[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Ahmed Chilmeran Grain Commentary
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Dec 7 15:58:10 EST 2011
FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, December 7
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0105 down 0.0012
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.
MAR12 HI 6.00 DEC12 HI 5.58 3/4
LOW 5.88 1/4 LOW 5.45 1/2
CLOSE5.92 3/4 Down 3 3/4 CLOSE 5.51 Down 5
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj $/bu $/mt Cntrct Adj $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +MAR12+MAR12+MAY12
CK Low -0.40 5.53 217.61 -0.55 4.96 195.27
CK High -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
CK Avg -0.36 -0.44 5.57 219.25 -0.51 -0.59 5.00 196.91
Essex Cty -0.40 5.53 217.61 -0.55 4.96 195.27
Mdsx Low -0.40 5.53 217.61 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Mdsx High -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Mdsx Avg -0.38 -0.45 5.55 218.59 -0.50 -0.58 5.01 197.23
Hensall -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Bruce -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Putnam -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Princeton -0.40 5.53 217.61 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Durham -0.45 5.48 215.64 -0.55 4.96 195.27
Norfolk -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Palmerston -0.40 5.53 217.61 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Varna -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Trenton -0.30 5.63 221.54 -0.55 4.96 195.27
Winchester -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
North Gower -0.36 5.57 219.18 -0.15 5.36 211.01
Huron FOB -0.15 5.78 227.45 -0.45 5.06 199.20
Kent FOB -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Lamb FOB -0.35 5.58 219.58 -0.50 5.01 197.23
Mdsx FOB -0.40 -0.35 -0.30N/A 5.53 217.61 -0.50 5.01 197.23
FOB SW Que 0.00 5.93 233.36 -0.10 5.41 212.98
Track 0.15 6.08 239.26N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.50 5.01 197.23
Jhnstwn-Eth -0.25 0.25 0.30 0.35 5.68 223.51 -0.25 5.26 207.08
Aylmer-Eth -0.05 0.05 0.10 0.05 5.88 231.39 N/A
Sarn-Eth 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.05 5.93 233.36N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.30* 5.21 205.11
London-Cas -0.05 -0.05 0.00 0.00 5.88 231.39 -0.30 5.21 205.11
Pt.Colb-Cas -0.05 0.10 0.15 0.15 5.88 231.39 -0.25 5.26 207.08
Cardnl-Cas -0.40 0.10 0.15 0.15 5.53 217.61 -0.25 5.26 207.08
W O Feed 0.18 0.17 6.11 240.44
US Rep 0.70 0.69 6.63 260.91
Toledo El. -0.06 5.87 230.96 -0.44 5.07 199.74
TRANSFER
Sarnia N/A N/A
Pt. Stanley -0.40 5.53 217.61N/A
Hamilton -0.15 5.78227 4/9 -0.30 5.21205 1/9
MID SD CRN -0.37 1/2 5.55 1/4
HI SD CRN -0.35 5.57 3/4
*Wet Bid
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0105 down 0.0012
Chicago soybeans closed slightly higher.
JAN12 HI 11.37 NOV12 HI 11.61 1/2
LOW 11.23 3/4 LOW 11.49 1/2
CLOSE11.31 Up 1 1/2 CLOSE 11.56 Up 1 1/2
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj. $/bu $/mt BasisAdj. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +MAR1+MAR1+MAY12
CK Low -0.68 10.63 390.59-0.87 10.69 392.79
CK High -0.60 10.71 393.53-0.75 10.81 397.20
CK Average -0.65 -0.8010.66 391.69-0.83-1.0010.73 394.32
Essex Cty -0.55 10.76 395.36-0.85 10.71 393.53
Mdsx Low -0.69 10.62 390.22-0.85 10.71 393.53
Mdsx High -0.65 10.66 391.69-0.84 10.72 393.89
Mdsx Average -0.67 -0.8210.64 390.95-0.85-1.0210.72 393.71
Hensall -0.68 10.64 390.77-0.85 10.71 393.53
Bruce -0.65 10.66 391.69-0.85 10.71 393.53
Putnam -0.65 10.66 391.69-0.85 10.71 393.53
Princeton -0.68 10.63 390.59-0.84 10.72 393.89
Durham -0.72 10.59 389.12-0.87 10.69 392.79
Norfolk -0.60 10.71 393.53-0.77 10.79 396.46
Palmerston -0.70 10.61 389.85-0.85 10.71 393.53
Varna -0.70 10.61 389.85-0.85 10.71 393.53
Trenton -0.70 10.61 389.85-0.90 10.66 391.69
Winchester -0.67 10.64 390.95-0.86 10.70 393.16
North Gower -0.28 11.03 405.28 N/A
Huron FOB -0.55 10.76 395.36-0.75 10.81 397.20
Kent FOB -0.65 10.66 391.69-0.83 10.73 394.26
Lambton FOB -0.65 10.66 391.69-0.83 10.73 394.26
Middlesex FOB-0.32-0.42-0.47-0.42 10.99 403.81-0.77 10.79 396.46
PROCESSORS
Hamilton 0.05 -0.20-0.25-0.25 11.36 417.41-0.35 11.21 411.90
Windsor -0.32-0.20-0.25-0.25 10.99 403.81-0.35 11.21 411.90
Winchester -0.55 10.76 395.36-0.65 10.91 400.87
TRANSFER
Hamilton 0.20 N/A N/A N/A 11.51 422.92-0.35 11.21 411.90
Pt. Stanley -0.35 10.96 402.71 N/A
Sarnia N/A N/A
Owen Sound N/A N/A
Sorel QC 0.50 11.81 433.940.05 11.61 426.59
Toledo El. -0.18 11.13 408.87-0.59 10.97 403.13
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0105 down 0.0012
Chicago wheat closed moderately lower.
MAR12 HI 6.15 3/4 JUL12 HI 6.49 3/4
LOW 5.98 3/4 LOW 6.34 3/4
CLOSE 6.00 1/2 Down 12 1/2 CLOSE 6.37 1/4 Down 10
Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
MAR12 HI 8.32 SEP12 HI 7.83 1/4
LOW 8.18 1/2 LOW 7.75
CLOSE 8.23 1/4 Down 8 3/4 CLOSE 7.78 1/2 Down 8 1/2
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 11 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis -0.12 0.74 0.13 -0.14
CAD $/bu 5.88 6.74 6.14 8.09
CAD $/tonne 216.17 247.83 225.48 297.26
Direct MarkHarvest 2011 Harvest 2012
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A 0.44 -0.15 N/A N/A 0.49 -0.25 N/A
London -0.23 0.58 -0.13 N/A N/A 0.43 -0.32 N/A
Hensall -0.10 N/A -0.15 N/A 0.00 N/A -0.25 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.70 N/A
Winchester N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.00
Essex N/A N/A -0.17 N/A N/A N/A -0.35 N/A
Norwich -0.10 N/A -0.15 N/A 0.00 N/A -0.25 N/A
Mt. Elgin N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kent Bridge -0.10 N/A -0.10 N/A 0.00 N/A -0.25 N/A
Chatham N/A 0.44 -0.08 N/A N/A 0.49 -0.32 N/A
Brigden N/A 0.44 -0.08 N/A N/A 0.49 -0.32 N/A
Palmerston N/A 0.60 -0.21 -0.29 N/A 0.50 -0.32 -0.19
Varna -0.15 0.70 -0.15 N/A 0.20 0.80 -0.25 N/A
Mitchell -0.10 0.60 -0.15 N/A 0.00 0.70 -0.25 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A -0.40 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
TERMINAL
Sarnia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Hamilton N/A N/A 0.20 N/A N/A N/A -0.50 N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A -0.25 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A 0.79 0.28N/A 0.20 1.01 0.30N/A
Toledo El. 5.83US 5.90CA 6.34US 6.44CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 12 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis -0.01 0.80 -0.21 0.17
CAD $/bu 6.36 7.18 6.16 7.95
CAD $/tonne 233.87 263.69 226.41 292.12
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat 290.00 - 295.00
Bayport Oats 315.00
Bayport Barley 285.00
FOB Hm Soymeal 341.94 - 344.15
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 170.00 - 185.00
Wednesday December 7, 2011
Commodity Period Price Weekly Movement - Wednesday to Friday
Corn CBOT Mar 5.9275 ↓ 7.25 cents
Soybeans CBOT Jan 11.3100 ↓ 9.00 cents
Wheat CBOT Mar 6.0050 ↓ 24.25 cents
Wheat Minn. Mar 8.2325 ↓ 17.75 cents
Wheat Kansas Mar 6.6125 ↓ 19.25 cents
Canadian $ Mar 0.9875 ↑ 60.00 points
Investors' punctured hopes of a euro-crisis solution continues, the euro slips
and share prices turn negative while the crowd favoured safe-haven German bonds
continue to soar. Canadian stocks fared better for the first time in three days,
led by financial and energy companies, after Italy’s cabinet approved a 30
billion euro package of austerity and growth measures. The measures came after
Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti presented his plan to raise taxes and cut
spending to Parliament earlier on Wednesday. According to a recent BMO report,
Canada would see economic growth of 2.3% this year, and a slow down next year to
2%. The same report indicated Ontario will see a 1.9% growth next year, while
western provinces will continue to fair better and will likely end 2011 on a
high note of economic growth. The loonie is expected to soften against its US
counterpart over the next months before recovering to current levels according
to a recent poll by Reuters.
CORN
Corn crept higher on Wednesday as buyers tentatively returned to the market
amid cautious optimism for European leaders would agree on bold measures to
resolve the region's debt crisis at a keenly awaited summit on Friday. Corn in
Chicago rebounded from a year low to rise 0.21%, while March contract edged down
in line with weakness by leading commodities such as crude oil. The latter’s
weakness continues to weigh on grains. The USDA report is expected to come on
Friday, with anticipation of corn supplies remaining tight.
SOYBEANS
Soybean futures for January delivery rose slightly in Chicago in response to
austerity and growth measures in Europe. Drier weather in Argentina in the next
15 days will reduce soil moisture in about a third of the soybean growing areas
according to the Commodity Weather Group LLC. Rains the following week in Brazil
may begin to ease dryness that’s affecting about 40% of the crops, according
to industry speculation.
WHEAT
March wheat shed early gains weighed down by increased wheat production in
Canada, a record wheat crop in Australia and much needed moisture moving across
the US winter wheat belt. Wheat being a price leader for global grains as it
signals a floor price for corn, will ease in the next two months in Chicago
before climbing on rising feed use and a slower pace of exports from the Black
Sea region according to the president of Global Commodity Analytics &
Consulting. Given the bearish nature of the current global markets and the
relative strength of the US dollar, this may in turn be a positive outlook for
the coming year for wheat.
Harvest contract prices for December 7, 2011 at market close, are as follows:
SWW at $216.01 per tonne ($5.88/bu.), SRW at $225.31 per tonne ($6.13/bu.),
HRW at $247.63 per tonne ($6.74 /bu.), and HRS at $297.03 per tonne ($8.08
/bu.).
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at ridgetownc.uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink
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