[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Aug 26 15:32:57 EDT 2020


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, August 26
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.3157 down 0.0027
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.

      SEP20   HI 3.41  1/4                    DEC20    HI 3.55
             LOW 3.37  1/4                            LOW 3.51  1/4
            CLOSE3.40  1/2  Down  1/4               CLOSE 3.54  1/4  Down  1/4

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +DEC20+DEC20+DEC20
CK Low       1.70                        5.11 200.97  0.95         4.49 176.86
CK High      1.79                        5.20 204.52  1.00         4.54 178.83
CK Avg       1.76                   0.52 5.17 203.40  0.98 -0.10   4.53 178.17
Essex Cty    1.75                        5.16 202.94  1.00         4.54 178.83
Mdsx Low     1.75                        5.16 202.94  0.95         4.49 176.86
Mdsx High    1.79                        5.20 204.52  1.00         4.54 178.83
Mdsx Avg     1.77                   0.53 5.18 203.73  0.98 -0.10   4.52 177.85
Hensall      1.71                        5.12 201.50  1.02         4.56 179.49
Bruce        1.70                        5.11 200.97  0.95         4.49 176.86
Putnam       1.79                        5.20 204.52  1.00         4.54 178.83
Burford      1.75                        5.16 202.94  0.95         4.49 176.86
Port Perry   1.70                        5.11 200.97  1.20         4.74 186.70
Norfolk      1.75                        5.16 202.94  1.00         4.54 178.83
Palmerston   1.66                        5.07 199.40  1.05         4.59 180.80
Varna        1.65                        5.06 199.01  1.00         4.54 178.83
Trenton      1.60                        5.01 197.04  1.20         4.74 186.70
Winchester   1.70                        5.11 200.97  1.40         4.94 194.58
North Gower  1.75                        5.16 202.94  1.40         4.94 194.58
Vankleek HilN/A                                       1.39         4.93 194.18
Huron FOB    1.82                        5.23 205.70  1.10         4.64 182.77
Kent FOB     1.90                        5.31 208.85  1.05         4.59 180.80
Lamb FOB     1.92                        5.33 209.64  1.00         4.54 178.83
Mdsx FOB     1.85  1.80N/A   N/A         5.26 206.88  1.10         4.64 182.77
FOB SW Que   2.22                        5.63 221.45N/A
Track        2.17                        5.58 219.48N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A    1.85N/A   N/A                    N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.52         5.06 199.30
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A     1.85N/A                      1.25         4.79 188.67
Sarn-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.20         4.74 186.70
London-Ing  N/A  N/A     2.05N/A                      1.40         4.94 194.58
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A     1.80N/A                      1.55         5.09 200.48
W O Feed     2.39                        5.80 228.30

US Rep       2.24                        5.65 222.23
Toledo El.  -0.07                        3.34 131.46 -0.26         3.28 129.12

TRANSFER
Pt. Colb     2.10                        5.51 216.72  1.45         4.99 196.55
Prescott     1.56                        4.97 195.46  1.72         5.26 207.18


HI SD CRN                                             1.00         4.54 1/4
*Wet Bid


Exchange rate was 1.3157 down 0.0027
Chicago soybeans closed narrowly mixed.

      NOV20   HI 9.25  3/4               NOV20     HI 9.25  3/4
             LOW 9.19  1/2                        LOW 9.19  1/2
            CLOSE9.24  1/4  Up 4                CLOSE 9.24  1/4  Up 4

            OLD CROP                                  NEW CROP
Location    Basis  1mt   2mt   3mt  U.S.  $/bu   $/mt Basis  U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +NOV20+NOV20+NOV20
CK Low      2.50                         11.74 431.46  2.50        11.74 431.46
CK High     2.55                         11.79 433.30  2.55        11.79 433.30
CK Average  2.52                   -0.30 11.77 432.32  2.51 -0.30  11.75 431.83
Essex Cty   2.55                         11.79 433.30  2.55        11.79 433.30
Mdsx Low    2.50                         11.74 431.46  2.49        11.73 431.10
Mdsx High   2.52                         11.76 432.20  2.50        11.74 431.46
Mdsx Average2.51                   -0.31 11.75 431.83  2.50 -0.31  11.74 431.28
Hensall     2.53                         11.78 432.69  2.50        11.74 431.46
Bruce       2.50                         11.74 431.46  2.50        11.74 431.46
Putnam      2.50                         11.74 431.46  2.50        11.74 431.46
Burford     2.59                         11.83 434.77  2.56        11.80 433.67
Port Perry  2.54                         11.78 432.93  2.51        11.75 431.83
Norfolk     2.55                         11.79 433.30  2.55        11.79 433.30
Palmerston  2.45                         11.69 429.63  2.48        11.72 430.73
Varna       2.55                         11.79 433.30  2.50        11.74 431.46
Trenton      N/A                                       2.50        11.74 431.46
Winchester   N/A                                       2.55        11.79 433.30
North Gower 2.60                         11.84 435.14  2.55        11.79 433.30
Vankleek Hil N/A                                       2.61        11.85 435.50
Huron FOB   2.66                         11.90 437.34  2.55        11.79 433.30
Kent FOB    2.55                         11.79 433.30  2.55        11.79 433.30
Lambton FOB 2.73                         11.97 439.91  2.66        11.90 437.34
Mdsx FOB    2.66  2.66  N/A   N/A        11.90 437.34  2.66        11.90 437.34

PROCESSORS
Windsor     2.91                         12.15 446.53  2.71        11.95 439.18

TRANSFER
Hamilton    3.05                         12.29 451.67  3.00        12.24 449.83
Prescott     N/A                                       2.94        12.18 447.63
Port Colborn3.07                         12.31 452.41  3.07        12.31 452.41

Toledo El.  -0.07                         9.18 337.19 -0.26        8.98  329.95


Exchange rate was 1.3157 down 0.0027
Chicago wheat closed slightly higher.
SEP20      HI     5.32  3/4             JUL21   HI      5.53  1/2
           LOW    5.23  1/4                     LOW        5.44
           CLOSE  5.32   Up 4 3/4               CLOSE   5.53   Up 5

Minni wheat closed slightly higher.
SEP20      HI         5.18              SEP21   HI      5.67  3/4
           LOW    5.11  3/4                     LOW     5.62  3/4
           CLOSE  5.17  1/4  Up  3/4            CLOSE   5.67  3/4  Up 2

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 20        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 1.55          1.75            1.42          1.30
CAD $/bu              6.87          7.07            6.74          6.48
CAD $/tonne         252.35        259.61          247.52        237.97


Direct MarkHarvest 2020                 Harvest 2021
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    1.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.00    N/A
London      1.13    1.37   1.00    N/A    1.40    1.42   1.00    N/A
Hensall     1.25    N/A    1.00    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.00    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A    1.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.00    N/A
Bruce       0.95    1.15   0.90   0.95    1.05    1.35   0.95    N/A
Essex        N/A    N/A    1.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Norwich     1.25    N/A    1.00    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.00    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    N/A    1.03    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.00    N/A
Kent Bridge 1.25    N/A    1.00    N/A    1.30    N/A    1.00    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    1.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    1.00    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.05    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    1.41   1.02   1.24    N/A     1.58   1.12   0.75
Varna       1.20    1.40   1.00    N/A    1.25    1.40   1.00    N/A
Mitchell    1.25    1.35   1.00    N/A    1.30    1.40   1.00    N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   1.15    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    1.60   1.35   1.25    N/A     1.71   1.41   0.95
W O Feed                   1.61

TERMINAL
Port Colbor  N/A    N/A    1.40    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.40    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    N/A    1.68    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A

Toledo El. 5.32US         7.00CA        5.48US          7.20CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 21        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 1.61          1.74            1.41          0.99
CAD $/bu              7.14          7.27            6.94          6.67
CAD $/tonne         262.18        267.01          254.94        245.16

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal            453.61
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      200.00 - 220.00

---

Ontario Grain Market Commentary for August 26, 2020
By Todd Austin, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Wednesday, August 26, 2020
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT Sept    3.40½         ↑     15½   Cents
Soybeans CBOT Sept    9.19½           ↑     7       Cents
Wheat CBOT Sept    5.32     ↑   20       Cents
Wheat Minn. Sept    5.17½   ↑   7½         Cents
Wheat Kansas Sept    4.50¼     ↑   12¾     Cents
Oats CBOT Sept    2.63¼         ↓   4½       Cents
Canadian $ Sept    0.7609 ↑ 35 Points

CORN:
The USDA corn condition report estimates 64% of the U.S. corn is rated good-to-excellent. This is down 5% from a week ago. The State of Iowa has reported that their corn crop is 50% good -to-excellent versus 59% a week ago.  Hot and dry conditions are now expected in much of the U.S. corn belt over the next few days.

Corn futures are trending higher mainly due to expectations of increased Chinese demand. According to a recent USDA export sales data, China has bought 408,000 tonnes of U.S. corn for shipment in the 2020/2021 marketing year. This corn sale was the largest since the July 30 announcement of nearly 2 million tonnes in sales to China.

SOYBEANS:
Brazil has recently revised data on their past seven soybean crops. Conab has increased soybean production over those seven years by 14.4 million tonnes. Most of the increase is from the previous three years. Conab estimates that Brazil will produce 133.5 million tonnes of soybeans next season, based on expected acreage and yield increases. Chinese demand and a weak local currency are factors explaining this increase in production.

China continues to make soybean purchases. They have bought 8.18 million tonnes of Brazilian soybeans in July. This is an increase from July 2019, but a decrease from June’s 10.51 million tonnes.  China had also imported approximately 38,000 tonnes of U.S. soybeans in July. This is down from 268,000 tonnes in June and down significantly from the 912,000 tonnes in July 2019.

WHEAT:
Egypt’s GASC has recently purchased 530,000 tonnes of Russian wheat for two shipping periods in October.  It appears that only Black sea region wheat was offered in this tender. GASC bought 230,000 tonnes of wheat for shipment October 11-20, and 300,000 tonnes of wheat from shipment October 21-31.  On August 13 GASC bought 415,000 tonnes of Russian wheat.

The World Food Program will supply 50,000 tonnes of wheat flour to Lebanon. This will help stabilize the national supply and help ensure there is no food shortage as the country recovers from the explosion at the Port of Beirut. Prior to the explosion, this port was responsible for 90% of Lebanon’s food imports. The port was also home to a majority of Lebanon’s grain storage capacity.

2020 harvest prices for August 26, 2020, at the market close, are as follows:

SWW at $252.07/mt ($6.86/bu), HRW at $259.31/mt ($7.06/bu) + protein,
HRS at $ 237.70/mt ($6.47/bu) + protein, and SRW at $247.24/mt ($6.73/bu).

We offer on farm bids for 2020 wheat and 2021 harvest prices as well, please call
1-800-265-0550 for more information.

---


Blair Andrews

Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News

University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus



Email:fmnc at uoguelph.ca

Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577

Fax. 519-674-1530

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This Farm Market News product is sponsored by:
Grain Farmers of Ontario











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