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.20         4.27 168.00
Burford     -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Port Perry  -0.15                        4.13 162.39 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Norfolk     -0.05                        4.23 166.33 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Palmerston  -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Varna       -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Trenton     -0.10                        4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Winchester  -0.05                        4.23 166.33 -0.08         4.39 172.73
North Gower -0.18                        4.10 161.21 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Huron FOB    0.00                        4.28 168.30 -0.20         4.27 168.00
Kent FOB    -0.05                        4.23 166.33 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Lamb FOB    -0.05                        4.23 166.33 -0.15         4.32 169.97
Mdsx FOB    -0.10 -0.10 -0.10 -0.05      4.18 164.36 -0.15         4.32 169.97
FOB SW Que   0.45                        4.73 186.02  0.12         4.59 180.60
Track        0.20                        4.48 176.17N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A   N/A    -0.10                   N/A
Sarn-Eth    -0.10 -0.10 -0.10N/A         4.18 164.36N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     N/A*
London-Ing  N/A  N/A     0.05  0.15                  -0.35         4.12 162.10
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A    0.15  0.10  0.20                  -0.30         4.17 164.07
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A     0.15  0.25                  -0.25         4.22 166.04
W O Feed     0.30                   0.17 4.58 180.11

US Rep       0.62                   0.49 4.90 192.71
Toledo El.  -0.15                        4.13 162.58 -0.40         4.07 160.04

TRANSFER
Sarnia      N/A                                     N/A
Pt. Stanley -0.08                        4.20 165.15N/A
Hamilton     0.16                        4.44174 3/5  0.04         4.51177 4/9

MID SD CRN  -0.07   1/2                  4.20
HI SD CRN   -0.05                        4.22 1/2
*Wet Bid


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.1148 up 0.0000
Chicago soybeans closed slightly to moderately lower.

       MAR14   HI 12.86               NOV14    HI 11.06
              LOW 12.66                       LOW 10.96  1/4
             CLOSE12.69  1/4  Down 16 1/4   CLOSE 10.97  3/4  Down 7 1/4

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +MAR1+MAR1+MAY14
CK Low       1.00                     13.69 503.110.45      11.43 419.89
CK High      1.10                     13.79 506.790.60      11.58 425.40
CK Average   1.06                -0.4313.75 505.320.51 -0.7811.49 422.15
Essex Cty    1.27                     13.96 513.030.73      11.71 430.18
Mdsx Low     1.09                     13.78 506.420.45      11.43 419.89
Mdsx High    1.10                     13.79 506.790.48      11.46 420.99
Mdsx Average 1.10                -0.3913.79 506.600.47 -0.8211.44 420.44
Hensall      1.13                     13.82 507.710.48      11.45 420.81
Bruce        1.10                     13.79 506.790.45      11.43 419.89
Putnam       0.95                     13.64 501.280.30      11.28 414.38
Burford      1.12                     13.81 507.520.51      11.49 422.09
Port Perry   1.09                     13.78 506.420.48      11.46 420.99
Norfolk      1.11                     13.80 507.160.50      11.48 421.73
Palmerston   1.15                     13.84 508.620.50      11.48 421.73
Varna        1.15                     13.84 508.620.50      11.48 421.73
Trenton      1.00                     13.69 503.110.50      11.48 421.73
Winchester   1.30                     13.99 514.140.85      11.83 434.59
North Gower  0.60                     13.29 488.420.60      11.58 425.40
Huron FOB    1.30                     13.99 514.140.60      11.58 425.40
Kent FOB     1.06                     13.75 505.320.50      11.48 421.73
Lambton FOB  1.06                     13.75 505.320.50      11.48 421.73
Middlesex FOB1.25 1.25 1.31  N/A      13.94 512.300.71      11.69 429.44

PROCESSORS
Hamilton     1.55 1.55 1.60  N/A      14.24 523.321.05      12.03 441.93
Windsor      1.50 1.42 1.35 1.35      14.19 521.490.96      11.94 438.63
Winchester    N/A                                  N/A

TRANSFER
Hamilton     1.52  N/A  N/A  N/A      14.21 522.221.11      12.09 444.14
Pt. Stanley   N/A                                  N/A
Sarnia        N/A                                  N/A
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC     1.85                     14.54 534.351.44      12.42 456.27

Toledo El.   0.08                     12.77 469.24-0.42     10.55 387.75


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.1148 up 0.0000
Chicago wheat closed moderately lower.
MAR14      HI         5.67              JUL14   HI      5.76  1/2
           LOW    5.50  1/2                     LOW     5.58  1/4
           CLOSE  5.51  1/2  Down 14 1/2        CLOSE   5.58  3/4  Down 17 3/4

Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
MAR14      HI     6.05  1/2             SEP14   HI      6.26  3/4
           LOW    5.96  3/4                     LOW     6.17  1/2
           CLOSE  5.98   Down 7                 CLOSE   6.18   Down 8 1/2

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 13   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 0.14          0.42           -0.02         -0.36
CAD $/bu              5.66          5.94            5.49          5.62
CAD $/tonne         207.94        218.20          201.78        206.50


Direct MarkHarvest 2013                 Harvest 2014
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     0.10   -0.20   N/A
London      -0.09   0.47   -0.04   N/A    0.15    0.09   -0.24   N/A
Hensall     0.40    N/A    0.15    N/A    0.15    N/A    -0.20   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.45   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Essex        N/A    N/A    0.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.14   N/A
Norwich     0.40    N/A    0.15    N/A    0.15    N/A    -0.20   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge 0.40    N/A    0.15    N/A    0.15    N/A    -0.20   N/A
Chatham      N/A    0.40   0.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.20   N/A
Brigden      N/A    0.40   0.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.20   N/A
Palmerston   N/A    0.60   -0.01  0.35    N/A     0.13   -0.28  0.00
Varna       0.15    0.40   -0.05   N/A    0.05    0.10   -0.25   N/A
Mitchell    0.40    0.55   0.15    N/A    0.15    0.15   -0.20   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.23   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.50   N/A     N/A     N/A   -0.64

TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    0.53    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.10    N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM     1.32N/A        0.70N/A        1.33N/A        0.77N/A

Toledo El. 5.43US         6.06CA        5.46US          6.10CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 14        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.01          0.26           -0.18         -0.28
CAD $/bu              5.57          5.85            5.41          5.90
CAD $/tonne         204.76        215.02          198.60        216.77

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             290.00
Bayport Oats              310.00
Bayport Barley            270.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            590.08 - 607.71
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm       280.00



Wednesday January 29, 2014			
Commodity	Period	Price	Weekly Movement	 	 
 	 	 	 	 	 
Corn CBOT	March	4.27 ½   	↑	1 ¼	cents
Soybeans CBOT	March	12.69 ¼  	↓	10 ¼	cents
Wheat CBOT	March	5.51 ½ 	↓	10	cents
Wheat Minn.	March	5.98	↓	18 ¾ 	cents
Wheat Kansas	March	6.08 ¾ 	↓	12 ½ 	cents
 	 	 			 
Canadian $	March	0.8945	↓	66	points

CORN:
US corn exports remain strong, continuing above the pace required to meet this year's USDA’s export estimate of 1.45 billion bushels. Inspections recently were reported to be 28.7 million bushels, well above trade estimates.

Ethanol production in the US averaged 900,000 barrels per day for the week ending January 24, down slightly from the previous week. Total ethanol production for the week was 6.300 million bushels. Stocks tallied in at 16.932 million barrels, down slightly from the previous week.

SOYBEANS:
Anticipation of a large South American soybean crop continues to pressure the market. It has been rumoured that China will eventually cancel contracts to buy US soybeans and instead buy less expensive Brazilian beans. The expectation that demand will shift to South America has pulled US prices down this past week.
 
According to Oil World, global oilseed production will be larger than previous estimates. This is partially due to improving prospects for Brazilian soybeans. They peg Brazil’s crop at 89.5 million tonnes while reducing Argentina’s to 54 million tonnes, on account of dry weather. It should be noted that Brazil has begun its soybean harvest and although it is early, initial indications are that yields are reported as good.

WHEAT:
Egypt once again is in the news with its recent GASC tender. Egypt bought 180,000 tonnes of Russian origin wheat and 60,000 tonnes of US origin wheat.  January purchases totalled 1.13m tonnes. Egypt had tightened its moisture requirement from 13.5 percent to 13.0 percent which effectively eliminated France from the tender.
 
US wheat areas remain cold and dry. If this current weather pattern remains, some are considering a lower wheat production level for next harvest.  As the crop remains dormant, we will not know the extent of damage until we get closer to spring. Even if the dryness persists, it is also spring moisture that is critical in determining winter wheat potential. 

2013 contract prices for January 29, at the market close, are as follows:
SWW at $207.77 per tonne ($5.65/bu.), SRW at $201.62 per tonne ($5.49 /bu.), HRW at $218.03 per tonne ($5.93 /bu.), and HRS at $206.33 per tonne ($5.62 /bu.)

-- 
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink 
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