[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Ahmed Chilmeran Grain Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Aug 1 16:03:20 EDT 2012


 FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, August 1
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0017 up 0.0003
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.
      SEP12   HI 8.18                         DEC12    HI 8.16  3/4
             LOW 7.82  1/4                            LOW 7.81  1/4
            CLOSE8.00  1/2  Down 6                  CLOSE 8.00  1/2  Down 4
3/4
            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +SEP12+DEC12+DEC12
CK Low      -0.30                        7.71 303.33 -0.65         7.36 289.55
CK High     -0.15                        7.86 309.24 -0.60         7.41 291.52
CK Avg      -0.20                  -0.24 7.81 307.27 -0.64 -0.70   7.36 289.88
Essex Cty   -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.65         7.36 289.55
Mdsx Low    -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.70         7.31 287.59
Mdsx High   -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.70         7.31 287.59
Mdsx Avg    -0.20                  -0.24 7.81 307.27 -0.70 -0.76   7.31 287.59
Hensall     -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.70         7.31 287.59
Bruce       -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.75         7.26 285.62
Putnam      -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.70         7.31 287.59
Burford     -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.65         7.36 289.55
Port Perry  -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.90         7.11 279.71
Norfolk     -0.15                        7.86 309.24 -0.65         7.36 289.55
Palmerston  -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.80         7.21 283.65
Varna       -0.20                        7.81 307.27 -0.70         7.31 287.59
Trenton      0.10                        8.11 319.08 -0.80         7.21 283.65
Winchester   0.25                        8.26 324.98 -0.60         7.41 291.52
North Gower  0.30                        8.31 326.95 -0.75         7.26 285.62
Huron FOB   -0.30                        7.71 303.33 -0.70         7.31 287.59
Kent FOB    -0.15                        7.86 309.24 -0.65         7.36 289.55
Lamb FOB    -0.15                        7.86 309.24 -0.65         7.36 289.55
Mdsx FOB     0.00N/A   N/A   N/A         8.01 315.14 -0.65         7.36 289.55
FOB SW Que   0.65                        8.66 340.73 -0.40         7.61 299.40
Track        0.20                        8.21 323.02N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.65         7.36 289.55
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.65         7.36 289.55
Aylmer-Eth  -0.30 -0.10 -0.75 -0.75      7.71 303.33 -0.75         7.26 285.62
Sarn-Eth    N/A  N/A    -0.55 -0.55                  -0.55         7.46 293.49
Cllngwd-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     N/A*
London-Cas  N/A  N/A    -0.35 -0.40                  -0.30         7.71 303.33
Pt.Colb-Cas N/A    0.70 -0.40 -0.35                  -0.30         7.71 303.33
Cardnl-Cas  N/A    0.65 -0.40 -0.35                  -0.30         7.71 303.33
W O Feed     0.30                   0.30 8.31 326.95
US Rep       0.75                   0.75 8.76 344.67
Toledo El.  N/A                                       0.07         8.08 317.92
TRANSFER
Sarnia      N/A                                     N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A                                     N/A
Hamilton    N/A                                      -0.63         7.38290 1/3
MID SD CRN                                           -0.62   1/2   7.38
HI SD CRN                                            -0.60         7.40 1/2
*Wet Bid

Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0017 up 0.0003
Chicago soybeans closed slightly to moderately lower.
       NOV12   HI 16.60               NOV12    HI 16.60
              LOW 15.95  3/4                  LOW 15.95  3/4
             CLOSE16.29   Down 12           CLOSE 16.29   Down 12
             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +NOV1+NOV1+NOV12
CK Low       -0.01                    16.28 598.19-0.75     15.54 571.00
CK High      0.30                     16.59 609.58-0.65     15.64 574.67
CK Average   0.15                0.06 16.44 604.01-0.72-0.8415.58 572.28
Essex Cty    0.26                     16.55 608.11-0.72     15.57 572.10
Mdsx Low     -0.05                    16.24 596.72-0.75     15.54 571.00
Mdsx High    0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.75     15.54 571.00
Mdsx Average 0.08                -0.0116.37 601.31-0.75-0.8715.54 571.00
Hensall      0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.73     15.57 571.92
Bruce        0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.75     15.54 571.00
Putnam       0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.75     15.54 571.00
Burford      0.00                     16.29 598.56-0.75     15.54 571.00
Port Perry   -0.03                    16.26 597.45-0.78     15.51 569.89
Norfolk      0.23                     16.52 607.01-0.70     15.59 572.83
Palmerston   0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.70     15.59 572.83
Varna         N/A                                 -0.55     15.74 578.35
Trenton      -0.23                    16.06 590.10-0.68     15.61 573.57
Winchester   -0.32                    15.97 586.80-0.65     15.64 574.67
North Gower  -0.29                    16.00 587.90-0.61     15.68 576.14
Huron FOB    0.30                     16.59 609.58-0.60     15.69 576.51
Kent FOB     0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.75     15.54 571.00
Lambton FOB  0.20                     16.49 605.90-0.75     15.54 571.00
Middlesex FOB0.16  N/A  N/A  N/A      16.45 604.43-0.59     15.70 576.88
PROCESSORS
Hamilton     0.55 0.35 -0.20-0.20     16.84 618.76-0.20     16.09 591.21
Windsor      0.49  N/A  N/A  N/A      16.78 616.56-0.54     15.75 578.71
Winchester    N/A                                  N/A
TRANSFER
Hamilton     0.35  N/A  N/A  N/A      16.64 611.42-0.15     16.14 593.04
Pt. Stanley   N/A                                  N/A
Sarnia        N/A                                  N/A
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC     0.00                     16.29 598.560.00      16.29 598.56
Toledo El.    N/A                                 -0.23     16.06 590.04

Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0017 up 0.0003
Chicago wheat closed mixed.
SEP12      HI         8.97              JUL13   HI      8.49  1/2
           LOW    8.61  3/4                     LOW        8.06
           CLOSE  8.79  1/2  Down 8 3/4         CLOSE   8.43  1/4  Up 13
Minni wheat closed moderately lower.
SEP12      HI     9.58  3/4             SEP13   HI         9.00
           LOW        9.26                      LOW        8.85
           CLOSE  9.38   Down 15 3/4            CLOSE   8.87   Down 13
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 12   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.21          0.05           -0.56         -0.55
CAD $/bu              8.59          8.84            8.24          8.83
CAD $/tonne         315.58        324.82          302.66        324.26

Direct MarkHarvest 2012                 Harvest 2013
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A   -0.45   -0.95   N/A    N/A    -0.45   -1.00   N/A
London      -0.45  -0.35   -0.96   N/A   -0.42   -0.42   -0.97   N/A
Hensall     -0.40   N/A    -0.90   N/A   -0.50    N/A    -0.95   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A    -1.00   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.00   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.98   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Essex        N/A    N/A    -0.96   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.11   N/A
Norwich     -0.50   N/A    -0.90   N/A   -0.50    N/A    -0.95   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge -0.40   N/A    -0.95   N/A   -0.50    N/A    -1.05   N/A
Chatham      N/A   -0.38   -0.98   N/A    N/A    -0.45   -1.07   N/A
Brigden      N/A   -0.38   -0.98   N/A    N/A    -0.45   -1.07   N/A
Palmerston   N/A   -0.48   -0.87  -0.98   N/A    -0.68   -1.08  -1.08
Varna       -0.50  -0.30   -0.90   N/A   -0.50   -0.40   -0.90   N/A
Mitchell    -0.50  -0.45   -0.90   N/A   -0.50   -0.55   -0.95   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.99   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    -0.80   N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.50   N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM     0.40    0.75   0.15N/A    N/A         0.67   0.16N/A
Toledo El. 8.75US         8.79CA        8.40US          8.47CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 13        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.24          0.06           -0.59         -0.79
CAD $/bu              8.19          8.50            7.84          8.08
CAD $/tonne         301.08        312.18          288.12        296.91
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             355.00
Bayport Oats              335.00
Bayport Barley            325.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            642.00 - 659.63
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 275.00 - 300.00


Wednesday August 2012 

Commodity
Period
Price  
Weekly Movement - Thursday to Friday
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 

Corn CBOT
Sep
8.0050
↑
6.25
cents

Soybeans CBOT
Aug
16.8225
↓
5.75
cents

Wheat CBOT
Sep
8.7950
↓
29.50
cents

Wheat Minn.
Sep
9.3675
↓
49.25
cents

Wheat Kansas
Sep
8.8400
↓
24.00
cents

 
 
 
 
 
 

Canadian $
Sep
0.9949
↑
18.00
points

 
The CWB signed a grain handling deal with Winnipeg based International
Richardson to accept deliveries from farmers with wheat board contracts at all
its locations in Western Canada. Federal legislation in the case of the CWB is
now effective, taking away the board’s monopoly reign over western wheat and
barley sales. Western farmers are now able to sell their grain to any party at
any time. Meanwhile in Ontario, provincial Liberals have reached out to the
federal government for financial assistance amid a strong grip of a drought that
encompasses Ontario. Ontario Agriculture Minister Ted McMeekin asked Ottawa to
accelerate tax relief for livestock producers in the regions which are the
driest. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada have also been approached to help with
reviewing support options for those producing livestock. Canada’s economy has
shifted into lower gears, with continuing rise in household debt and weaker job
market. The TSX was lower on Wednesday as mining shares slipped on weak global
manufacturing data. Investors are awaiting policy statements later this week
from the Federal Reserve and EU on the current state of the economy.
CORN 
Corn fell in Chicago while cash basis bids were mostly unchanged at processors
and elevators around the US Midwest, as farmers were reluctant to sell the
commodity according to various dealers. A softening export market is keeping the
crop bids at bay.A chance of rain was expected late this week in some regions of
the drought-stricken US Midwest, with hopes of relief to corn among other crops
according to agricultural meteorologists.
 
 
 SOYBEANS
Soybean fell in Chicago as chances of rain improve in the US Midwest. Spot bids
for August dipped nearly 4% as traders exited their positions before the
contract's expiry on Aug. 14. Volume however was relatively thin at about 8,000
contracts. Meteorologists expect increased chances for rain through the weekend
in the US Midwest.
WHEAT
Wheat fell in Chicago as chances of rain improve in the US Midwest. The price
rally in wheat and other commodities experienced three weeks ago is finding the
breaks, as more wheat surplus is turning out from Russia and other eastern
European producing countries. Meanwhile, prairie farmers are marking the first
day where they can sell their wheat to anyone at any time, as the federal
legislation is in full effect today.
Contract prices for August 1st, 2012 at 3:30pm, are as follows:
SWW at $315.20 per tonne ($8.58/bu.), HRW at $324.42 per tonne ($8.83 /bu.),
HRS at $323.87 per tonne ($8.81/bu.), and SRW at $302.29 per tonne
($8.23/bu.).

John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at ridgetownc.uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink 

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