[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Apr 21 15:23:46 EDT 2021


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, April 21
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.2495 down 0.0122
Chicago corn closed moderately to sharply higher.

      MAY21   HI 6.28  1/2                    DEC21    HI 5.40  1/2
             LOW 6.04  1/2                            LOW 5.24
            CLOSE6.25  1/2  Up 19                   CLOSE 5.36  1/2  Up 8

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +JUL21+JUL21+SEP21
CK Low       1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
CK High      1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
CK Avg       1.50                  -0.05 7.76 305.30  1.00 -0.27   6.37 250.58
Essex Cty    1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
Mdsx Low     1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
Mdsx High    1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.05         6.42 252.55
Mdsx Avg     1.50                  -0.05 7.76 305.30  1.03 -0.25   6.39 251.56
Hensall      1.55                        7.81 307.27  1.03         6.40 251.89
Bruce        1.55                        7.81 307.27  1.00         6.37 250.58
Putnam       1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
Burford      1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
Port Perry   1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
Norfolk      1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.00         6.37 250.58
Palmerston   1.50                        7.76 305.30  1.03         6.40 251.76
Varna        1.55                        7.81 307.27  1.00         6.37 250.58
Trenton      1.55                        7.81 307.27  1.00         6.37 250.58
Winchester   1.60                        7.86 309.24  1.45         6.82 268.29
North Gower  1.58                        7.84 308.45  1.42         6.79 267.11
Vankleek Hil 1.68                        7.94 312.39  1.44         6.81 267.90
Huron FOB    1.67  1.96  1.99  2.03      7.93 311.99  1.00         6.37 250.58
Kent FOB     1.62                        7.88 310.03  1.12         6.49 255.30
Lamb FOB     1.75                        8.01 315.14  1.15         6.52 256.48
Mdsx FOB    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.05         6.42 252.55
FOB SW Que   2.47                        8.73 343.49N/A
Track        1.90                        8.16 321.05N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.31         6.68 262.78
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      N/A
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A   N/A     2.68                   1.25         6.62 260.42
Sarn-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
London-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.35         6.72 264.36
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.60         6.97 274.20
W O Feed     2.10                        8.36 328.92

US Rep       2.18                        8.44 332.07
Toledo El.   0.12                        6.38 251.17 -0.25         5.12 201.37

TRANSFER
Pt. Colb     1.80                        8.06 317.11  1.40         6.77 266.33
Prescott     2.11                        8.37 329.32  1.65         7.02 276.17


HI SD CRN    1.50                        7.75 1/2     1.00         6.36 1/2
*Wet Bid


Exchange rate was 1.2495 down 0.0122
Chicago soybeans closed slightly higher to higher.

      MAY21   HI 14.99  3/4              NOV21     HI 13.13  3/4
             LOW 14.67  1/2                       LOW 12.93  1/2
            CLOSE14.97  1/4  Up 25 1/4          CLOSE 13.10  1/4  Up 10 3/4

            OLD CROP                                  NEW CROP
Location    Basis  1mt   2mt   3mt  U.S.  $/bu   $/mt Basis  U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAY21+JUL21+JUL21
CK Low      3.84                         18.81 691.24  2.89        15.99 587.62
CK High     3.90                         18.87 693.45  2.90        16.00 587.99
CK Average  3.87                    0.10 18.84 692.16  2.90 -0.30  16.00 587.93
Essex Cty   3.85                         18.82 691.61  2.85        15.95 586.15
Mdsx Low    3.82                         18.79 690.51  2.87        15.97 586.89
Mdsx High   3.90                         18.87 693.45  2.90        16.00 587.99
Mdsx Average3.86                    0.10 18.83 691.98  2.89 -0.31  15.99 587.44
Hensall     3.87                         18.84 692.22  2.93        16.04 589.22
Bruce       3.90                         18.87 693.45  2.95        16.05 589.83
Putnam      3.90                         18.87 693.45  2.90        16.00 587.99
Burford     3.89                         18.86 693.08  2.94        16.04 589.46
Port Perry  3.81                         18.78 690.14  2.86        15.96 586.52
Norfolk     3.85                         18.82 691.61  2.90        16.00 587.99
Palmerston  3.67                         18.64 684.99  2.83        15.93 585.42
Varna       3.85                         18.82 691.61  2.95        16.05 589.83
Trenton     3.90                         18.87 693.45  2.90        16.00 587.99
Winchester  3.80                         18.77 689.77  2.90        16.00 587.99
North Gower 3.60                         18.57 682.42  2.90        16.00 587.99
Vankleek Hil3.58                         18.55 681.69  3.00        16.10 591.67
Huron FOB   4.07  4.16  3.94  3.94       19.04 699.69  3.00        16.10 591.67
Kent FOB    4.10                         19.07 700.79  2.90        16.00 587.99
Lambton FOB 4.10                         19.07 700.79  3.00        16.10 591.67
Mdsx FOB    3.95  3.95  N/A   N/A        18.92 695.28  3.06        16.16 593.87

PROCESSORS
Windsor     4.31                         19.28 708.51  3.13        16.23 596.44

TRANSFER
Hamilton    4.45                         19.42 713.65  3.35        16.45 604.53
Prescott     N/A                                       3.12        16.22 596.07
Port Colborn3.86                         18.83 691.98  3.41        16.51 606.73

Toledo El.  0.02                         15.00 551.06 -0.44        12.67 465.37


Exchange rate was 1.2495 down 0.0122
Chicago wheat closed moderately higher to higher.
MAY21      HI     6.78  3/4             JUL21   HI         6.80
           LOW    6.58  3/4                     LOW     6.60  1/2
           CLOSE  6.73  1/4  Up 13 1/2          CLOSE   6.75   Up 13 3/4

Minni wheat closed moderately higher.
MAY21      HI         6.82              SEP21   HI      6.94  3/4
           LOW        6.68                      LOW     6.79  3/4
           CLOSE  6.78  1/2  Up 9 1/2           CLOSE   6.91  1/2  Up 10 1/2



Direct MarkHarvest 2020                 Harvest 2021
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    1.45    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
London      1.34    1.40   1.40    N/A    1.28    1.21   1.03    N/A
Hensall      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.05    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.00    N/A
Bruce       1.50    1.60   1.50   1.50    1.25    1.25   1.05   1.30
Essex        N/A    N/A    1.45    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Norwich      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.05    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.00    N/A
Kent Bridge  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.05    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    1.45    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    N/A    1.50   1.63    N/A     1.45   1.14   1.48
Varna       1.50    1.60   1.50    N/A    1.25    1.25   1.05    N/A
Mitchell     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    1.30    1.25   1.05    N/A
Thornton    1.34    1.40   1.40   0.97    1.28    1.21   1.03    N/A
North Gower  N/A    1.20   1.35   0.90    N/A     0.79   0.96   0.87
W O Feed                   2.24

TERMINAL
Port Colbor  N/A    N/A    1.85    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.35    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    N/A    1.68    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.68    N/A

Toledo El. 6.85US         8.56CA         6.85US         8.56CA


(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal             590.08
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm       300.00

---

Ontario Grain Market Commentary for April 21, 2021
By Todd Austin, Grain Farmers of Ontario


COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT May    6.25 ½   ↑     31 ½     Cents
Soybeans CBOT May   14.97 ¼   ↑     87 ¼ Cents
Wheat CBOT May    6.73 ¼     ↑       24 ¼       Cent
Wheat Minn. May    6.78 ½     ↑     17 ½     Cents
Wheat Kansas May    6.30 ¾     ↑        27 ¼ Cents
Oats CBOT May    3.91 ¾   ↑         9 ¼         Cents
Canadian $ June  .8003 ↑        16   Points

CORN:
China is rebuilding the nation's hog herd and moving towards more modern and bio-secure systems. This is placing a stronger demand on feed grains. As China buys record levels of corn, we are seeing strength in the corn futures market as values have risen to 8-year highs. Recent USDA estimates project U.S. corn carryout to be 1.351 billion bushels or 33 days of supply to be remaining at the end of the marketing year of August 31, 2021. This carryout figure is 570 million bushels below last year's carryout.

SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures continue to climb, on news of strong global demand and concern with tight supplies. In turn, increased vegetable oil demand improved soybean values as futures are trading at near 7-year highs.
In the month of March, China’s soybean imports from Brazil were down 85% from the same time last year. Reuters reports that soybean imports from the United States for the same time were up 320% from last year. Some of this increase is attributed to vessel delays from previous months finally reaching China in the month of March.

WHEAT:
At a recent virtual conference of the North American Millers’ Association, a panel of soft wheat millers forecast U.S. soft red wheat production to be 333 million bushels. This is up 25%, or 66 million bushels from 2020. The panel also forecast the U.S. soft white wheat production to be an estimated 249 million bushels, up 7% from the previous year.

EU soft wheat exports from last July to mid-April of this year reached 21.34 million tonnes. This figure is down 7.01 million tonnes from last year. It should be noted, that since January 1, 2021, the EU data does not include that of Britain. For the upcoming crop year, Strategic Grains estimates the EU will produce 129.6 million tonnes of soft wheat, up from 119.4 million produced last year.  The same group is also not expecting wheat exports to increase significantly next season, due to strong global competition.

---

Blair Andrews

Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News

University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus



Email:fmnc at uoguelph.ca

Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577

Fax. 519-674-1530

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