[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report and Marty Hibbs GFO Grain Commentary
Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report
farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Jun 25 15:01:28 EDT 2014
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FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, June 25
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0721 down 0.0019
Chicago corn closed slightly lower.
JUL14 HI 4.43 DEC14 HI 4.41 1/2
LOW 4.40 LOW 4.37 3/4
CLOSE4.41 Down 2 CLOSE 4.40 Down 3/4
OLD CROP BASIS NEW CROP BASIS
Location Spot 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj $/bu $/mt Cntrct Adj $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +SEP14+SEP14+DEC14
CK Low -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
CK High -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
CK Avg -0.05 -0.38 4.36 171.65 -0.20 -0.53 4.20 165.35
Essex Cty 0.05 4.46 175.58 -0.25 4.15 163.38
Mdsx Low -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Mdsx High -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Mdsx Avg -0.05 -0.38 4.36 171.65 -0.20 -0.53 4.20 165.35
Hensall -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Bruce -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Putnam -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Burford -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Port Perry -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Norfolk -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Palmerston -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.15 4.25 167.32
Varna -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.15 4.25 167.32
Trenton 0.00 4.41 173.61 -0.10 4.30 169.28
Winchester 0.15 4.56 179.52 0.07 4.47 175.98
North Gower 0.00 4.41 173.61 0.02 4.42 174.01
Huron FOB 0.25 4.66 183.46 -0.25 4.15 163.38
Kent FOB -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Lamb FOB -0.05 4.36 171.65 -0.20 4.20 165.35
Mdsx FOB 0.10N/A N/A N/A 4.51 177.55 -0.20 4.20 165.35
FOB SW Que 0.65 5.06 199.20 -0.08 4.32 170.07
Track 0.38 4.79 188.38N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.20 4.56 179.52N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aylmer-Eth 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.20 4.56 179.52 N/A
Sarn-Eth 0.20 0.30 0.35 0.40 4.61 181.49N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A*
London-Ing N/A N/A N/A 0.40 0.05 4.45 175.19
Pt.Colb-Ing 0.50 0.55 0.60 0.60 4.91 193.30 0.10 4.50 177.16
Cardnl-Ing N/A N/A N/A 0.60 0.20 4.60 181.09
W O Feed 0.55 0.47 4.96 195.27
US Rep 0.60 0.52 5.01 197.23
Toledo El. -0.14 4.27 168.11 -0.33 4.07 160.10
TRANSFER
Sarnia N/A N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A
Hamilton 0.48 4.89192 1/2 -0.04 4.36171 2/3
MID SD CRN -0.20 4.20
HI SD CRN -0.20 4.20
*Wet Bid
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0721 down 0.0019
Chicago soybeans closed slightly higher.
AUG14 HI 13.67 NOV14 HI 12.34
LOW 13.57 LOW 12.23
CLOSE13.61 3/4 Up 4 CLOSE 12.29 Up 4 1/2
OLD CROP NEW CROP
Location Basis 1mt 2mt 3mt Adj. $/bu $/mt BasisAdj. $/bu $/mt
ELEVATORS +AUG1+AUG1+NOV14
CK Low 1.72 15.34 563.560.25 12.54 460.77
CK High 1.90 15.52 570.170.35 12.64 464.44
CK Average 1.83 0.81 15.44 567.410.29 -0.6312.58 462.30
Essex Cty 2.19 15.81 580.830.50 12.79 469.95
Mdsx Low 1.75 15.37 564.660.23 12.52 460.03
Mdsx High 1.85 15.47 568.330.25 12.54 460.77
Mdsx Average 1.80 0.78 15.42 566.500.24 -0.6812.53 460.40
Hensall 1.85 15.47 568.330.25 12.54 460.77
Bruce 1.85 15.47 568.330.25 12.54 460.77
Putnam 1.85 15.47 568.330.25 12.54 460.77
Burford 1.78 15.40 565.760.26 12.55 461.13
Port Perry 1.75 15.37 564.660.23 12.52 460.03
Norfolk 1.78 15.40 565.760.28 12.57 461.87
Palmerston 1.90 15.52 570.170.30 12.59 462.60
Varna 1.84 15.46 567.970.30 12.59 462.60
Trenton 1.75 15.37 564.660.25 12.54 460.77
Winchester 1.85 15.47 568.330.60 12.89 473.63
North Gower 1.68 15.30 562.090.61 12.90 473.99
Huron FOB 1.95 15.57 572.010.35 12.64 464.44
Kent FOB 1.83 15.45 567.600.28 12.57 461.87
Lambton FOB 1.83 15.45 567.600.28 12.57 461.87
Middlesex FOB1.95 N/A N/A N/A 15.57 572.010.45 12.74 468.11
PROCESSORS
Hamilton 2.23 2.29 N/A N/A 15.85 582.300.77 13.06 479.87
Windsor 2.41 2.26 N/A N/A 16.03 588.910.72 13.01 478.04
Winchester N/A N/A
TRANSFER
Hamilton 2.38 N/A N/A N/A 16.00 587.810.67 12.96 476.20
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A
Sarnia N/A N/A
Owen Sound N/A N/A
Sorel QC 1.41 15.03 552.170.00 12.29 451.58
Toledo El. 0.72 14.34 526.81-0.30 11.99 440.52
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0721 down 0.0019
Chicago wheat closed slightly higher.
JUL14 HI 5.76 JUL14 HI 5.76
LOW 5.67 3/4 LOW 5.67 3/4
CLOSE 5.75 1/2 Up 4 1/2 CLOSE 5.75 1/2 Up 4 1/2
Minni wheat closed narrowly mixed.
JUL14 HI 6.81 1/4 SEP14 HI 6.89 1/4
LOW 6.72 LOW 6.82
CLOSE 6.73 3/4 Down 2 3/4 CLOSE 6.84 3/4 Up 1 1/4
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 13 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 0.05 0.16 -0.16 -0.46
CAD $/bu 5.81 5.92 5.59 6.27
CAD $/tonne 213.43 217.38 205.54 230.51
Direct MarkHarvest 2013 Harvest 2014
DELIVERED BASIS DELIVERED BASIS
Location SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C) HRW(C) SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.10 -0.34 N/A
London 0.07 0.29 -0.41 N/A 0.08 0.08 -0.40 N/A
Hensall 0.25 N/A -0.30 N/A 0.25 N/A -0.35 N/A
Trenton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.20 N/A
Winchester N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Essex N/A N/A -0.30 N/A N/A N/A -0.35 N/A
Norwich 0.25 N/A -0.30 N/A 0.25 N/A -0.35 N/A
Mt. Elgin N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Kent Bridge 0.25 N/A -0.30 N/A 0.25 N/A -0.35 N/A
Chatham N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.40 N/A
Brigden N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.40 N/A
Palmerston N/A 0.25 -0.38 -0.06 N/A 0.26 -0.36 -0.41
Varna 0.15 0.40 -0.35 N/A 0.15 0.05 -0.40 N/A
Mitchell 0.25 0.50 -0.30 N/A 0.25 0.15 -0.35 N/A
Thornton N/A N/A N/A -0.97 N/A N/A N/A N/A
North Gower N/A N/A N/A -0.29 N/A N/A N/A -0.15
TERMINAL
Sarnia N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Hamilton N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A -0.12 N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM N/A N/A 0.59N/A 0.86N/A 0.59N/A
Toledo El. 5.73US 6.15CA 5.78US 6.21CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 14 Soft White(C) Hard Red(C) Soft Red(C) Red Spring(M)
Basis 0.11 0.21 -0.27 -0.29
CAD $/bu 5.86 5.97 5.49 6.55
CAD $/tonne 215.41 219.36 201.59 240.78
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat 280.00 - 340.00
Bayport Oats 360.00
Bayport Barley 280.00
FOB Hm Soymeal 604.85 - 615.87
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm 260.00 - 275.00
Wednesday June 25, 2014
COMMODITY PERIOD PRICE WEEKLY MOVEMENT
Corn CBOT July 4.41 - 0 cents
Soybeans CBOT July 14.16 ↑ 10 cents
Wheat CBOT July 5.75 ↓ 10 cents
Wheat Minn. July 6.74 ↑ 22 cents
Wheat Kansas July 7.14 ↑ 10 cents
Canadian $ Sept 0.9287 ↑ 1.24 points
Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne’s post-election cabinet shuffle puts the province’s agriculture and food ministry and rural affairs ministry back under one minister.
Wynne on Tuesday announced Jeff Leal, the MPP for Peterborough and the province’s minister of rural affairs since February last year, as the new minister of agriculture, food and rural affairs in what’s now a 27-member cabinet.
Some observers at Queen’s Park had recently been expecting Wynne — who’d pulled double duty in cabinet since early 2013 as premier and ag minister — to hand off the ag portfolio following the June 12 election.
Wynne will serve as minister for intergovernmental affairs on top of her duties as premier.
CORN:
Hedge funds extended a spree of cutting their net long in Chicago corn futures and options, this time by more than 9,000 lots, again fuelled by a rise in short positions, a trend Brian Roach at U.S. broker Roach Ag Marketing told Agrimoney.com last week could fuel a price rebound encouraged by short-covering.
After rallying more than 20 cents from last week’s lows, corn is now retesting those lows of $4.35 based on the July contract. Lows for July contract is just above the $4.20 mark established back in January of this year.
SOYBEANS:
Managed money, a proxy for speculators, cut its net long position in futures and options in the top 13 U.S. traded agricultural commodities by 43,869 contracts in the week to last Tuesday, data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed.
Chicago soybean futures and options sustained the brunt of the negative positioning, with speculators cutting their net long position by more than 33,000 contracts to 46,624 lots, the lowest in 10 months
Technically, in an indication of the downbeat sentiment, the number of short positions rose by 22,000 lots to 92,483 contracts – the largest on records going back eight years.
Such movements in positioning are closely watched by investors as they can prove a contrary price indicator, with build-ups in short positioning; for instance, raising questions over a hedge fund’s appetite for more such holdings.
WHEAT:
Chicago Wheat continues to search for a bottom as the charts show we are approaching the $5.50 - $5.60 lows of January. This looks like a major support level on both the daily and weekly charts. Although the trend is still down, and may take time to turn up, failure to find support at these levels could result in much lower levels as there is not a lot of technical support until we reach the $4.50 area, a full dollar lower.
Average analyst estimates anticipate that the June 30 report from the USDA will reveal that wheat inventories as of June 1 were 598 million bushels, down considerably from last year's June 1 stocks of 718 million.
2014 harvest prices as of close on June 25th are as follows:
SWW at $215.83/mt ($5.87/bu), SRW at $201.98/mt ($5.50/bu), HRW at $219.79/mt ($5.98/bu), HRS at $241.25/mt ($6.57 /bu).
--
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
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