[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Weekly GFO Grain Market Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Dec 21 15:39:26 EST 2016


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, December 21
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.3401 up 0.0023
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.

      MAR17   HI 3.51  1/4                    DEC17    HI 3.82  1/2
             LOW 3.46  3/4                            LOW 3.78
            CLOSE3.47  1/4  Down 3                  CLOSE 3.78  1/4  Down 3 1/2

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt U.S. $/bu   $/mt Cntrct U.S.   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAR17+MAR17+MAY17
CK Low       0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.80         4.58 180.41
CK High      0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.85         4.63 182.37
CK Avg       0.65                  -0.39 4.12 162.30  0.81 -0.35   4.59 180.73
Essex Cty    0.55                        4.02 158.36  0.75         4.53 178.44
Mdsx Low     0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.80         4.58 180.41
Mdsx High    0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.85         4.63 182.37
Mdsx Avg     0.65                  -0.39 4.12 162.30  0.83 -0.34   4.61 181.39
Hensall      0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.85         4.63 182.37
Bruce        0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.85         4.63 182.37
Putnam       0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.80         4.58 180.41
Burford      0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.80         4.58 180.41
Port Perry   1.10                        4.57 180.01  0.90         4.68 184.34
Norfolk      0.75                        4.22 166.23  0.80         4.58 180.41
Palmerston   0.80                        4.27 168.20  0.80         4.58 180.41
Varna        0.65                        4.12 162.30  0.85         4.63 182.37
Trenton      1.20                        4.67 183.95  0.90         4.68 184.34
Winchester   0.99                        4.46 175.68  0.89         4.67 183.95
North Gower  1.10                        4.57 180.01  1.10         4.88 192.22
Huron FOB    0.95                        4.42 174.11  0.87         4.65 183.16
Kent FOB     0.85                        4.32 170.17  0.80         4.58 180.41
Lamb FOB     1.00                        4.47 176.07  0.85         4.63 182.37
Mdsx FOB     0.70  0.70N/A   N/A         4.17 164.26  0.80         4.58 180.41
FOB SW Que   1.20                        4.67 183.95N/A
Track        1.27                        4.74 186.51N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth     1.15  1.18  1.23  1.21      4.62 181.98  1.05         4.83 190.25
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Aylmer-Eth  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.00         4.78 188.28
Sarn-Eth     1.15  1.20  1.25  1.25      4.62 181.98N/A
Kawartha    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
London-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                      1.05         4.83 190.25
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Cardnl-Ing   1.31N/A     1.43N/A         4.78 188.28  1.10         4.88 192.22
W O Feed     1.53                        5.00 196.86

US Rep       1.74                        5.21 205.21
Toledo El.  -0.13                        3.34 131.43 -0.33         3.45 135.75


MID SD CRN   0.65                        4.12 1/4
HI SD CRN    0.65                        4.12 1/4
*Wet Bid


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.3401 up 0.0023
Chicago soybeans closed slightly higher.

       JAN17   HI 10.12  1/4          NOV17    HI 10.02
              LOW 10.05                       LOW 9.95
             CLOSE10.06  3/4  Up 1 1/2      CLOSE 9.97  1/2  Up  3/4

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt U.S.  $/bu  $/mt BasisU.S.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +JAN1+MAR1+MAR17
CK Low       2.60                     12.67 465.452.50      12.48 458.38
CK High      2.70                     12.77 469.132.60      12.58 462.05
CK Average   2.65                -0.5712.72 467.412.56 -0.6012.54 460.58
Essex Cty    2.60                     12.67 465.452.55      12.53 460.21
Mdsx Low     2.65                     12.72 467.292.54      12.52 459.85
Mdsx High    2.67                     12.74 468.022.55      12.53 460.21
Mdsx Average 2.66                -0.5612.73 467.662.55 -0.6112.52 460.03
Hensall      2.68                     12.74 468.212.58      12.55 461.13
Bruce        2.65                     12.72 467.292.55      12.53 460.21
Putnam       2.60                     12.67 465.452.55      12.53 460.21
Burford      2.74                     12.81 470.602.61      12.59 462.42
Port Perry   2.67                     12.74 468.022.54      12.52 459.85
Norfolk      2.70                     12.77 469.132.60      12.58 462.05
Palmerston   2.65                     12.72 467.292.60      12.58 462.05
Varna        2.70                     12.77 469.132.65      12.63 463.89
Trenton      2.70                     12.77 469.132.65      12.63 463.89
Winchester   2.69                     12.76 468.762.71      12.69 466.09
North Gower  2.66                     12.73 467.662.69      12.67 465.36
Huron FOB    2.85                     12.92 474.642.70      12.68 465.73
Kent FOB     2.75                     12.82 470.962.55      12.53 460.21
Lambton FOB  2.70                     12.77 469.132.75      12.73 467.56
Middlesex FOB2.84 2.84  N/A  N/A      12.91 474.272.67      12.65 464.62

PROCESSORS
Hamilton     3.22 3.22  N/A  N/A      13.29 488.233.10      13.08 480.42
Windsor       N/A  N/A  N/A  N/A                   N/A
Winchester    N/A                                  N/A

TRANSFER
Prescott     2.96                     13.03 478.683.09      13.07 480.06

Toledo El.   -0.43                     9.64 354.17-0.45      9.52 349.81


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.3401 up 0.0023
Chicago wheat closed slightly lower.
MAR17      HI     4.04  1/2             JUL17   HI      4.30  3/4
           LOW        3.99                      LOW     4.25  3/4
           CLOSE  3.99  1/2  Down 3 3/4         CLOSE   4.26  1/2  Down 4

Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
MAR17      HI     5.42  1/2             SEP17   HI      5.46  1/2
           LOW    5.38  1/2                     LOW        5.44
           CLOSE  5.39  1/2  Down 1 1/4         CLOSE   5.44  1/2  Down 1 1/4

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 16        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 0.62          0.55            0.68          0.56
CAD $/bu              4.61          4.55            4.68          5.95
CAD $/tonne         169.50        167.04          171.96        218.70


Direct MarkHarvest 2016                 Harvest 2017
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     0.60   0.60    N/A
London      0.62    0.62   0.62    N/A    0.64    0.57   0.57    N/A
Hensall     0.70    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.60    N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.80    N/A
Bruce       0.70    0.65   0.70   0.40    0.70    0.60   0.60   0.60
Essex        N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.45    N/A
Norwich     0.70    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.60    N/A
Port Hope    N/A    0.70   0.70    N/A    N/A     0.55   0.60    N/A
Kent Bridge 0.70    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.70    N/A    0.60    N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.60    N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    0.70    N/A    N/A     N/A    0.60    N/A
Palmerston   N/A    0.65   0.55   0.40    N/A     0.60   0.60   0.60
Varna       0.70    0.70   0.70    N/A    0.65    0.60   0.60    N/A
Mitchell    0.70    0.70   0.70    N/A    0.70    0.55   0.60    N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   0.03    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    0.45   0.59   0.35    N/A     0.89   0.89   0.66
W O Feed                   1.51

TERMINAL
Prescott     N/A    N/A    0.78   0.65    N/A     0.85   1.00   0.71

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    N/A    1.35    N/A    N/A     N/A    1.44    N/A

Toledo El. 3.85US         5.15CA        4.07US          5.44CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 17        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 0.90          0.84            0.84          0.77
CAD $/bu              5.17          5.10            5.10          6.21
CAD $/tonne         189.94        187.48          187.48        228.27

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
FOB Hm Soymeal            519.75
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      135.00 - 140.00

---

Ontario Grain Market Commentary for December 21, 2016

By Marty Hibbs, Grain Farmers of Ontario

Wednesday, December 21, 2016 Closing Prices

COMMODITY

PERIOD

PRICE

WEEKLY MOVEMENT

Corn CBOT

Mar

3.48

↓

        14

cents

Soybeans CBOT

Mar

10.19

↓

15

cents

Wheat CBOT

Mar

4.00

↓

18

cents

Wheat Minn.

Mar

5.39

↓

02

cents

Wheat Kansas

Mar

4.08

↓

12

cents

Chicago Oats

Mar

2.23

↓

07

cents













Canadian $

Mar

.7468

↓

0.79

points



CORN: Another quiet week as corn remained range-bound in our $3.40 - $3.60 pattern. We are in need of a break away from this range to see a definitive move either higher towards the $3.70 resistance level or a re-test of the lows of Labour Day.  Meanwhile, our overhead resistance remains at the $3.60 - $3.70 level, based on the close of the March contract. Support is seen at $3.35 on a close. Although indicators are mixed, the main trend is still down, but forming a nice base.

SOYBEANS: We are approaching our support level at the $10 level on the January contract which is also a 50% pullback from the $10.75 March highs and the $9.50 lows. Our resistance level of $10.70 has been tested twice this month and we failed to close above it. We are now back to our initial support line at $10. Indicators are still mixed, but the primary trend is still down.
WHEAT: Our initial overhead resistance of $4.20 proved to be the end of the road for the last rally. As suspected, we are now heading back to test support and we are currently trading at the $4 level on the March contract. Failure to hold around this level could incite a further decline to test the Labour Day lows at the $3.60 level in the coming weeks. Daily support is still at $4.00 on the March contract while the weekly chart has major support at the lows of $3.60, but failure to stay above that level could produce lower prices into the New Year.  All indicators, including the intermediate and primary trends, are still down.

2016 CROP CASH PRICES as of close on December 21, 2016

SWW @ $169.73 ($4.62/bu), HRW @ $167.27/MT ($4.55/bu),
HRS @ $218.92/MT ($5.96/bu), SRW @ $172.19/MT ($4.69/bu).

-----
Blair Andrews
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500<callto:519-674-1500> x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530<callto:519-674-1530>

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