[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Jul 24 15:19:35 EDT 2019
FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, July 24
(All Bases in CAD)
Exchange rate was 1.3132 up 0.0010
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.
SEP19 HI 4.30 1/2 DEC19 HI 4.36 3/4
LOW 4.21 1/2 LOW 4.27 3/4
CLOSE4.24 Down 1 1/2 CLOSE 4.30 3/4 Down 3/4
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt U.S. $/bu $/mt Cntrct U.S. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +SEP19+DEC19+DEC19
CK Low 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
CK High 1.95 6.19 243.69 1.25 5.56 218.79
CK Avg 1.84 0.39 6.08 239.42 1.25 -0.06 5.56 218.79
Essex Cty 1.95 6.19 243.69 1.25 5.56 218.79
Mdsx Low 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Mdsx High 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Mdsx Avg 1.80 0.36 6.04 237.78 1.25 -0.06 5.56 218.79
Hensall 1.83 6.07 238.77 1.28 5.58 219.77
Bruce 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Putnam 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Burford 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Port Perry 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.20 5.51 216.82
Norfolk 1.95 6.19 243.69 1.25 5.56 218.79
Palmerston 1.70 5.94 233.85 1.30 5.61 220.76
Varna 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Trenton 1.80 6.04 237.78 1.25 5.56 218.79
Winchester N/A 2.15 6.46 254.22
North Gower 1.40 5.64 222.04 1.40 5.71 224.69
Huron FOB 1.98 6.22 244.87 1.37 5.68 223.51
Kent FOB 2.10 6.34 249.59 1.30 5.61 220.76
Lamb FOB 2.00 6.24 245.66 1.30 5.61 220.76
Mdsx FOB 2.05 2.05N/A N/A 6.29 247.63 1.30 5.61 220.76
FOB SW Que 2.57 6.81 268.10 1.43 5.74 225.88
Track 2.15 6.39 251.56N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth N/A 2.36 2.38 2.37 1.55 5.86 230.60
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aylmer-Eth N/A 2.30 2.30 2.30 1.50 5.81 228.63
Sarn-Eth N/A N/A 2.00 2.00 N/A
Kawartha N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
London-Ing N/A N/A N/A 2.40 N/A
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A N/A N/A N/A 1.60 5.91 232.57
Cardnl-Ing N/A N/A N/A 1.55 1.50 5.81 228.63
W O Feed 2.30 6.54 257.63
US Rep 2.54 6.78 266.92
Toledo El. 0.50 4.74 186.57 0.20 4.50 177.30
TRANSFER
Port ColbornN/A N/A
MID SD CRN 1.25 5.55 3/4
HI SD CRN 1.25 5.55 3/4
*Wet Bid
Exchange rate was 1.3132 up 0.0010
Chicago soybeans closed slightly higher.
AUG19 HI 8.95 NOV19 HI 9.12 3/4
LOW 8.83 3/4 LOW 9.01 1/2
CLOSE8.91 Up 5 1/4 CLOSE 9.08 1/4 Up 4 1/2
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt U.S. $/bu $/mt BasisU.S. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +AUG1+NOV1+NOV19
CK Low 2.20 11.11 408.222.00 11.08 407.21
CK High 2.25 11.16 410.062.00 11.08 407.21
CK Average 2.23 -0.4211.14 409.452.00 -0.6111.08 407.21
Essex Cty 2.35 11.26 413.732.00 11.08 407.21
Mdsx Low 2.15 11.06 406.391.95 11.03 405.37
Mdsx High 2.25 11.16 410.062.00 11.08 407.21
Mdsx Average 2.20 -0.4511.11 408.221.98 -0.6311.06 406.29
Hensall 2.25 11.16 410.062.00 11.08 407.21
Bruce 2.20 11.11 408.221.95 11.03 405.37
Putnam 2.25 11.16 410.062.00 11.08 407.21
Burford 2.20 11.11 408.222.00 11.08 407.21
Port Perry 2.17 11.08 407.121.97 11.05 406.11
Norfolk 2.25 11.16 410.062.00 11.08 407.21
Palmerston 2.20 11.11 408.222.05 11.13 409.05
Varna 2.25 11.16 410.062.00 11.08 407.21
Trenton 2.10 11.01 404.551.90 10.98 403.54
Winchester N/A 1.95 11.03 405.37
North Gower 2.00 10.91 400.872.05 11.13 409.05
Huron FOB 2.35 11.26 413.732.10 11.18 410.89
Kent FOB 2.45 11.36 417.412.00 11.08 407.21
Lambton FOB 2.30 11.21 411.902.10 11.18 410.89
Middlesex FOB2.45 2.45 2.35 N/A 11.36 417.412.09 11.17 410.52
PROCESSORS
Windsor 2.80 11.71 430.272.40 11.48 421.91
TRANSFER
Hamilton 2.75 11.66 428.432.45 11.53 423.75
Prescott N/A 2.45 11.53 423.75
Port Colborne N/A 2.40 11.48 421.91
Toledo El. -0.07 8.84 324.97-0.52 8.56 314.50
Exchange rate was 1.3132 up 0.0010
Chicago wheat closed slightly to moderately higher.
SEP19 HI 4.98 3/4 JUL10 HI 5.27 1/2
LOW 4.87 1/4 LOW 5.20
CLOSE 4.97 3/4 Up 10 1/2 CLOSE 5.26 1/2 Up 6 3/4
Minni wheat closed narrowly mixed.
SEP19 HI 5.25 SEP10 HI 5.79 3/4
LOW 5.20 LOW 5.74 3/4
CLOSE 5.22 1/4 Up 1 3/4 CLOSE 5.74 3/4 Down 3/4
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 19 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 2.02 2.28 1.95 1.24
CAD $/bu 7.00 7.26 6.93 6.46
CAD $/tonne 257.06 266.71 254.65 237.52
Direct MarkHarvest 2019 Harvest 2020
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A N/A 1.60 N/A N/A N/A 1.15 N/A
London 1.66 1.92 1.53 N/A 1.31 1.44 1.11 N/A
Hensall 1.70 N/A 1.60 N/A 1.35 N/A 1.15 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A 1.60 N/A N/A N/A 1.15 N/A
Bruce 1.70 1.95 1.60 1.20 1.35 1.55 1.15 N/A
Essex N/A N/A 1.50 N/A N/A N/A 1.10 N/A
Norwich 1.70 N/A 1.60 N/A 1.35 N/A 1.15 N/A
Port Hope N/A 1.90 1.65 N/A N/A 1.50 1.15 N/A
Kent Bridge 1.70 N/A 1.60 N/A 1.35 N/A 1.15 N/A
Chatham N/A N/A 1.60 N/A N/A N/A 1.10 N/A
Brigden N/A N/A 1.60 N/A N/A N/A 1.10 N/A
Palmerston N/A 1.95 1.60 1.20 N/A 1.57 1.22 N/A
Varna 1.70 1.95 1.60 N/A 1.35 1.55 1.15 N/A
Mitchell 1.70 1.90 1.60 N/A 1.35 1.50 1.15 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A 1.64 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A 1.95 1.75 1.05 N/A 1.62 1.42 0.85
W O Feed 2.13
TERMINAL
Port Colbor 1.99 2.25 1.86 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A N/A 1.82 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Toledo El. 5.18US 6.80CA 5.22US 6.82CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 20 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 1.56 1.82 1.49 0.98
CAD $/bu 6.82 7.08 6.76 6.73
CAD $/tonne 250.61 260.22 248.21 247.37
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal 479.84
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm 190.00
---
Ontario Grain Market Commentary for July 24, 2019
By Marty Hibbs, Grain Farmers of Ontario
Futures Prices as of close, July 24, 2019
Commodity Period Price Weekly Movement
Corn CBOT Sep 4.22 ↓ 12 cents
Soybeans CBOT Sep 8.95 ↓ 07 cents
Wheat CBOT Sep 4.97 ↓ 07 cents
Wheat Minn. Sep 5.22 ↓ 08 cents
Wheat Kansas Sep 4.40 ↓ 02 cents
Oats CBOT Sep 2.64 ↓ 14 cents
Canadian $ Sep 0.7617 ↓ 0.50 points
Corn:
Corn traded sideways again this week, and we are still finding downward pressure as we move towards the $4 support level. We have slipped back towards the $4.20 level which is almost 50 cents off our recent highs on the September futures. Expect more sideways-to-downward pressure in the coming weeks. If we manage to stay above the $4 level on the September contract I would expect an extended move higher as we get later in the season. Once this current correction is complete, I expect a re-test of the recent highs of $4.69 on the September futures and later this summer a shot towards our next target of $5 per bushel.
Good support is seen at $3.80-$4 on the September futures.
The primary trend for corn is now neutral to bullish.
Soybeans:
September soybeans have been range-bound for the last two weeks between the $8.80 and $9.25 levels on the September futures.
Overhead resistance is still pegged at the $9.35 to $9.50 level on the front month contract, while support is seen at the $8.50 level. A close above the $9.50 level would ignite an extended move to the upside, but it will take an unexpected event at this point to break that resistance.
Indicators are still mixed, and the primary trend is still down.
Wheat:
Our red sell signal did its job as we have fallen back below the $5 price target on the September futures since I went on vacation. There is good support at the $4.70 level on the daily chart and I expect it to be tested soon.
Indicators are positive with a primary trend that is neutral to bullish. Overhead resistance on September remains at the recent highs of $5.50 - $5.60.
---
Blair Andrews
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500<callto:519-674-1500> x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530<callto:519-674-1530>
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