[Farmmarketnews] Friday Ontario Commodity Report and Grain Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Fri Jun 14 15:39:30 EDT 2013


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Fri, June 14
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0177 up 0.0007
Chicago corn closed mixed.

      JUL13   HI 6.58                         DEC13    HI 5.36  3/4
             LOW 6.43  3/4                            LOW 5.30  1/2
            CLOSE6.55   Up 11 1/2                   CLOSE 5.33   Down 2 1/4

            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +SEP13+SEP13+DEC13
CK Low      -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.80         4.53 178.34
CK High     -0.30                        6.25 246.05 -0.70         4.63 182.28
CK Avg      -0.34                  -0.45 6.21 244.41 -0.78 -0.87   4.55 178.99
Essex Cty   -0.25                        6.30 248.02 -0.75         4.58 180.31
Mdsx Low    -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.80         4.53 178.34
Mdsx High   -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.75         4.58 180.31
Mdsx Avg    -0.35                  -0.46 6.20 244.08 -0.78 -0.87   4.56 179.32
Hensall     -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.78         4.56 179.32
Bruce       -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.80         4.53 178.34
Putnam      N/A                                      -0.70         4.63 182.28
Burford     -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.80         4.53 178.34
Port Perry  -0.40                        6.15 242.11 -0.80         4.53 178.34
Norfolk     -0.40                        6.15 242.11 -0.80         4.53 178.34
Palmerston  N/A                                      -0.75         4.58 180.31
Varna       -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.75         4.58 180.31
Trenton     -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.75         4.58 180.31
Winchester  -0.30                        6.25 246.05 -0.50         4.83 190.15
North Gower -0.33                        6.22 244.87 -0.70         4.63 182.28
Huron FOB   -0.25                        6.30 248.02 -0.75         4.58 180.31
Kent FOB    -0.30                        6.25 246.05 -0.85         4.48 176.37
Lamb FOB    -0.30                        6.25 246.05 -0.85         4.48 176.37
Mdsx FOB    -0.20N/A   N/A   N/A         6.35 249.99 -0.75         4.58 180.31
FOB SW Que  -0.10                        6.45 253.93 -0.45         4.88 192.12
Track        0.05                        6.60 259.83N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A    0.90  0.95  1.30                 N/A
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
Aylmer-Eth  -0.25  0.50  0.55  0.70      6.30 248.02 -0.55         4.78 188.18
Sarn-Eth    -0.20  0.80  0.95  1.25      6.35 249.99N/A
Cllngwd-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     N/A*
London-Ing  N/A  N/A     0.90  1.00                  -0.45         4.88 192.12
Pt.Colb-Ing N/A  N/A     0.85  1.05                  -0.40         4.93 194.09
Cardnl-Ing  N/A  N/A   N/A     1.05                  -0.40         4.93 194.09
W O Feed     0.05                   0.03 6.60 259.83

US Rep       0.50                   0.48 7.05 277.55
Toledo El.   0.40                        6.95 273.48 -0.34         4.99 196.62

TRANSFER
Sarnia      N/A                                     N/A
Pt. Stanley -0.35                        6.20 244.08 -0.80         4.53178 1/3
Hamilton    -0.19                        6.36250 3/8 -0.60         4.73186 1/5

MID SD CRN                                           -0.75         4.58
HI SD CRN                                            -0.70         4.63
*Wet Bid


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0177 up 0.0007
Chicago soybeans closed mixed.

       JUL13   HI 15.22               NOV13    HI 13.07
              LOW 15.06                       LOW 12.88
             CLOSE15.16  1/2  Up 6 1/4      CLOSE 12.98  1/4  Down 2 1/4

             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +AUG1+AUG1+AUG13
CK Low       -0.05                    15.12 555.38-0.70     12.28 451.30
CK High      -0.01                    15.16 556.85-0.60     12.38 454.98
CK Average   -0.04               -0.3015.13 555.87-0.66-0.8812.33 452.90
Essex Cty    -0.05                    15.12 555.38-0.48     12.50 459.39
Mdsx Low     -0.05                    15.12 555.38-0.66     12.32 452.77
Mdsx High    0.00                     15.17 557.22-0.65     12.33 453.14
Mdsx Average -0.03               -0.2915.14 556.30-0.66-0.8812.33 452.96
Hensall      -0.03                    15.14 556.30-0.65     12.33 453.14
Bruce        -0.05                    15.12 555.38-0.65     12.33 453.14
Putnam        N/A                                 -0.50     12.48 458.65
Burford      0.06                     15.23 559.42-0.60     12.38 454.98
Port Perry   0.00                     15.17 557.22-0.66     12.32 452.77
Norfolk      0.04                     15.21 558.69-0.61     12.37 454.61
Palmerston   0.00                     15.17 557.22-0.65     12.33 453.14
Varna        0.00                     15.17 557.22-0.65     12.33 453.14
Trenton      0.00                     15.17 557.22-0.60     12.38 454.98
Winchester   -0.25                    14.92 548.03-0.42     12.56 461.59
North Gower  0.17                     15.34 563.46-0.43     12.55 461.23
Huron FOB    0.15                     15.32 562.73-0.55     12.43 456.82
Kent FOB     0.04                     15.21 558.69-0.56     12.42 456.45
Lambton FOB  0.04                     15.21 558.69-0.56     12.42 456.45
Middlesex FOB0.15 1.17  N/A  N/A      15.32 562.73-0.45     12.53 460.49

PROCESSORS
Hamilton     0.42 1.50 1.60  N/A      15.59 572.65-0.10     12.88 473.35
Windsor      0.18 0.92  N/A  N/A      15.35 563.83-0.25     12.73 467.84
Winchester    N/A                                  N/A

TRANSFER
Hamilton     0.67  N/A  N/A  N/A      15.84 581.84-6.00      6.98 256.56
Pt. Stanley   N/A                                  N/A
Sarnia        N/A                                  N/A
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC      N/A                                 0.35      13.33 489.89

Toledo El.   0.07                     15.24 559.83-0.39     12.60 462.82


Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0177 up 0.0007
Chicago wheat closed slightly lower.
JUL13      HI     6.85  1/2             JUL13   HI      6.85  1/2
           LOW    6.76  1/2                     LOW     6.76  1/2
           CLOSE  6.80  3/4  Down 4 3/4         CLOSE   6.80  3/4  Down 4 3/4

Minni wheat closed slightly lower.
JUL13      HI     8.12  1/2             SEP13   HI         7.95
           LOW    8.02  1/2                     LOW     7.83  3/4
           CLOSE  8.04   Down 8                 CLOSE   7.85  1/4  Down 9 3/4

GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 12   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.46         -0.36           -0.46         -0.61
CAD $/bu              6.34          6.45            6.34          7.43
CAD $/tonne         233.13        236.87          233.13        272.84


Direct MarkHarvest 2012                 Harvest 2013
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A    -0.95   -1.15   N/A
London      -0.68  -0.53   -0.58   N/A   -0.63   -0.94   -1.09   N/A
Hensall     -0.50   N/A    -0.50   N/A   -0.60    N/A    -1.10   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A   -0.78
Essex        N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.04   N/A
Norwich     -0.50   N/A    -0.50   N/A   -0.60    N/A    -1.10   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge -0.55   N/A    -0.55   N/A   -0.65    N/A    -1.10   N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A    -1.03   -1.08   N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A    -1.03   -1.08   N/A
Palmerston   N/A   -0.46   -0.59  -0.63   N/A    -0.73   -1.13  -0.73
Varna       -0.50  -0.55   -0.55   N/A   -0.75   -1.05   -1.15   N/A
Mitchell    -0.50  -0.55   -0.50   N/A   -0.60   -1.00   -1.10   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   -1.32   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.60   N/A     N/A     N/A   -0.77

TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    -0.65   N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.71   N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A

PROCESSORS
Toledo FM  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A        0.42N/A        0.12N/A

Toledo El. N/A                          6.68US          6.79CA

GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 13        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.29         -0.39           -0.75         -0.78
CAD $/bu              6.52          6.42            6.06          7.07
CAD $/tonne         239.48        235.75          222.66        259.85

(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange

FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             347.00 - 350.00
Bayport Oats              325.00
Bayport Barley            320.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            568.47 - 570.68
DDG's FOB Srn & Aylm      275.00 - 280.00

Friday June 14, 2013			
Commodity	Period	Price	Weekly Movement	 	 
 	 	 	 	 	 
Corn CBOT	July 	6.47 ½   	↓ 	25	cents
Soybeans CBOT	July	15.08 ¼    	 ↓	22 ½  	cents
Wheat CBOT	July	6.77 ¼  	↓ 	19 ¾ 	cents
Wheat Minn.	July	8.05 ¾  	 ↓	17  	cents
Wheat Kansas	July	7.18 ½     	↓ 	20  	cents
 	 	 			 
Canadian $	June	0.98260	 ↑	 150	points

CORN
As of June 10, US farmers had planted 95 percent of the expected corn crop. As we have seen with each weekly progress report, the planting rate continues to trail that of the five year average, though it is currently only three points behind. Of the planted corn, 85 percent has emerged at this point and the overall crop condition indicates that 63 percent of the corn crop is in good to excellent condition.

The recent USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report raised the 2012-2013 corn carryout while cutting the forecast for the current crop. Nearby futures are reflecting the tight supplies versus expected new crop supplies.

SOYBEANS
Similar to corn, soybean planting continues to lag behind the five year average. Current planting is now 71 percent of the expected crop, compared to the five year average of 84 percent. Close to half of the soybean crop has emerged. 
Wet weather has forced delays in planting soybeans, though with more dry weather on the horizon, traders are anticipating that the delays will not be as bad as previously expected. The USDA estimates for new crop soybean Supply and Demand remain unchanged from Mays report. 

WHEAT
The wheat market is under pressure not only in sympathy to the corn market but also due to expanding global wheat production. This year, world wheat production is expected to reach 696.9 million tonnes according to the USDA, this represents an increase of 6.1 percent from last year. 

2013 Harvest contract prices for June 14, 2013 at noon are as follows:
SWW at $238.41 per tonne ($6.49/bu.), SRW at $221.58 per tonne ($6.03/bu.), HRW at $234.67 per tonne ($6.39/bu.), and HRS at $261.03 per tonne ($7.10/bu.)

-- 
John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink
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