[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Ahmed Chilmeran Grain Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Jan 9 16:06:09 EST 2013


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, January 9
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9868 down 0.0005
Chicago corn closed slightly higher.

      MAR13   HI 6.96                         DEC13    HI 5.83
             LOW 6.86  1/2                            LOW 5.74  1/2
            CLOSE6.94  1/4  Up 5 1/2                CLOSE 5.81  3/4  Up 4

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAR13+MAR13+MAY13
CK Low      -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.76         5.06 199.10
CK High     -0.57                        6.37 250.87 -0.70         5.12 201.47
CK Avg      -0.60                  -0.52 6.35 249.89 -0.74 -0.69   5.07 199.76
Essex Cty   -0.65                        6.29 247.72 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Mdsx Low    -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Mdsx High   -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Mdsx Avg    -0.60                  -0.52 6.34 249.69 -0.75 -0.70   5.07 199.50
Hensall     -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.73         5.09 200.48
Bruce       -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Putnam      -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Burford     -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Port Perry  -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Norfolk     -0.57                        6.37 250.87 -0.76         5.06 199.10
Palmerston  -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.70         5.12 201.47
Varna       -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.70         5.12 201.47
Trenton     -0.60                        6.34 249.69 -0.70         5.12 201.47
Winchester  -0.25                        6.69 263.47 -0.60         5.22 205.40
North Gower -0.61                        6.33 249.30 -0.75         5.07 199.50
Huron FOB   -0.45                        6.49 255.60 -0.70         5.12 201.47
Kent FOB    -0.57                        6.37 250.87 -0.76         5.06 199.10
Lamb FOB    -0.57                        6.37 250.87 -0.76         5.06 199.10
Mdsx FOB    -0.60 -0.55 -0.55N/A         6.34 249.69 -0.70         5.12 201.47
FOB SW Que  -0.50                        6.44 253.63 -0.50         5.32 209.34
Track       -0.20                        6.74 265.44N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A    -0.35 -0.30                   N/A
Sarn-Eth    -0.30 -0.30 -0.30 -0.20      6.64 261.50N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     N/A*
London-Cas   0.00N/A   N/A   N/A         6.94 273.31 -0.55         5.27 207.37
Pt.Colb-Cas N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.50         5.32 209.34
Cardnl-Cas  N/A  N/A     0.10  0.15                  -0.45         5.37 211.31
W O Feed    -0.18                  -0.17 6.76 266.23

US Rep       0.45                   0.46 7.39 291.03
Toledo El.   0.09                        7.03 276.82 -0.28         5.54 218.10

TRANSFER
Sarnia      N/A                                     N/A
Pt. Stanley -0.58                        6.36 250.48N/A
Hamilton    -0.53                        6.41252 4/9 -0.57         5.25206 3/5

MID SD CRN  -0.58   1/2                  6.35 3/4
HI SD CRN   -0.57 1                      6.37 1/4
*Wet Bid


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9868 down 0.0005
Chicago soybeans closed narrowly mixed.

       MAR13   HI 13.93               NOV13    HI 12.90
              LOW 13.80  1/4                  LOW 12.78  3/4
             CLOSE13.85  1/2  Down 1        CLOSE 12.89   Up 3 1/4

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +MAR1+MAR1+MAY13
CK Low       -0.90                    12.96 476.01-1.00     11.89 436.88
CK High      -0.80                    13.06 479.69-0.94     11.95 439.09
CK Average   -0.85               -0.7013.00 477.79-0.97-0.8511.93 438.17
Essex Cty    -0.64                    13.22 485.57-0.90     11.99 440.56
Mdsx Low     -0.85                    13.01 477.85-0.95     11.94 438.72
Mdsx High    -0.78                    13.08 480.42-0.93     11.96 439.45
Mdsx Average -0.82               -0.6613.04 479.14-0.94-0.8311.95 439.09
Hensall      -0.83                    13.03 478.77-0.98     11.92 437.80
Bruce        -0.85                    13.01 477.85-0.95     11.94 438.72
Putnam       -0.80                    13.06 479.69-1.00     11.89 436.88
Burford      -0.78                    13.08 480.42-0.93     11.96 439.45
Port Perry   -0.81                    13.05 479.32-0.96     11.93 438.35
Norfolk      -0.75                    13.11 481.53-0.90     11.99 440.56
Palmerston   -0.80                    13.06 479.69-0.90     11.99 440.56
Varna        -0.80                    13.06 479.69-1.00     11.89 436.88
Trenton      -0.65                    13.21 485.20-0.90     11.99 440.56
Winchester   -0.57                    13.29 488.14-0.85     12.04 442.39
North Gower  -0.87                    12.99 477.12-0.88     12.01 441.29
Huron FOB    -0.65                    13.21 485.20-0.95     11.94 438.72
Kent FOB     -0.81                    13.05 479.32-0.95     11.94 438.72
Lambton FOB  -0.81                    13.05 479.32-0.96     11.93 438.35
Middlesex FOB-0.69-0.58-0.58 N/A      13.17 483.73-0.77     12.12 445.33

PROCESSORS
Hamilton     -0.35-0.30-0.30-0.20     13.51 496.22-0.50     12.39 455.25
Windsor      -0.42-0.36-0.35 N/A      13.44 493.65-0.67     12.22 449.01
Winchester    N/A                                  N/A

TRANSFER
Hamilton     -0.38 N/A  N/A  N/A      13.48 495.120.38      13.27 487.59
Pt. Stanley   N/A                                  N/A
Sarnia        N/A                                  N/A
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC     0.02                     13.88 509.82-0.18     12.71 467.01

Toledo El.   0.07                     13.92 511.63-0.33     12.56 461.61


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9868 down 0.0005
Chicago wheat closed slightly lower.
MAR13      HI         7.57              JUL13   HI      7.72  1/2
           LOW        7.45                      LOW     7.60  3/4
           CLOSE  7.45  1/2  Down 5             CLOSE   7.61  1/2  Down 5 3/4

Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
MAR13      HI     8.48  1/2             SEP13   HI      8.66  1/4
           LOW        8.40                      LOW     8.58  1/2
           CLOSE  8.40  1/2  Down 4 3/4         CLOSE   8.59  1/4  Down 3 1/2

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 12   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.68         -0.58           -0.82         -1.03
CAD $/bu              6.78          6.88            6.63          7.37
CAD $/tonne         249.09        252.72          243.64        270.89


Direct MarkHarvest 2012                 Harvest 2013
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    -1.05   N/A    N/A    -1.00   -1.20   N/A
London      -0.85  -0.90   -1.05   N/A   -0.90   -0.95   -1.20   N/A
Hensall     -0.80   N/A    -1.05   N/A   -0.75    N/A    -1.20   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.30   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A   -1.05
Essex        N/A    N/A    -1.17   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
Norwich     -0.80   N/A    -1.05   N/A   -0.75    N/A    -1.20   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge -0.90   N/A    -1.05   N/A   -0.80    N/A    -1.20   N/A
Chatham      N/A   -0.95   -1.04   N/A    N/A    -0.99   -1.19   N/A
Brigden      N/A   -0.95   -1.04   N/A    N/A    -0.99   -1.19   N/A
Palmerston   N/A   -0.69   -1.08  -0.82   N/A    -0.87   -1.26  -1.07
Varna       -0.80  -0.90   -1.05   N/A   -0.75   -1.10   -1.20   N/A
Mitchell    -0.80  -1.00   -1.05   N/A   -0.75   -1.00   -1.20   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   -1.92   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A   -1.04   N/A     N/A     N/A   -1.03

TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    -0.83   N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.83   N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM  N/A    N/A       -0.18N/A        0.33N/A       -0.26N/A

Toledo El. 7.20US         7.12CA        7.39US          7.32CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 13        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.56         -0.46           -1.01         -1.02
CAD $/bu              7.05          7.15            6.61          7.58
CAD $/tonne         259.18        262.82          242.78        278.39

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             350.00 - 375.00
Bayport Oats              320.00
Bayport Barley            320.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            471.03 - 472.13
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 285.00 - 290.00

Friday January 9, 2013			
Commodity	Period	Price  	Weekly Movement - Wednesday to Friday	 	 
 	 	 	 	 	 
Corn CBOT	Mar	6.9500	↑	9.50	cents
Soybeans CBOT	Jan	14.1800	↑	36.00	cents
Wheat CBOT	Mar	7.4550	↑	0.25	cents
Wheat Minn.	Mar	8.4050	↓	0.25	cents
Wheat Kansas	Mar	8.0125	↓	10.00	cents
 	 	 	 	 	 
Canadian $	Dec	1.0190	↑	62.00	points

Financial markets made small advances after finding support from better than expected earnings from Alcoa Inc., the third largest aluminum producer in the world. The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) reported that December housing starts came down 1.7% from November. CMHC indicated the dip is due to fewer starts in rural areas of the country while urban starts remained stable. TransCanada announced plans to build a $CAD 5 billion natural gas pipeline from the North Montney gas-producing region in Western Canada to a Pacific Coast port. The news comes at a time when Canadian oil companies are scrambling to build new pipeline networks to feed new markets like China. Canada's biggest trading partner, the US, is ramping up its own production of oil and gas, leaving Canada with potentially lower export numbers.
Corn
Corn was up in Chicago following fears of a dry and warm winter ahead of spring planting. Crop experts fear another bout of the La Nina weather re-emerging. The USDA is expected to trim corn numbers in the upcoming crop report on Friday, including final estimates of the US corn harvests and stockpiles.
Soybeans
USDA soybean production estimates are expected to increase in the upcoming Friday crop report, having benefited from late rains in the growing season. Meanwhile, soybean shipments from Argentina, the world’s largest exporter, are halted due to a strike at the country’s grain ports. Workers are calling for  a wage increase.
WHEAT
Wheat was lower in Chicago following news from France indicating an increase in the stockpiles outlook by 17% from last month. France will have 2.29 million metric tons of soft wheat in storage, up from 1.96 metric tons. The US government declared majority of the southern Wheat Belt, including areas in Kansas, Colorado, Oklahoma and Texas, a natural disaster area due to the ongoing drought that’s impacting this year's winter wheat harvest.
Contract prices for January 9, 2013 3:30pm, are as follows:
SWW at $249.16 per tonne ($6.78/bu), HRW at $252.79 per tonne ($6.88/bu.),
HRS at $270.97 per tonne ($7.37/bu.), and SRW at $243.71 per tonne ($6.63/bu.).

-- 
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink 
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