[Farmmarketnews] Thursday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Thu Apr 20 15:22:56 EDT 2017


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Thu, April 20
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.348 up 0.0011
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.

      MAY17   HI 3.63  3/4                    DEC17    HI 3.88  1/2
             LOW 3.57  1/4                            LOW 3.81  1/2
            CLOSE3.57  3/4  Down 4                  CLOSE 3.82  1/2  Down 4

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +JUL17+JUL17+SEP17
CK Low       0.75                        4.33 170.37  0.95         4.78 187.98
CK High      0.80                        4.38 172.33  0.95         4.78 187.98
CK Avg       0.79                  -0.33 4.37 172.01  0.95 -0.28   4.78 187.98
Essex Cty    0.55                        4.13 162.49  0.85         4.68 184.05
Mdsx Low     0.80                        4.38 172.33  0.95         4.78 187.98
Mdsx High    0.80                        4.38 172.33  0.95         4.78 187.98
Mdsx Avg     0.80                  -0.33 4.38 172.33  0.95 -0.28   4.78 187.98
Hensall      0.80                        4.38 172.33  0.95         4.78 187.98
Bruce        0.80                        4.38 172.33  1.00         4.83 189.95
Putnam       0.75                        4.33 170.37  0.95         4.78 187.98
Burford      0.85                        4.43 174.30  0.95         4.78 187.98
Port Perry   1.00                        4.58 180.21  0.95         4.78 187.98
Norfolk      0.90                        4.48 176.27  1.00         4.83 189.95
Palmerston   0.80                        4.38 172.33  0.95         4.78 187.98
Varna        0.80                        4.38 172.33  0.95         4.78 187.98
Trenton      1.05                        4.63 182.18  0.95         4.78 187.98
Winchester   1.19                        4.77 187.69  1.20         5.03 197.83
North Gower  1.14                        4.72 185.72  1.08         4.91 193.10
Huron FOB    1.05                        4.63 182.18  0.95         4.78 187.98
Kent FOB     1.10                        4.68 184.15  0.90         4.73 186.02
Lamb FOB     1.00                        4.58 180.21  0.85         4.68 184.05
Mdsx FOB     0.85  0.90  0.90  0.90      4.43 174.30  0.95         4.78 187.98
FOB SW Que   1.20                        4.78 188.08N/A
Track        1.23                        4.80 189.07N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A    1.30  1.30  1.27                   1.07         4.90 192.71
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A   N/A     1.25                   1.05         4.88 191.92
Sarn-Eth    N/A    1.25  1.25  1.25                 N/A
Kawartha    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
London-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A     1.30                   1.10         4.93 193.89
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.15         4.98 195.86
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.25         5.08 199.79
W O Feed     1.36                        4.94 194.54

US Rep       1.58                        5.16 203.04
Toledo El.  -0.12                        3.46 136.07 -0.34         3.49 137.33

TRANSFER
Sarnia       1.10                        4.68 184.15  0.95         4.78188

MID SD CRN   0.77   1/2                  4.35 1/4     0.95         4.77 1/2
HI SD CRN    0.80                        4.37 3/4     0.95         4.77 1/2
*Wet Bid


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.348 up 0.0011
Chicago soybeans closed slightly lower.

       MAY17   HI 9.55  3/4           NOV17    HI 9.62  1/2
              LOW 9.46                        LOW 9.53
             CLOSE9.46  3/4  Down 3 1/2     CLOSE 9.53  3/4  Down 4 1/2

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt U.S.  $/bu  $/mt BasisU.S.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +MAY1+JUL1+JUL17
CK Low       2.60                     12.07 443.402.35      11.89 436.79
CK High      2.65                     12.12 445.242.40      11.94 438.63
CK Average   2.64                -0.4812.11 444.812.39 -0.6811.93 438.32
Essex Cty    2.65                     12.12 445.242.35      11.89 436.79
Mdsx Low     2.63                     12.10 444.512.38      11.92 437.89
Mdsx High    2.70                     12.17 447.082.45      11.99 440.47
Mdsx Average 2.67                -0.4612.13 445.792.42 -0.6611.95 439.18
Hensall      2.68                     12.14 446.162.45      11.99 440.47
Bruce        2.70                     12.17 447.082.45      11.99 440.47
Putnam       2.70                     12.17 447.082.45      11.99 440.47
Burford      2.74                     12.21 448.552.49      12.03 441.93
Port Perry   2.63                     12.10 444.512.38      11.92 437.89
Norfolk      2.70                     12.17 447.082.50      12.04 442.30
Palmerston   2.65                     12.12 445.242.40      11.94 438.63
Varna        2.65                     12.12 445.242.45      11.99 440.47
Trenton      2.55                     12.02 441.572.45      11.99 440.47
Winchester   2.48                     11.95 439.002.73      12.27 450.75
North Gower  2.53                     12.00 440.832.66      12.20 448.18
Huron FOB    2.80                     12.27 450.752.55      12.09 444.14
Kent FOB     2.75                     12.22 448.922.40      11.94 438.63
Lambton FOB  2.60                     12.07 443.402.50      12.04 442.30
Middlesex FOB2.80 2.87  N/A  N/A      12.27 450.752.59      12.13 445.61

PROCESSORS
Hamilton     3.12 3.05  N/A  N/A      12.59 462.513.05      12.59 462.51
                   N/A  N/A  N/A
TRANSFER
Prescott     2.76                     12.23 449.282.96      12.50 459.20
Sarnia       2.55                     12.02 441.572.79      12.33 452.96

Toledo El.   -0.31                     9.16 336.49-0.57      8.97 329.66


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.348 up 0.0011
Chicago wheat closed lower.
MAY17      HI     4.21  3/4             JUL17   HI         4.37
           LOW    4.05  1/4                     LOW        4.21
           CLOSE  4.06  1/4  Down 12 3/4        CLOSE   4.21  3/4  Down 12 3/4

Minni wheat closed moderately lower.
MAY17      HI     5.37  1/4             SEP17   HI         5.52
           LOW    5.26  1/2                     LOW     5.41  1/4
           CLOSE  5.27   Down 10 1/4            CLOSE   5.42   Down 10

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 16        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 0.67          0.67            0.67          0.35
CAD $/bu              4.73          4.73            4.73          5.62
CAD $/tonne         173.80        173.80          173.80        206.33


Direct MarkHarvest 2016                 Harvest 2017
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.75    N/A
London      0.80    0.80   0.73    N/A    0.98    0.78   0.78    N/A
Hensall     0.80    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.90    N/A    0.75    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.90    N/A
Bruce       0.80    0.70   0.70   0.40    0.90    0.75   0.75   0.60
Essex        N/A    N/A    0.51    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.66    N/A
Norwich     0.80    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.90    N/A    0.75    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     0.75   0.85    N/A
Kent Bridge 0.80    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.90    N/A    0.75    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.75    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.75    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    0.70   0.70   0.40    N/A     0.75   0.75   0.60
Varna       0.80    0.70   0.70    N/A    1.05    0.75   0.75    N/A
Mitchell    0.80    0.70   0.70    N/A    0.90    0.75   0.75    N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   0.19    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    0.61   0.61   0.18    N/A     1.16   1.16   0.74
W O Feed                   1.39

TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A    1.02    N/A    1.36    N/A    1.13    N/A
Prescott     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.04    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM  N/A    N/A        1.41N/A    N/A     N/A        1.46N/A

Toledo El. 3.96US         5.34CA        4.07US          5.48CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 17        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 1.06          1.06            1.06          0.80
CAD $/bu              5.28          5.28            5.28          6.22
CAD $/tonne         193.84        193.84          193.84        228.60

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal            455.15
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      175.00

------
Ontario Grain Market Commentary for April 19, 2017
By Marty Hibbs, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Wednesday, April 19, 2017 Closing Prices
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT May 3.62 ↓        04 cents
Soybeans CBOT May 9.50 ↑ 02 cents
Wheat CBOT May 4.19 ↑        15 cents
Wheat Minn. May 5.37 ↑ 10 cents
Wheat Kansas May 4.17 ↓ 13 cents
Chicago Oats May 2.18 ↓ 07 cents
Canadian $ June .7420 ↓ 0.95 points

CORN:  Corn has tracked sideways for the past three weeks between our $3.50 support and our $3.80 resistance.  U.S. corn planting is off to a slow start due to rain, but warmer, drier weather is expected in the eastern Corn Belt next week. Charts are quiet with the major trend still down. Resistance is at the $4 mark while support is seen at $3.50 and $3.40.
Short term indicators are negative and the main trend is still down.

SOYBEANS: Soybean futures prices have dropped from the $10.50 level to our $9.30 support line. That’s a $1.20 drop since our February 22 red sell signal.
News from South America remains negative, while Brazil's soybean harvest is almost 90% complete. Without sounding repetitious, the market is in a major downtrend and rallies should be sold. If the $9.30 support fails and closes below those levels on the lead month chart, our next major support is at the $8.50 level.
Short term indicators are all negative and the main trend is still down.

WHEAT: Our red sell signal from March 13 is still valid as we probe this $4.15 support level on the May contract. Our overhead resistance is now down to $4.45 on the May contract. This coincides with a four-year-old downtrend line. If we are unable to close convincingly above the $4.50 level, we are destined to re-test major support at $4.
Short term indicators are still negative and the primary trend is still down.

Harvest 2017 prices as of the close, April 19 are as follows:
SWW @ $200.30/MT ($5.45/bu),  HRW @ $200.30/MT ($5.45/bu),
HRS @ $233.73/MT ($6.36/bu),  SRW @ $200.30/MT ($5.45/bu),

----
Blair Andrews
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500<callto:519-674-1500> x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530<callto:519-674-1530>

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