[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Ahmed Chilmeran Grain Commentary
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Nov 14 15:42:18 EST 2012
FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, November 14
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0018 up 0.0002
Chicago corn closed mixed.
DEC12 HI 7.29 1/4 DEC13 HI 6.14 3/4
LOW 7.20 1/4 LOW 6.07
CLOSE7.25 3/4 Up 2 1/4 CLOSE 6.08 1/2 Down 2 3/4
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj $/bu $/mt Cntrct Adj $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +MAR13+MAR13+MAR13
CK Low -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.75 5.34 210.03
CK High -0.60 6.66 262.09 -0.70 5.39 212.00
CK Avg -0.73 -0.75 6.53 257.17 -0.72 -0.76 5.37 211.34
Essex Cty -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Mdsx Low -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.75 5.34 210.03
Mdsx High -0.65 6.61 260.13 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Mdsx Avg -0.70 -0.73 6.56 258.16 -0.73 -0.77 5.36 211.01
Hensall -0.68 6.58 259.14 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Bruce -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Putnam -0.65 6.61 260.13 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Burford -0.60 6.66 262.09 -0.75 5.34 210.03
Port Perry -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.75 5.34 210.03
Norfolk -0.65 6.61 260.13 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Palmerston -0.65 6.61 260.13 -0.75 5.34 210.03
Varna -0.65 6.61 260.13 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Trenton -0.60 6.66 262.09 -0.75 5.34 210.03
Winchester -0.25 7.01 275.87 -0.70 5.39 212.00
North Gower -0.25 7.01 275.87 -0.75 5.34 210.03
Huron FOB -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Kent FOB -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Lamb FOB -0.75 6.51 256.19 -0.70 5.39 212.00
Mdsx FOB -0.75 -0.45 -0.40 -0.35 6.51 256.19 -0.75 5.34 210.03
FOB SW Que -0.40 6.86 269.97 -0.35 5.74 225.78
Track -0.30 6.96 273.90N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aylmer-Eth -0.50 -0.35 -0.30 -0.30 6.76 266.03 N/A
Sarn-Eth -0.60 -0.20 -0.20 -0.20 6.66 262.09N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A*
London-Cas N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.55 5.54 217.90
Pt.Colb-Cas N/A N/A -0.15 -0.10 -0.50 5.59 219.87
Cardnl-Cas N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.45 5.64 221.84
W O Feed -0.24 -0.24 7.02 276.27
US Rep 0.50 0.50 7.76 305.40
Toledo El. 0.04 7.30 287.30 -0.28 5.80 228.45
TRANSFER
Sarnia N/A N/A
Pt. Stanley -0.65 6.61 260.13 -0.70 5.39212
Hamilton -0.45 6.81268 -0.50 5.59219 7/8
MID SD CRN -0.67 1/2 6.58 1/4
HI SD CRN -0.60 6.65 3/4
*Wet Bid
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0018 up 0.0002
Chicago soybeans closed mixed.
JAN13 HI 14.28 1/2 NOV13 HI 12.97
LOW 14.07 1/4 LOW 12.73
CLOSE14.19 Up 11 CLOSE 12.75 1/4 Down 6 3/4
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj. $/bu $/mt BasisAdj. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +JAN1+JAN1+MAR13
CK Low -0.87 13.32 489.43-1.00 11.75 431.83
CK High -0.80 13.39 492.00-0.85 11.90 437.34
CK Average -0.85 -0.9013.35 490.34-0.91-1.0011.84 435.20
Essex Cty -0.52 13.67 502.29-0.68 12.07 443.59
Mdsx Low -0.82 13.37 491.26-0.87 11.88 436.61
Mdsx High -0.80 13.39 492.00-0.85 11.90 437.34
Mdsx Average -0.81 -0.8713.38 491.63-0.86-0.9511.89 436.97
Hensall -0.80 13.39 492.00-0.85 11.90 437.34
Bruce -0.80 13.39 492.00-0.85 11.90 437.34
Putnam -0.85 13.34 490.16-0.90 11.85 435.50
Burford -0.82 13.37 491.26-0.87 11.88 436.61
Port Perry -0.85 13.34 490.16-0.90 11.85 435.50
Norfolk -0.82 13.37 491.26-0.85 11.90 437.34
Palmerston -0.85 13.34 490.16-0.90 11.85 435.50
Varna -0.85 13.34 490.16-0.85 11.90 437.34
Trenton -0.80 13.39 492.00-0.88 11.87 436.24
Winchester -0.66 13.53 497.14-0.88 11.87 436.24
North Gower -0.44 13.75 505.23-0.68 12.07 443.59
Huron FOB -0.80 13.39 492.00-0.80 11.95 439.18
Kent FOB -0.87 13.32 489.43-0.90 11.85 435.50
Lambton FOB -0.87 13.32 489.43-0.90 11.85 435.50
Middlesex FOB-0.46-0.46 N/A N/A 13.73 504.49-0.79 11.96 439.55
PROCESSORS
Hamilton -0.10-0.05-0.10-0.10 14.09 517.72-0.30 12.45 457.55
Windsor -0.29-0.29-0.24 N/A 13.90 510.74-0.45 12.30 452.04
Winchester N/A N/A
TRANSFER
Hamilton -0.05-0.05 N/A N/A 14.14 519.56-0.30 12.45 457.55
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A
Sarnia N/A N/A
Owen Sound N/A N/A
Sorel QC 0.20 14.39 528.74-0.12 12.63 464.16
Toledo El. -0.23 13.96 512.91-0.23 12.52 460.06
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0018 up 0.0002
Chicago wheat closed narrowly mixed.
DEC12 HI 8.58 JUL13 HI 8.62 3/4
LOW 8.45 1/4 LOW 8.53 3/4
CLOSE 8.48 3/4 Down 2 1/4 CLOSE 8.58 3/4 Up 2 3/4
Minni wheat closed slightly higher.
DEC12 HI 9.30 1/4 SEP13 HI 9.26 3/4
LOW 9.21 LOW 9.21
CLOSE 9.23 1/2 Up 1 1/4 CLOSE 9.23 Up 1 3/4
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 12 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis -0.57 -0.37 -0.92 -0.92
CAD $/bu 7.92 8.12 7.57 8.32
CAD $/tonne 291.01 298.39 278.10 305.67
Direct MarkHarvest 2012 Harvest 2013
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A N/A -1.10 N/A N/A -0.90 -1.25 N/A
London -0.90 -0.90 -1.20 N/A -0.90 -0.90 -1.25 N/A
Hensall -0.70 N/A -1.10 N/A -0.75 N/A -1.25 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -1.40 N/A
Winchester N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Essex N/A N/A -1.34 N/A N/A N/A -1.28 N/A
Norwich -0.70 N/A -1.20 N/A -0.75 N/A -1.25 N/A
Mt. Elgin N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kent Bridge -0.80 N/A -1.10 N/A -0.80 N/A -1.25 N/A
Chatham N/A -0.87 -1.10 N/A N/A -0.90 -1.25 N/A
Brigden N/A -0.87 -1.10 N/A N/A -0.90 -1.25 N/A
Palmerston N/A -0.81 -1.21 -0.91 N/A -0.80 -1.25 -1.10
Varna -0.70 -0.75 -1.10 N/A -0.75 -1.05 -1.20 N/A
Mitchell -0.80 -0.90 -1.10 N/A -0.75 -1.00 -1.25 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A -1.66 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A N/A N/A -0.93 N/A N/A N/A -0.89
TERMINAL
Sarnia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Hamilton N/A N/A -0.50 N/A N/A N/A -0.85 N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A N/A 0.03N/A 0.47N/A -0.14N/A
Toledo El. 8.26US 8.29CA 8.36US 8.42CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 13 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis -0.44 -0.34 -0.89 -0.89
CAD $/bu 8.15 8.25 7.69 8.34
CAD $/tonne 299.32 303.02 282.67 306.44
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat 365.00 - 370.00
Bayport Oats 335.00
Bayport Barley 310.00
FOB Hm Soymeal 521.40
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 220.00 - 250.00
Wednesday November 14, 2012
Commodity Period Price Weekly Movement - Wednesday to Friday
Corn CBOT Dec 7.2550 ↓ 17.00 cents
Soybeans CBOT Nov 14.3250 ↓ 104.50 cents
Wheat CBOT Dec 8.5000 ↓ 21.00 cents
Wheat Minn. Dec 9.2525 ↓ 23.75 cents
Wheat Kansas Dec 8.9200 ↓ 19.00 cents
Canadian $ Dec 0.9962 ↓ 65.00 points
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty delivered Canada’s update on the fall economic statement in New Brunswick yesterday amidst risks in the US and EU. The minister indicated that while Canada’s finances are relatively sound, they’re expecting a delay in balancing the budget given their forecast is short $36 billion in revenue over the next five years. Lower natural resource prices combined with a stronger Canadian dollar is putting pressure on revenue generating capacity. The US is of particular risk, given a ‘fiscal-cliff’ is in the horizon. If congress does nothing before year end, things can get significantly worst for the US and global economy. TransUnion, a credit reporting agency indicated that Canadian debt has grown significantly over the past two years. Average consumer non-mortgage debt jumped 4.6% year-over-year in the third quarter to an average of $26,768. The TSX fell heavily over national and global news as investor’s feared a lack of US government intervention in due time may rekindle another recession. The loonie was also trading lower on Wednesday over budget delays.
Corn
Corn futures were higher in Chicago following a sharp decline over the recent USDA’s Crop Production report. Cash bids are firm giving support to the futures market. Drought conditions in Europe, particularly in Ukraine and Russia may affect availability of wheat for feedstock; this in turn could play favourably for corn as a substitute. Dry weather conditions in Latin America should help facilitate planting progress.
Soybeans
Soybean futures rose the most in nearly three weeks finding support from increased demand for feedstock and cooking oil. US processors usage is up 8.8% from a year ago, while feedstock exports doubled from a year earlier according to the National Oilseed Processors Association. The USDA indicated 120,000 tons shipment to China and 40,000 tons of soybean oil to unknown destination.
WHEAT
Global wheat trade this month is projected to increase by 2.7 million tons to 138.8 million. Increased import projections from China, EU-27 and Egypt are helping maintain prices amid the global economic slowdown. The Weekly Winter Wheat Conditions report indicated that 36% of the crop was rated good/excellent compared to 39% last week and 50% last year. The 10 year average is 58%.
Contract prices for November 14th 2012 at 3pm, are as follows:
SWW at $291.38 per tonne ($7.93 /bu), HRW at $298.76 per tonne ($8.13/bu.),
HRS at $306.22 per tonne ($8.33/bu.), and SRW at $278.47 per tonne ($7.58 /bu.).
--
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink
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