[Farmmarketnews] Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Wed Jul 31 16:34:39 EDT 2019

Ontario Grain Market Commentary for July 31, 2019

By Marty Hibbs, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Futures Prices as of close, July 31, 2019

Commodity Period Price Weekly Movement
Corn CBOT Sep 4.00 ↓ 22 cents
Soybeans CBOT Sep 8.69 ↓ 27 cents
Wheat CBOT Sep 4.87 ↓ 10 cents
Wheat Minn. Sep 5.19 ↓ 03 cents
Wheat Kansas Sep 4.23 ↓ 17 cents
Oats CBOT Sep 2.56 ↓ 08 cents
Canadian $ Sep 0.7601 ↓ 0.20 points

Corn:
Corn has reached our initial support level at $4 as suggested in our last few commentaries. This is not a buy level but rather a temporary support which may see more downside before we start our next leg upwards. Next support level we see is around the $3.80 level on the September futures contract.
The weekly September futures charts show a flag formation that projects upward towards the $5 - $5.20 price target if the $4 support level holds.
Good support is seen at $3.80 - $4 on the September futures.
The primary trend for corn is neutral to bullish.

Soybeans:
Soybeans continue to be range-bound and continue to trade between $8.40 and $9.25 levels on the September futures.
Overhead resistance is still pegged at the $9.35 - $9.50 level on the front month contract, while support is seen at the $8.40 level.
A close above the $9.50 level is required to alter the technical on our charts. Such a move would ignite an extended move to the upside.
Indicators are still mixed, and the primary trend is still down.

Wheat:
We continue our corrective phase on the September wheat futures since our June 27 highs, as we mentioned in the last several commentaries. I continue to see good support at the $4.70 level on the daily chart and there is a very good chance we will see it tested before we get a reversal in the short-term indicators and a resulting bounce in prices.
Overhead resistance on September remains at the recent highs of $5.50 - $5.60, while support is pegged at $4.70 - $4.80 on the September futures.
Indicators are positive with a primary trend that is neutral to bullish.

Harvest 2019 prices as of the close, July 31, 2019 are as follows:
SWW @ $252.28/MT ($6.87/bu), HRW @ $261.94/MT ($7.13/bu),
 HRS @ $236.33/MT ($6.43/bu),  SRW @ $249.86/MT ($6.80/bu).

----

Blair Andrews

Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News

University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus

Email:fmnc at uoguelph.ca

Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577

Fax. 519-674-1530

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