[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Jun 8 15:35:02 EDT 2016
FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, June 8
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.2695 down 0.0094
Chicago corn closed slightly to moderately higher.
JUL16 HI 4.39 1/4 DEC16 HI 4.44
LOW 4.26 1/2 LOW 4.31
CLOSE4.31 1/4 Up 3 1/2 CLOSE 4.37 Up 3 3/4
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt U.S. $/bu $/mt Cntrct U.S. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +SEP16+SEP16+DEC16
CK Low 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.65 5.02 197.63
CK High 0.90 5.21 205.21 0.75 5.12 201.57
CK Avg 0.82 -0.27 5.13 201.93 0.68 -0.40 5.05 198.61
Essex Cty 0.90 5.21 205.21 0.75 5.12 201.57
Mdsx Low 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.65 5.02 197.63
Mdsx High 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.65 5.02 197.63
Mdsx Avg 0.80 -0.29 5.11 201.27 0.65 -0.42 5.02 197.63
Hensall 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.67 5.04 198.22
Bruce 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.65 5.02 197.63
Putnam 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.70 5.07 199.60
Burford 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.65 5.02 197.63
Port Perry 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.70 5.07 199.60
Norfolk 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.65 5.02 197.63
Palmerston 0.90 5.21 205.21 0.75 5.12 201.57
Varna 0.80 5.11 201.27 0.70 5.07 199.60
Trenton 0.85 5.16 203.24 0.75 5.12 201.57
Winchester 0.95 5.26 207.18 0.88 5.25 206.68
North Gower 0.85 5.16 203.24 0.85 5.22 205.50
Huron FOB 0.95 5.26 207.18 0.72 5.09 200.38
Kent FOB 0.95 5.26 207.18 0.72 5.09 200.38
Lamb FOB 0.95 5.26 207.18 0.75 5.12 201.57
Mdsx FOB 0.90 0.90N/A N/A 5.21 205.21 0.70 5.07 199.60
FOB SW Que 1.16 5.47 215.44N/A
Track 1.20 5.51 217.02N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aylmer-Eth N/A N/A 1.15 1.15 0.85 5.22 205.50
Sarn-Eth 1.15 1.15 1.20 1.25 5.46 215.05N/A
Kawartha N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.95 5.32 209.44
London-Ing N/A N/A 1.29 1.36 0.88 5.25 206.68
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A N/A N/A 1.44 N/A
Cardnl-Ing N/A N/A N/A 1.29 1.04 5.41 212.98
W O Feed 1.32 5.64 221.90
US Rep 1.49 5.80 228.43
Toledo El. -0.01 4.30 169.28 -0.25 4.12 162.04
MID SD CRN 0.70 5.07
HI SD CRN 0.75 5.12
*Wet Bid
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.2695 down 0.0094
Chicago soybeans closed higher.
JUL16 HI 11.89 1/4 NOV16 HI 11.59 1/4
LOW 11.38 LOW 11.12 1/4
CLOSE11.77 3/4 Up 36 1/2 CLOSE 11.50 1/4 Up 33 1/2
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt U.S. $/bu $/mt BasisU.S. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +JUL1+AUG1+NOV16
CK Low 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
CK High 2.50 14.28 524.612.30 13.80 507.16
CK Average 2.48 -0.5514.26 524.002.28 -0.6513.79 506.54
Essex Cty 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Mdsx Low 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Mdsx High 2.48 14.26 523.872.28 13.78 506.42
Mdsx Average 2.47 -0.5614.24 523.322.27 -0.6613.77 505.87
Hensall 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Bruce 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Putnam 2.50 14.28 524.612.30 13.80 507.16
Burford 2.51 14.29 524.982.31 13.81 507.52
Port Perry 2.48 14.26 523.872.28 13.78 506.42
Norfolk 2.50 14.28 524.612.30 13.80 507.16
Palmerston 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Varna 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Trenton 2.45 14.23 522.772.25 13.75 505.32
Winchester 2.40 14.18 520.932.40 13.90 510.83
North Gower 2.06 13.84 508.442.37 13.87 509.73
Huron FOB 2.60 14.38 528.282.40 13.90 510.83
Kent FOB 2.60 14.38 528.282.40 13.90 510.83
Lambton FOB 2.45 14.23 522.772.50 14.00 514.50
Middlesex FOB2.60 2.66 N/A N/A 14.38 528.282.45 13.95 512.67
PROCESSORS
Hamilton 2.86 2.98 3.05 N/A 14.64 537.842.72 14.22 522.59
Windsor N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Winchester N/A N/A
TRANSFER
Prescott 1.80 13.58 498.892.65 14.15 520.02
Toledo El. -0.29 11.49 422.02-0.41 11.10 407.71
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.2695 down 0.0094
Chicago wheat closed moderately higher.
JUL16 HI 5.24 JUL16 HI 5.24
LOW 5.06 LOW 5.06
CLOSE 5.19 1/2 Up 10 1/2 CLOSE 5.19 1/2 Up 10 1/2
Minni wheat closed moderately higher.
JUL16 HI 5.57 SEP16 HI 5.65 3/4
LOW 5.45 LOW 5.53 3/4
CLOSE 5.55 1/2 Up 9 1/4 CLOSE 5.64 1/2 Up 9 1/2
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 15 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 2.85 0.69 0.63 0.69
CAD $/bu 8.04 5.89 5.82 6.24
CAD $/tonne 295.58 216.26 213.93 229.33
Direct MarkHarvest 2015 Harvest 2016
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.35 0.35 N/A
London 2.71 0.37 0.56 N/A 0.68 0.37 0.37 N/A
Hensall 2.65 N/A 0.50 N/A 0.65 N/A 0.40 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.50 N/A
Winchester N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Essex N/A N/A 0.27 N/A N/A N/A 0.34 N/A
Norwich 2.65 N/A 0.50 N/A 0.65 N/A 0.40 N/A
Port Hope N/A 0.30 0.50 -0.06 N/A 0.55 0.50 0.46
Kent Bridge 2.65 N/A -0.15 N/A 0.65 N/A 0.40 N/A
Chatham N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.35 0.35 N/A
Brigden N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.35 N/A
Palmerston N/A 0.30 0.45 0.55 N/A 0.45 0.40 0.55
Varna 2.55 0.25 0.40 N/A 0.60 0.35 0.35 N/A
Mitchell 2.65 0.30 0.50 N/A 0.65 0.35 0.40 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A 0.20 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A 0.49 0.43 0.49 N/A 0.39 0.54 0.67
TERMINAL
Prescott N/A 0.30 N/A 0.45 N/A 0.25 0.60 0.75
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A N/A 1.21 N/A 1.85 N/A 1.21 N/A
Toledo El. 5.10US 6.47CA 5.10US 6.47CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 16 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 0.77 0.64 0.64 0.76
CAD $/bu 5.96 5.83 5.83 6.41
CAD $/tonne 219.06 214.40 214.40 235.39
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal 622.93
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm 210.00 - 215.00
----
Weekly Ontario Grain Market Commentary by Marty Hibbs, Grain Farmers of Ontario
Tuesday, June 7, 2016 Closing Prices
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT July 4.28 ↑ 14 cents
Soybeans CBOT July 11.41 ↑ 41 cents
Wheat CBOT July 5.09 ↑ 33 cents
Wheat Minn. July 5.47 ↑ 19 cents
Wheat Kansas July 4.85 ↑ 29 cents
Chicago Oats July 1.96 ↑ 06 cents
Canadian $ June .7828 ↑ 1.73 points
CORN:
Corn has performed very well over the past six weeks and we have reached a pivotal short term point on our charts. The July contract shows a protracted target of $4.30 has been reached which could suggest a rest and a possible correction. However, our weekly charts have not been satisfied, and this means we could have more upside in the coming days and a test of the $4.40 highs made back in the summer of 2015. If we manage a close above $4.40, the next target would be a run towards the $4.70 - $4.80 level likely within the next month. Both short and medium indicators are still positive, and this week our long term trend is getting a weak buy signal. This suggests we are at a critical point and another possible reason why we may see a stall in prices before we move higher. Support levels on the July contract are at $3.85 - $4 based on Chicago July futures.
SOYBEANS:
Soybeans had a positive week again and we are now in the middle of a move that can go in either direction. According to our charts, we have reached our target of $11.40 but did not hold above there after the initial close on June 3. The chart also closed lower the following day with a hook reversal. Although the hook reversal is not a reliable indicator, it does suggest caution should be used in regards to the long side of the market. The past couple of trading sessions have formed a flag which extends to our $12 target area. In other words, if we manage to stay above $11.25 on the July contract before the next commentary, there is a good chance we will see our $12 target in the coming week but a close below the $11.25 level could prompt a selloff back below $11. Support is now seen between $10.80 and $11, while overhead resistance remains at $11.90 - $12.10 with our next upside target close to the $12 area on July. The weekly charts show potential for a shot at $13. If this market continues to perform as it has in the past month. Short and medium term indicators remain bullish, but the long term trend has not yet confirmed a trend reversal.
WHEAT:
Wheat finally hit a home run the week of June 6 with a better than 30 cent move and flashed our first red signal on the weekly charts. Before we get too carried away, I feel the continuation of this move depends a lot on the corn and bean activity. All three of the grains are now hitting stiff resistance and that includes wheat which is running into a four-year-old down-trend line that cuts across the $5.15 - $5.25 levels on the July contract. Wheat has initial support at the $4.60 level on July with major support still at the $4.40 - $4.50 levels. The daily and weekly indicators have now turned bullish but the long term trend for the time being is still down.
HARVEST 2016 CROP CASH PRICES as of CLOSE on June 7, 2016
SWW @ $215.17/MT ($5.86/bu), HRW @ $210.48/MT ($5.73/bu),
HRS @ $232.04/MT ($6.32/bu), SRW @ $210.48/MT ($5.73/bu).
--
Blair Andrews
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
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