[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Grain Farmers of Ontario Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Sep 25 16:11:29 EDT 2013


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, September 25
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0295 up 0.0000
Chicago corn closed slightly higher.

      DEC13   HI 4.56  3/4                    DEC13    HI 4.56  3/4
             LOW 4.48  1/4                            LOW 4.48  1/4
            CLOSE4.54  3/4  Up 6                    CLOSE 4.54  3/4  Up 6

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +DEC13+DEC13+MAR14
CK Low      -0.55                        4.00 157.37 -0.70         3.85 151.47
CK High     -0.40                        4.15 163.28 -0.70         3.85 151.47
CK Avg      -0.43                  -0.58 4.12 162.30 -0.70 -0.84   3.85 151.47
Essex Cty   -0.35                        4.20 165.25 -0.75         3.80 149.50
Mdsx Low    -0.40                        4.15 163.28 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Mdsx High   -0.40                        4.15 163.28 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Mdsx Avg    -0.40                  -0.55 4.15 163.28 -0.70 -0.84   3.85 151.47
Hensall     -0.25                        4.30 169.19 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Bruce       -0.40                        4.15 163.28 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Putnam      N/A                                      -0.70         3.85 151.47
Burford     -0.40                        4.15 163.28 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Port Perry  -0.60                        3.95 155.41 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Norfolk     -0.55                        4.00 157.37 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Palmerston  N/A                                      -0.70         3.85 151.47
Varna       N/A                                      -0.70         3.85 151.47
Trenton      0.20                        4.75 186.90 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Winchester  N/A                                      -0.35         4.20 165.25
North Gower N/A                                      -0.45         4.10 161.31
Huron FOB   -0.10                        4.45 175.09 -0.65         3.90 153.44
Kent FOB    -0.55                        4.00 157.37 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Lamb FOB    -0.55                        4.00 157.37 -0.70         3.85 151.47
Mdsx FOB    -0.40 -0.70 -0.70 -0.60      4.15 163.28 -0.70         3.85 151.47
FOB SW Que  N/A                                      -0.70         3.85 151.47
Track        0.25                        4.80 188.87N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A   -0.55 -0.55 -0.55                  -0.55         4.00 157.37
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A   -0.30 -0.35 -0.35                 N/A
Aylmer-Eth  -0.25 -0.55 -0.55 -0.55      4.30 169.19 -0.55         4.00 157.37
Sarn-Eth    N/A   -0.45 -0.45 -0.35                  -0.45         4.10 161.31
Cllngwd-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     N/A*
London-Ing  -0.20 -0.25 -0.35 -0.45      4.35 171.15 -0.25         4.30 169.19
Pt.Colb-Ing -0.25 -0.25 -0.40 -0.40      4.30 169.19 -0.25         4.30 169.19
Cardnl-Ing  -0.30 -0.30 -0.40 -0.40      4.25 167.22 -0.30         4.25 167.22
W O Feed     0.80                   0.77 5.35 210.52

US Rep       0.51                   0.48 5.06 199.10
Toledo El.  -0.03                        4.52 177.81 -0.31         4.24 166.85

TRANSFER
Sarnia      N/A                                     N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A                                      -0.70         3.85151 1/2
Hamilton    N/A                                      -0.58         3.97156 1/5

MID SD CRN                                           -0.70         3.84 3/4
HI SD CRN                                            -0.70         3.84 3/4
*Wet Bid


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0295 up 0.0000
Chicago soybeans closed mixed.

       NOV13   HI 13.28               NOV14    HI 11.86
              LOW 13.06  1/2                  LOW 11.72  1/2
             CLOSE13.21  3/4  Up 9 1/4      CLOSE 11.79   Down 2

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +NOV1+NOV1+JAN14
CK Low       -0.35                    12.87 472.80-0.50     11.29 414.84
CK High      -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.50     11.29 414.84
CK Average   -0.32               -0.7612.90 473.90-0.50-0.8611.29 414.84
Essex Cty    -0.13                    13.09 480.88-0.34     11.45 420.72
Mdsx Low     -0.35                    12.87 472.80-0.49     11.30 415.20
Mdsx High    -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.45     11.34 416.67
Mdsx Average -0.33               -0.7712.89 473.72-0.47-0.8311.32 415.94
Hensall      -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.45     11.34 416.67
Bruce        -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.40     11.39 418.51
Putnam       -0.15                    13.07 480.15 N/A
Burford      -0.32                    12.90 473.90-0.46     11.33 416.31
Port Perry   -0.35                    12.87 472.80-0.49     11.30 415.20
Norfolk      -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.45     11.34 416.67
Palmerston   -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.45     11.34 416.67
Varna        -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.45     11.34 416.67
Trenton      -0.40                    12.82 470.96-0.55     11.24 413.00
Winchester   0.10                     13.32 489.33-0.45     11.34 416.67
North Gower  0.08                     13.30 488.60 N/A
Huron FOB    -0.15                    13.07 480.15-0.35     11.44 420.35
Kent FOB     -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.50     11.29 414.84
Lambton FOB  -0.30                    12.92 474.64-0.50     11.29 414.84
Middlesex FOB0.07 0.07 0.07  N/A      13.29 488.23-0.49     11.30 415.20

PROCESSORS
Hamilton     0.20 0.20 0.20 0.25      13.42 493.01-0.10     11.69 429.53
Windsor      0.10 0.10 0.16 0.22      13.32 489.33-0.10     11.69 429.53
Winchester    N/A                                  N/A

TRANSFER
Hamilton     0.20  N/A  N/A  N/A      13.42 493.01 N/A
Pt. Stanley   N/A                                  N/A
Sarnia        N/A                                  N/A
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC     0.65                     13.87 509.54 N/A

Toledo El.   -0.39                    12.82 471.23-0.49     11.30 415.03


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0295 up 0.0000
Chicago wheat closed moderately higher.
DEC13      HI         6.75              JUL14   HI      6.80  1/4
           LOW    6.57  1/2                     LOW     6.66  3/4
           CLOSE  6.70  1/2  Up 12 1/4          CLOSE   6.77   Up 10 1/2

Minni wheat closed slightly to moderately higher.
DEC13      HI     7.24  1/2             SEP14   HI      7.42  3/4
           LOW    7.04  1/4                     LOW     7.29  1/2
           CLOSE  7.18  1/4  Up 13 1/4          CLOSE   7.40   Up 10

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 13   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.40         -0.29           -0.55         -0.69
CAD $/bu              6.31          6.41            6.15          6.49
CAD $/tonne         231.81        235.60          226.11        238.55


Direct MarkHarvest 2013                 Harvest 2014
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    -1.05   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
London      -1.03  -0.77   -0.98   N/A   -0.72   -0.92   -1.23   N/A
Hensall     -1.00   N/A    -0.95   N/A   -0.60    N/A    -1.00   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A    -1.20   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.60   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Essex        N/A    N/A    -0.83   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.27   N/A
Norwich     -0.75   N/A    -0.80   N/A   -0.60    N/A    -1.00   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge -0.65   N/A    -0.70   N/A   -0.60    N/A    -1.00   N/A
Chatham      N/A   -0.90   -0.80   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
Brigden      N/A   -0.90   -0.80   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
Palmerston   N/A   -0.50   -0.92  -0.69   N/A    -0.61   -1.02  -0.74
Varna       -0.90  -0.50   -0.90   N/A   -0.65   -0.65   -1.00   N/A
Mitchell    -1.00  -0.30   -0.95   N/A   -0.60   -0.65   -1.00   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.48   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.75   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A

TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    -0.42   N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM  N/A    N/A        0.07N/A    N/A     N/A        0.41N/A

Toledo El. 6.50US         6.71CA        6.54US          6.74CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 14        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.46         -0.36           -0.67         -0.75
CAD $/bu              6.31          6.41            6.10          6.65
CAD $/tonne         231.80        235.59          224.23        244.30

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             290.00 - 300.00
Bayport Oats              290.00
Bayport Barley            270.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            535.29 - 563.95
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      290.00 - 295.00

------------------------------------------------

Wednesday September 25, 2013			
Commodity	Period	Price 	Weekly Movement
Corn CBOT	Dec. 	4.54 ¾ 	↓	1 ½ 	cents
Soybeans CBOT	Nov.	 13.21 ¾ 	↓	26	cents
Wheat CBOT	Dec.	6.70 ½ 	↑	24	cents
Wheat Minn.	Dec.	7.18 ¼ 	↑	18	cents
Wheat Kansas	Dec.	7.18 ¼	↑	 25 ¾ 	cents
 	 				 
Canadian $	Dec.	0.9678	↓	93	points


CORN: 

Harvest in the US is still in the very early stages. Progress is slow with only seven percent of the harvest completed this week. Overall, the crop condition ratings did see some improvement. This week, the very poor to poor rating decreased two percent to 16 percent and the good to excellent rating improved two percent to 55 percent. 

Although the range is narrow this week, the December corn futures downward trend has continued. There are talks that the long-term forecast is calling for some freezing temperatures in October. Should these conditions arise, they could potentially affect the crop development in its later stages. Weather is the key factor to keep an eye on as the crop maturity peaks. 


SOYBEANS: 

The USDA Crop Progress Report is now monitoring the progress of the soybean harvest. The report indicates three percent is completed so far. The condition ratings did see a minor improvement in the very poor to poor rating. This week the number was reported at 17 percent which is down one percent from last week. The good to excellent rating held steady at 50 percent. 

As harvest is still in the early stages on both sides of the border, making any conclusive statements on yields would be misleading. November futures began climbing on Thursday, September 19 but it was short-lived and they have since fallen to the $13.00 per bushel trading range.   








WHEAT: 

The US Spring wheat harvest is on par with the five-year trend at 93 percent completed this week. Winter wheat planting is one percent behind its five-year average to come in at 23 percent this week. 

Both winter and spring December wheat futures saw slight jumps Thursday, September 19 then fell back a bit again at the end of the week. The uptrends on both of the markets regained momentum this week to work to a high on Wednesday, September 25. 

The shift in the wheat markets is being pushed by discussions of tight stocks in China. With significant crop losses that resulted from poor weather in May and June, it is expected that China will be looking to make purchases to help offset these losses. 



2013 Harvest contract prices for September 25, 2013 at close are as follows:
SWW at $231.79 per tonne ($6.31/bu.), SRW at $226.10 per tonne ($6.15 /bu.), HRW at $235.59 per tonne ($6.41/bu.), and HRS at $238.53 per tonne ($6.49/bu.)



-- 
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink 
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