[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Nov 20 15:20:16 EST 2019


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, November 20
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.3309 up 0.0038
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.

      DEC19   HI 3.70  1/2                    DEC20    HI 3.96  1/4
             LOW 3.65  3/4                            LOW 3.94
            CLOSE3.66  3/4  Down 3 1/4              CLOSE 3.94  1/4  Down 1 3/4

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAR20+MAR20+MAR20
CK Low       1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
CK High      1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.95         4.89 192.61
CK Avg       1.35                   0.10 5.02 197.53  0.91 -0.30   4.85 190.97
Essex Cty    1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Mdsx Low     1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Mdsx High    1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Mdsx Avg     1.35                   0.10 5.02 197.53  0.90 -0.31   4.84 190.64
Hensall      1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.93         4.87 191.63
Bruce        1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Putnam       1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Burford      1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Port Perry   1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Norfolk      1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
Palmerston   1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.91         4.85 191.03
Varna        1.30                        4.97 195.56  0.90         4.84 190.64
Trenton      1.30                        4.97 195.56  0.90         4.84 190.64
Winchester   1.40                        5.07 199.50  1.10         5.04 198.51
North Gower  1.43                        5.10 200.68  1.10         5.04 198.51
Huron FOB    1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.95         4.89 192.61
Kent FOB     1.35                        5.02 197.53  0.95         4.89 192.61
Lamb FOB     1.35                        5.02 197.53  1.00         4.94 194.58
Mdsx FOB     1.35  1.35  1.00  1.35      5.02 197.53  0.90         4.84 190.64
FOB SW Que   2.19                        5.86 230.60N/A
Track        1.65                        5.31 209.14N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.17         5.11 201.27
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.42         5.36 211.11
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A     1.55  1.60                   1.15         5.09 200.48
Sarn-Eth    N/A  N/A     1.60  1.60                 N/A
London-Ing  N/A    1.70  1.75  1.75                   1.25         5.19 204.42
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A     1.75  1.75                   1.30         5.24 206.39
W O Feed     1.81                        5.48 215.74

US Rep       2.28                        5.95 234.14
Toledo El.   0.40                        4.07 160.10 -0.27         3.68 144.73

TRANSFER
Pt. Colb     1.60                        5.27 207.37N/A
Prescott     1.50                        5.17 203.44N/A

MID SD CRN   1.35                        5.01 3/4
HI SD CRN    1.35                        5.01 3/4
*Wet Bid


Exchange rate was 1.3309 up 0.0038
Chicago soybeans closed mixed.

       JAN20   HI 9.15  3/4           NOV20    HI 9.53
              LOW 9.04  1/4                   LOW 9.47
             CLOSE9.05   Down 6 1/2         CLOSE 9.48  3/4  Down 1

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt U.S.  $/bu  $/mt BasisU.S.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +JAN2+JAN2+MAR20
CK Low       2.20                     11.25 413.372.20      11.69 429.44
CK High      2.30                     11.35 417.042.27      11.76 432.01
CK Average   2.24                -0.5711.29 414.782.21 -0.7011.70 429.87
Essex Cty    2.30                     11.35 417.042.20      11.69 429.44
Mdsx Low     2.20                     11.25 413.372.20      11.69 429.44
Mdsx High    2.21                     11.26 413.732.25      11.74 431.28
Mdsx Average 2.21                -0.5911.26 413.552.23 -0.6911.71 430.36
Hensall      2.25                     11.30 415.202.20      11.69 429.44
Bruce        2.25                     11.30 415.202.20      11.69 429.44
Putnam       2.20                     11.25 413.372.20      11.69 429.44
Burford      2.28                     11.33 416.312.32      11.81 433.85
Port Perry   2.23                     11.28 414.472.27      11.76 432.01
Norfolk      2.30                     11.35 417.042.20      11.69 429.44
Palmerston   2.20                     11.25 413.372.15      11.64 427.60
Varna        2.30                     11.35 417.042.20      11.69 429.44
Trenton      2.20                     11.25 413.372.20      11.69 429.44
Winchester   2.29                     11.34 416.672.25      11.74 431.28
North Gower  2.26                     11.31 415.572.28      11.77 432.38
Huron FOB    2.40                     11.45 420.722.30      11.79 433.12
Kent FOB     2.50                     11.55 424.392.20      11.69 429.44
Lambton FOB  2.50                     11.55 424.392.20      11.69 429.44
Middlesex FOB2.46 2.40 2.33  N/A      11.51 422.922.30      11.79 433.12

PROCESSORS
Windsor      2.73                     11.78 432.842.61      12.10 444.51

TRANSFER
Hamilton     2.85                     11.90 437.252.65      12.14 445.98
Prescott     2.55                     11.60 426.23 N/A
Port Colborne2.87                     11.92 437.992.65      12.14 445.98

Toledo El.   -0.20                     8.85 325.20-0.47      9.02 331.48


Exchange rate was 1.3309 up 0.0038
Chicago wheat closed slightly higher.
DEC19      HI     5.15  3/4             JUL20   HI      5.23  1/2
           LOW        5.08                      LOW        5.17
           CLOSE  5.15  1/2  Up 3 1/2           CLOSE   5.23  1/4  Up 2

Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
DEC19      HI         5.06              SEP20   HI      5.50  3/4
           LOW    5.00  3/4                     LOW     5.46  1/2
           CLOSE  5.01  1/4  Down 2             CLOSE   5.46  1/2  Down 3

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 19        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 2.17          2.37            2.04          1.26
CAD $/bu              7.33          7.53            7.19          6.27
CAD $/tonne         269.21        276.55          264.32        230.46


Direct MarkHarvest 2019                 Harvest 2020
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    1.65    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
London      1.80    2.07   1.67    N/A    1.36    1.63   1.16    N/A
Hensall     1.70    N/A    1.65    N/A    1.35    N/A    1.15    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.40    N/A
Bruce       1.70    2.05   1.65   1.50    1.35    1.55   1.15   1.05
Essex        N/A    N/A    1.65    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
Norwich     1.70    N/A    1.65    N/A    1.35    N/A    1.15    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    N/A    1.70    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.40    N/A
Kent Bridge 1.70    N/A    1.65    N/A    1.35    N/A    1.15    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    1.65    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    1.65    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.15    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    N/A    1.70   1.53    N/A     N/A    1.16   0.95
Varna       1.80    2.10   1.70    N/A    1.35    1.55   1.15    N/A
Mitchell    1.70    1.90   1.65    N/A    1.35    1.55   1.15    N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   1.88    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    1.90   1.70   1.00    N/A     1.57   1.37   0.90
W O Feed                   2.35

TERMINAL
Port Colbor 2.14    2.41   2.08    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.56    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    N/A    2.17    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.73    N/A

Toledo El. 5.34US         7.10CA        5.23US          6.97CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 20        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 1.53          1.80            1.47          1.01
CAD $/bu              6.77          7.03            6.70          6.48
CAD $/tonne         248.64        258.42          246.19        238.00

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal            474.00
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      185.00 - 190.00

---
Ontario Grain Market Commentary for November 20, 2019
By Todd Austin, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Wednesday, November 20, 2019
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT Dec 3.66¾ ↓ 8½ cents
Soybeans CBOT Jan 9.05 ↓ 10¼ cents
Wheat CBOT Dec 5.15½ ↑ 6½ cents
Wheat Minn. Dec 5.01¼ ↓ 14 cents
Wheat Kansas Dec 4.26 ↑ 1¼ cents
Oats CBOT Dec 3.13¾ ↑ 8¼ cents

Canadian $ Dec 0.7514 ↓ 31 points


CORN:
The latest crop progress report indicates that the US corn harvest is 76% complete. This compares with the five-year average of 92 percent. Some states remain under 50% complete.
US Corn exports continue to be sluggish. September corn exports were the lowest volume for the month since 1975. Global supplies and aggressive competitor countries have contributed to the slow US export pace. One such instance is a record large Brazilian corn crop, leading to greatly increased exports for this country.

SOYBEANS:
US soybean harvest is 91% complete, up 6% from last weekend close to the five-year average of 95 percent.
Soy futures strengthened as China trade talks with the US appeared to move forward. China was a top buyer of US soybeans during the week ending November 7, accounting for over 750,000 tonnes.  Trade talks continue and we wait to see the results.

WHEAT:
The neighbouring US indicates an 80-95% emergence of winter wheat. Overall, the US winter wheat emergence is 83% which is 3 percentage points below the five-year average.  The crop rated good- excellent is 52%, down 2% from last week.
The French firm Strategie Grains estimates the EU soft wheat production for 2020 to be 23.7 million Ha (58.6 million acres), which is lower than its October estimates. This reduction in acres is a result of wet weather delays in Europe.


2019 cash prices for November 20, 2019, at the market close, are as follows:

SWW at $269.19/mt ($7.33/bu), HRW at $276.52/mt ($7.53/bu),
HRS at $230.43/mt ($6.27/bu), and SRW at $264.30/mt ($7.19/bu).

We currently offer 2020 and 2021 harvest prices as well, please call
1-800-265-0550 for more information.
---

Blair Andrews

Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News

University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus



Email:fmnc at uoguelph.ca

Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577

Fax. 519-674-1530

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Grain Farmers of Ontario









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