[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Oct 30 15:24:10 EDT 2019


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, October 30
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.3197 up 0.0111
Chicago corn closed slightly to moderately higher.

      DEC19   HI 3.91  1/4                    DEC20    HI 4.07
             LOW 3.85  1/4                            LOW 4.05  1/2
            CLOSE3.90  3/4  Up 4 1/2                CLOSE 4.06  3/4  Up  1/2

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +DEC19+MAR20+MAR20
CK Low       1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
CK High      1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
CK Avg       1.25                   0.00 5.16 203.04  0.90 -0.30   4.97 195.56
Essex Cty    1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Mdsx Low     1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Mdsx High    1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Mdsx Avg     1.25                   0.00 5.16 203.04  0.90 -0.30   4.97 195.56
Hensall      1.28                        5.18 204.03  0.90         4.97 195.56
Bruce        1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Putnam       1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Burford      1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Port Perry   1.35                        5.26 206.98  0.90         4.97 195.56
Norfolk      1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Palmerston   1.35                        5.26 206.98  0.89         4.96 195.17
Varna        1.25                        5.16 203.04  0.90         4.97 195.56
Trenton      1.30                        5.21 205.01  0.90         4.97 195.56
Winchester   1.40                        5.31 208.95  1.10         5.17 203.44
North Gower  1.35                        5.26 206.98  1.05         5.12 201.47
Huron FOB    1.30                        5.21 205.01  0.95         5.02 197.53
Kent FOB     1.28                        5.19 204.22  0.95         5.02 197.53
Lamb FOB     1.30                        5.21 205.01  1.05         5.12 201.47
Mdsx FOB     1.25  1.30  1.40  1.45      5.16 203.04  1.00         5.07 199.50
FOB SW Que   1.94                        5.85 230.21N/A
Track        1.62                        5.53 217.61N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A     1.55N/A                      1.14         5.21 205.01
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.39         5.46 214.85
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A   N/A     1.50                   1.15         5.22 205.40
Sarn-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
London-Ing  N/A  N/A     1.70  1.70                   1.25         5.32 209.34
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A    1.60N/A   N/A                    N/A
Cardnl-Ing   1.95  1.55  1.70N/A         5.86 230.60  1.30         5.37 211.31
W O Feed     1.84                        5.75 226.27

US Rep       2.17                        6.08 239.26
Toledo El.   0.40                        4.30 169.42 -0.26         3.80 149.76

TRANSFER
Pt. Colb     1.50                        5.41 212.88N/A
Prescott     1.55                        5.46 214.85N/A

MID SD CRN   1.25                        5.15 3/4
HI SD CRN    1.25                        5.15 3/4
*Wet Bid


Exchange rate was 1.3197 up 0.0111
Chicago soybeans closed slightly lower.

       NOV19   HI 9.21  1/2           NOV20    HI 9.73  1/4
              LOW 9.15  1/4                   LOW 9.68
             CLOSE9.16   Down 2 1/4         CLOSE 9.68  1/2  Down 2 1/2

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt U.S.  $/bu  $/mt BasisU.S.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +NOV1+JAN2+JAN20
CK Low       2.05                     11.21 411.902.09      11.78 432.66
CK High      2.10                     11.26 413.732.10      11.79 433.02
CK Average   2.09                -0.6311.25 413.432.10 -0.7411.78 432.96
Essex Cty    2.10                     11.26 413.732.10      11.79 433.02
Mdsx Low     2.03                     11.19 411.162.07      11.76 431.92
Mdsx High    2.10                     11.26 413.732.10      11.79 433.02
Mdsx Average 2.07                -0.6511.23 412.452.09 -0.7511.77 432.47
Hensall      2.08                     11.24 412.822.08      11.76 432.11
Bruce        2.15                     11.31 415.572.05      11.74 431.19
Putnam       2.10                     11.26 413.732.10      11.79 433.02
Burford      2.10                     11.26 413.732.14      11.83 434.49
Port Perry   2.05                     11.21 411.902.09      11.78 432.66
Norfolk      2.10                     11.26 413.732.10      11.79 433.02
Palmerston   2.17                     11.33 416.312.14      11.83 434.49
Varna        2.15                     11.31 415.572.10      11.79 433.02
Trenton      2.05                     11.21 411.902.05      11.74 431.19
Winchester   2.10                     11.26 413.732.05      11.74 431.19
North Gower  2.15                     11.31 415.572.05      11.74 431.19
Huron FOB    2.25                     11.41 419.252.20      11.89 436.70
Kent FOB     2.10                     11.26 413.732.10      11.79 433.02
Lambton FOB  2.30                     11.46 421.082.10      11.79 433.02
Middlesex FOB2.16 2.16  N/A  N/A      11.32 415.942.06      11.75 431.55

PROCESSORS
Windsor      2.46                     11.62 426.962.50      12.19 447.72

TRANSFER
Hamilton     2.55                     11.71 430.272.55      12.24 449.56
Prescott     2.40                     11.56 424.76 N/A
Port Colborne2.57                     11.73 431.002.47      12.16 446.62

Toledo El.   -0.16                     9.00 330.75-0.46      9.22 338.92


Exchange rate was 1.3197 up 0.0111
Chicago wheat closed slightly lower.
DEC19      HI         5.14              JUL20   HI      5.28  3/4
           LOW        5.07                      LOW     5.22  1/4
           CLOSE  5.09  1/4  Down 2 1/4         CLOSE   5.24  1/2  Down 2 3/4

Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
DEC19      HI     5.29  1/2             SEP20   HI         5.66
           LOW    5.19  3/4                     LOW        5.60
           CLOSE  5.23  1/2  Down 2 1/4         CLOSE   5.64  1/2  Down 1 1/4

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 19        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 2.09          2.29            1.96          1.28
CAD $/bu              7.18          7.38            7.05          6.51
CAD $/tonne         263.91        271.18          259.06        239.30


Direct MarkHarvest 2019                 Harvest 2020
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    1.65    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
London      1.69    1.95   1.63    N/A    1.28    1.54   1.15    N/A
Hensall     1.70    N/A    1.65    N/A    1.35    N/A    1.15    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.20    N/A
Bruce       1.75    2.00   1.60   1.50    1.35    1.55   1.10   1.05
Essex        N/A    N/A    1.60    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
Norwich     1.70    N/A    1.65    N/A    1.35    N/A    1.15    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    N/A    1.65    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.25    N/A
Kent Bridge 1.70    N/A    1.65    N/A    1.35    N/A    1.15    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    1.60    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    1.60    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    N/A    1.61   1.52    N/A     N/A    1.10   0.92
Varna       1.75    2.05   1.65    N/A    1.35    1.55   1.15    N/A
Mitchell    1.70    1.90   1.65    N/A    1.35    1.55   1.15    N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   1.49    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    1.75   1.50   0.95    N/A     1.78   1.48   0.90
W O Feed                   2.22

TERMINAL
Port Colbor 2.03    2.29   2.03    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.55    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    N/A    2.09    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.67    N/A

Toledo El. 5.27US         6.96CA        5.25US          6.91CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 20        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 1.60          1.86            1.53          1.00
CAD $/bu              6.84          7.11            6.78          6.65
CAD $/tonne         251.49        261.18          249.07        244.23

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal            465.40
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      215.00

---
Ontario Grain Market Commentary for October 30, 2019
By Todd Austin, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Wednesday, October 30, 2019

COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT Dec 3.90¾  ↑ 3 cents
Soybeans CBOT Jan 9.30½ ↓ 17¾ cents
Wheat CBOT Dec 5.09¼ ↓ 11½ cents
Wheat Minn. Dec 5.23½ ↓ 19 cents
Wheat Kansas Dec 4.18¼ ↓ 5 cents
Oats CBOT Dec 2.96¾ ↓ ¼ cents

Canadian $ Dec 0.7584 ↓ 67 points


CORN:
The US corn harvest is 41% complete, according to the USDA in its latest weekly Crop Progress Report. This level of completion was behind market expectations and below the five-year average. Snow is forecast in parts of the US Midwest, potentially slowing the harvest even further.
The Export price of US corn is closing the gap with Brazilian corn as the Brazilian Real gains value against the US dollar. This action has made gains for US corn in export markets.

SOYBEANS:
Chinese soymeal consumption is forecast to decline again this year. The USDA projects meal consumption at 63.1 million tonnes, down 3.7 million tonnes from last year. This decline is a direct result of the African swine fever outbreak.
Recent trade news between China and the US should strengthen the market; however the trade is waiting for more concrete sales and shipment details before pushing price higher on stronger demand signals.

WHEAT:
Weekly US exports of wheat were the lowest in 18 weeks and well off the pace needed to reach the USDA’s export target for this crop year.
According to a Bloomberg survey, analysts are predicting another decline in US winter wheat plantings. Planted acres of wheat are forecast to be 31.118 million acres, which is down from last year, and the lowest in 110 years.


2019 cash prices for October 30, 2019, at the market close, are as follows:

SWW at $263.69/mt ($7.18/bu), HRW at $270.96/mt ($7.37/bu),
HRS at $239.10/mt ($6.51/bu), and SRW at $258.84/mt ($7.04/bu).

We currently offer 2020 and 2021 harvest prices as well, please call
1-800-265-0550 for more information.

---

Blair Andrews

Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News

University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus



Email:fmnc at uoguelph.ca

Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577

Fax. 519-674-1530

Click on this link: farmmarketnews-unsubscribe at list.gfo.ca  to unsubscribe from this report.
This Farm Market News product is sponsored by:
Grain Farmers of Ontario





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