[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Mar 10 15:14:50 EST 2021


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, March 10
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.2629 down 0.0006
Chicago corn closed moderately lower to lower.

      MAY21   HI 5.45  3/4                    DEC21    HI 4.84  1/4
             LOW 5.31  1/4                            LOW 4.76  1/4
            CLOSE5.34   Down 11 3/4                 CLOSE 4.80  1/4  Down 4 1/2

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAY21+JUL21+JUL21
CK Low       1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.90         5.70 224.50
CK High      1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.97         5.77 227.25
CK Avg       1.40                   0.00 6.74 265.34  0.95 -0.25   5.75 226.27
Essex Cty    1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.97         5.77 227.25
Mdsx Low     1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Mdsx High    1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Mdsx Avg     1.40                   0.00 6.74 265.34  0.95 -0.25   5.75 226.47
Hensall      1.42                        6.76 266.00  0.97         5.77 227.12
Bruce        1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Putnam       1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Burford      1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Port Perry   1.45                        6.79 267.31  0.95         5.75 226.47
Norfolk      1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.97         5.77 227.25
Palmerston   1.35                        6.69 263.37  0.95         5.75 226.47
Varna        1.40                        6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Trenton      1.45                        6.79 267.31  0.95         5.75 226.47
Winchester   1.40                        6.74 265.34  1.40         6.20 244.18
North Gower  1.50                        6.84 269.28  1.36         6.16 242.61
Vankleek Hil 1.62                        6.96 274.00  1.13         5.93 233.55
Huron FOB    1.40  1.49  1.69  1.72      6.74 265.34  0.95         5.75 226.47
Kent FOB     1.57                        6.91 272.03  1.07         5.87 231.19
Lamb FOB    N/A                                       1.15         5.95 234.34
Mdsx FOB     1.50  1.50N/A   N/A         6.84 269.28  1.00         5.80 228.43
FOB SW Que   2.40                        7.74 304.71N/A
Track        1.77                        7.11 279.71N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.31         6.11 240.64
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.56         6.36 250.48
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A     1.92N/A                      1.25         6.05 238.28
Sarn-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
London-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.30         6.10 240.24
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.55         6.35 250.09
W O Feed     1.96                        7.30 287.23

US Rep       2.04                        7.38 290.54
Toledo El.   0.00                        5.34 210.23 -0.25         4.55 179.12

TRANSFER
Pt. Colb     1.80                        7.14 281.09  1.35         6.15 242.21
Prescott     1.99                        7.33 288.57  1.57         6.37 250.87


HI SD CRN    1.40                        6.74
*Wet Bid


Exchange rate was 1.2629 down 0.0006
Chicago soybeans closed moderately lower to lower.

      MAY21   HI 14.45  3/4              NOV21     HI 12.64  1/4
             LOW 14.08  1/4                       LOW 12.30  3/4
            CLOSE14.09  3/4  Down 30 1/4        CLOSE 12.38  3/4  Down 23 1/4

            OLD CROP                                  NEW CROP
Location    Basis  1mt   2mt   3mt  U.S.  $/bu   $/mt Basis  U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAY21+MAY21+JUL21
CK Low      3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.90        15.29 561.72
CK High     3.65                         17.75 652.11  2.95        15.34 563.56
CK Average  3.60                   -0.09 17.69 650.15  2.93 -0.26  15.31 562.64
Essex Cty   3.65                         17.75 652.11  2.90        15.29 561.72
Mdsx Low    3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.88        15.27 560.98
Mdsx High   3.56                         17.66 648.80  2.90        15.29 561.72
Mdsx Average3.56                   -0.12 17.65 648.62  2.89 -0.29  15.28 561.35
Hensall     3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.90        15.29 561.72
Bruce       3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.95        15.34 563.56
Putnam      3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.90        15.29 561.72
Burford     3.63                         17.73 651.37  2.95        15.34 563.56
Port Perry  3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.87        15.26 560.62
Norfolk     3.65                         17.75 652.11  2.95        15.34 563.56
Palmerston  3.47                         17.57 645.50  2.95        15.34 563.56
Varna       3.55                         17.65 648.43  2.90        15.29 561.72
Trenton     3.50                         17.60 646.60  2.90        15.29 561.72
Winchester  3.53                         17.63 647.70  2.87        15.26 560.62
North Gower 3.35                         17.45 641.09  2.80        15.19 558.05
Vankleek Hil3.39                         17.49 642.56  2.88        15.27 560.98
Huron FOB   3.65  3.80  3.74  3.70       17.75 652.11  2.95        15.34 563.56
Kent FOB    3.80                         17.90 657.62  2.95        15.34 563.56
Lambton FOB 3.75                         17.85 655.78  3.20        15.59 572.74
Mdsx FOB    3.63  3.63  N/A   N/A        17.73 651.37  3.04        15.43 566.86

PROCESSORS
Windsor     4.10                         18.20 668.64  3.11        15.50 569.44

TRANSFER
Hamilton    4.15                         18.25 670.48  3.40        15.79 580.09
Prescott     N/A                                       3.33        15.72 577.52
Port Colborn3.78                         17.88 656.89  3.45        15.84 581.93

Toledo El.  0.00                         14.10 517.99 -0.44        11.95 438.92


Exchange rate was 1.2629 down 0.0006
Chicago wheat closed slightly lower.
MAY21      HI     6.56  3/4             JUL21   HI      6.47  1/2
           LOW    6.41  1/4                     LOW     6.34  1/4
           CLOSE  6.52  1/2  Down 4             CLOSE   6.43  1/4  Down 4 3/4

Minni wheat closed slightly to moderately lower.
MAY21      HI     6.46  1/4             SEP21   HI         6.59
           LOW    6.35  1/2                     LOW     6.49  1/4
           CLOSE  6.41  1/4  Down 6 1/4         CLOSE   6.54  1/2  Down 5 1/4



Direct MarkHarvest 2020                 Harvest 2021
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    1.35    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
London      1.37    1.31   1.31    N/A    1.29    1.22   1.04    N/A
Hensall      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.05    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Bruce       1.35    1.45   1.35   1.45    1.25    1.30   1.05   1.30
Essex        N/A    N/A    1.35    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Norwich      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.05    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Kent Bridge  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.05    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    1.35    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    1.35    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    N/A    1.34   1.31    N/A     1.25   1.06   1.28
Varna       1.35    1.40   1.35    N/A    1.25    1.25   1.05    N/A
Mitchell     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    1.25   1.05    N/A
Thornton    1.37    1.31   1.31   0.98    1.29    1.22   1.04    N/A
North Gower  N/A    1.30   1.30   1.00    N/A     1.00   1.00   1.02
W O Feed                   2.07

TERMINAL
Port Colbor  N/A    N/A    1.76    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.39    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    N/A    1.72    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.69    N/A

Toledo El. 6.53US         8.24CA         6.38US         8.06CA


(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal             597.24
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      350.00 - 360.00

---

Ontario Grain Market Commentary for March 10, 2021
By Todd Austin, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Wednesday, March 10, 2021
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT Mar    5.34 ↓   1 ¼   Cents
Soybeans CBOT Mar   14.09 ¾ ↑   2 ¼       Cents
Wheat CBOT Mar    6.52 ½ ↓     3 ¼       Cent
Wheat Minn. Mar    6.41 ¼ ↓   1 ¾     Cents
Wheat Kansas Mar    6.16 ½ ↓     9 ½       Cents
Oats CBOT Mar    3.84 ½ ↑     18 ½         Cents
Canadian $ Mar .7921 ↑     7   Points

CORN:
The USDA has projected the U.S. corn carryout to be 1.50 billion bushels. This figure is unchanged from the February report but higher than the trade was anticipating. Increased demand this year has resulted in a smaller carryout than that of the past few years.
Global corn carryout was estimated to be 287.7 million metric tonnes (mmt) which was up 1.14 mmt from the February report.

SOYBEANS:
The USDA has kept the estimate of soybean carryout at 120 million bushels. The trade was expecting a carryout closer to 117 million bushels.  If the USDA’s figure is realized at the end of the crop year, it will be the tightest since 2014.
Brazilian soybean harvest is 34% complete versus 52% last year. Continued wet weather in parts of Brazil could affect soybean quality, although these quality concerns will not be fully known until the crop has been harvested.

WHEAT:
According to the March USDA report, global wheat stocks decreased, despite a 3.5 mmt increase in global production. Of note was the USDA’s estimate of Chinese wheat imports for the 20/21 crop year. Figures are indicating that China may import 10.5 million tonnes of wheat, nearly double the volume of imports from the previous year.

---


Blair Andrews

Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News

University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus



Email:fmnc at uoguelph.ca

Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577

Fax. 519-674-1530

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