[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report & Ahmed Chilmeran Grain Commentary

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed May 16 15:36:17 EDT 2012


 FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, May 16
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0102 up 0.0073
Chicago corn closed moderately higher to higher.
      JUL12   HI 6.20  3/4                    DEC12    HI 5.28
             LOW 5.90  3/4                            LOW 5.07  1/4
            CLOSE6.20   Up 22 3/4                   CLOSE 5.26  1/4  Up 11 3/4
            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +JUL12+SEP12+SEP12
CK Low      -0.35                        5.85 230.30 -0.70         4.56 179.62
CK High     -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.65         4.61 181.59
CK Avg      -0.23                  -0.30 5.98 235.23 -0.66 -0.73   4.60 181.06
Essex Cty   -0.25                        5.95 234.24 -0.65         4.61 181.59
Mdsx Low    -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.70         4.56 179.62
Mdsx High   -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.65         4.61 181.59
Mdsx Avg    -0.20                  -0.28 6.00 236.21 -0.68 -0.74   4.59 180.60
Hensall     -0.25                        5.95 234.24 -0.63         4.64 182.57
Bruce       -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.65         4.61 181.59
Putnam      -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.65         4.61 181.59
Burford     -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.70         4.56 179.62
Port Perry  -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.70         4.56 179.62
Norfolk     -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.68         4.58 180.41
Palmerston  -0.45                        5.75 226.37 -0.75         4.51 177.65
Varna       -0.40                        5.80 228.34 -0.65         4.61 181.59
Trenton     -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.70         4.56 179.62
Winchester   0.00                        6.20 244.08 -0.55         4.71 185.52
North Gower -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.75         4.51 177.65
Huron FOB   -0.25                        5.95 234.24 -0.55         4.71 185.52
Kent FOB    -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.68         4.58 180.41
Lamb FOB    -0.20                        6.00 236.21 -0.68         4.58 180.41
Mdsx FOB    -0.20 -0.15N/A   N/A         6.00 236.21 -0.70         4.56 179.62
FOB SW Que  -0.40                        5.80 228.34 -0.25         5.01 197.33
Track        0.10                        6.30 248.02N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.60         4.66 183.55
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.40         4.86 191.43
Aylmer-Eth  -0.40 -0.35  0.50  0.55      5.80 228.34 -0.60         4.66 183.55
Sarn-Eth    N/A   -0.15  0.65  0.70                 N/A
Cllngwd-Eth -0.10N/A   N/A   N/A         6.10 240.15-0.30*         4.96 195.36
London-Cas  N/A  N/A     0.80  0.85                  -0.50         4.76 187.49
Pt.Colb-Cas N/A  N/A     0.85  0.90                  -0.45         4.81 189.46
Cardnl-Cas  N/A    0.25  1.10  1.15                  -0.45         4.81 189.46
W O Feed     0.08                   0.07 6.28 247.39
US Rep       0.70                   0.69 6.90 271.64
Toledo El.   0.32                        6.52 256.84 -0.33         4.93 194.02
TRANSFER
Sarnia      N/A                                     N/A
Pt. Stanley N/A                                     N/A
Hamilton    -0.23                        5.97235     -0.36         4.90193
MID SD CRN                                           -0.67   1/2   4.58 3/4
HI SD CRN                                            -0.65         4.61 1/4
*Wet Bid

Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0102 up 0.0073
Chicago soybeans closed mixed.
       JUL12   HI 14.23               NOV12    HI 13.10
              LOW 13.86  1/4                  LOW 12.82  1/4
             CLOSE14.22   Up 9              CLOSE 13.02  1/4  Down 2 3/4
             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +JUL1+JUL1+NOV12
CK Low       -0.70                    13.52 496.77-0.65     12.37 454.61
CK High      -0.54                    13.68 502.65-0.60     12.42 456.45
CK Average   -0.59               -0.7613.63 500.88-0.62-0.7712.41 455.90
Essex Cty    -0.36                    13.86 509.27-0.38     12.64 464.53
Mdsx Low     -0.60                    13.62 500.45-0.60     12.42 456.45
Mdsx High    -0.55                    13.67 502.29-0.60     12.42 456.45
Mdsx Average -0.58               -0.7513.65 501.37-0.60-0.7612.42 456.45
Hensall      -0.58                    13.64 501.09-0.58     12.45 457.37
Bruce        -0.55                    13.67 502.29-0.60     12.42 456.45
Putnam       -0.60                    13.62 500.45-0.60     12.42 456.45
Burford      -0.60                    13.62 500.45-0.60     12.42 456.45
Port Perry   -0.63                    13.59 499.35-0.63     12.39 455.35
Norfolk      -0.50                    13.72 504.12-0.60     12.42 456.45
Palmerston   -0.65                    13.57 498.61-0.65     12.37 454.61
Varna        -0.75                    13.47 494.94-0.70     12.32 452.77
Trenton      -0.65                    13.57 498.61-0.60     12.42 456.45
Winchester   -0.70                    13.52 496.77-0.45     12.57 461.96
North Gower  -0.79                    13.43 493.47-0.73     12.29 451.67
Huron FOB    -0.50                    13.72 504.12-0.45     12.57 461.96
Kent FOB     -0.54                    13.68 502.65-0.65     12.37 454.61
Lambton FOB  -0.54                    13.68 502.65-0.65     12.37 454.61
Middlesex FOB-0.46-0.41-0.36 N/A      13.76 505.59-0.39     12.63 464.16
PROCESSORS
Hamilton     -0.10-0.050.05 0.30      14.12 518.82-0.10     12.92 474.82
Windsor      -0.13-0.11-0.10 N/A      14.09 517.72-0.15     12.87 472.98
Winchester   -0.50                    13.72 504.12-0.40     12.62 463.80
TRANSFER
Hamilton     -0.10 N/A  N/A  N/A      14.12 518.820.00      13.02 478.49
Pt. Stanley   N/A                                  N/A
Sarnia        N/A                                  N/A
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC     0.05                     14.27 524.330.30      13.32 489.52
Toledo El.   -0.24                    13.98 513.57-0.28     12.74 468.08

Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 1.0102 up 0.0073
Chicago wheat closed higher.
JUL12      HI     6.39  3/4             JUL12   HI      6.39  3/4
           LOW        6.04                      LOW        6.04
           CLOSE  6.38  3/4  Up 30 1/4          CLOSE   6.38  3/4  Up 30 1/4
Minni wheat closed slightly to moderately higher.
JUL12      HI     7.66  3/4             SEP12   HI      7.63  1/4
           LOW    7.47  3/4                     LOW     7.43  1/2
           CLOSE  7.60   Up 9 1/2               CLOSE   7.55  1/2  Up 10 1/2
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 11   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -0.12          0.63           -0.07         -0.31
CAD $/bu              6.26          7.02            6.31          7.29
CAD $/tonne         230.14        258.03          232.00        267.80

Direct MarkHarvest 2011                 Harvest 2012
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     0.25   -0.40   N/A
London      -0.41   0.15   -0.41   N/A    0.06    0.23   -0.50   N/A
Hensall     -0.50   N/A    -0.50   N/A    0.10    N/A    -0.40   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.55   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A   -0.38
Essex        N/A    N/A    -0.48   N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.42   N/A
Norwich     -0.50   N/A    -0.50   N/A    0.10    N/A    -0.40   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge -0.50   N/A    -0.50   N/A    0.10    N/A    -0.50   N/A
Chatham      N/A    N/A    -0.45   N/A    N/A     0.28   -0.45   N/A
Brigden      N/A    N/A    -0.45   N/A    N/A     0.28   -0.45   N/A
Palmerston   N/A    0.31   -0.50  -0.30   N/A     0.35   -0.45  -0.65
Varna       -0.10   0.45   -0.50   N/A    0.00    0.45   -0.50   N/A
Mitchell    -0.50   0.05   -0.50   N/A    0.10    0.30   -0.40   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   -0.60   N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A   -0.39
TERMINAL
Sarnia       N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    -0.05   N/A    N/A     N/A    -0.05   N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM  N/A    N/A        0.18N/A        0.63    1.15   0.33N/A
Toledo El. 6.33US         6.41CA        6.41US          6.49CA
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 12        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                 0.23          0.79           -0.02         -0.36
CAD $/bu              6.62          7.17            6.36          7.19
CAD $/tonne         243.15        263.61          233.86        264.26
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             325.00
Bayport Oats              315.00
Bayport Barley            320.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            485.03 - 490.54
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 215.00 - 245.00


Wednesday May 16, 2012 

Commodity
Period
Price  
Weekly Movement - Wednesday to Friday
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 

Corn CBOT
July
6.2000
↑
41.00
cents

Soybeans CBOT
July
14.2200
↑
0.00
cents

Wheat CBOT
July
6.3875
↑
42.25
cents

Wheat Minn.
July
7.6000
↑
27.50
cents

Wheat Kansas
July
6.5600
↑
45.25
cents

 
 
 
 
 
 

Canadian $
June
0.9874
↓
147.00
points

 
Failure of political parties in Greece to form a government following an
inconclusive election earlier has left investors in a state of panic with the
idea of Athens leaving the euro zone and a spillover to larger economies being a
realistic option. European banks have been on the worst end of the deal, with
Greek banks shedding up to 18% in the past three month.The weak state of the
banking sector in Greece is characterized with Greeks pulling euros out of the
banks in fear that their country might abandon the euro, even though EU
powerhouses Germany and France intend on keeping Athens inside the club.EU’s
STOXX volatility index, a crude measure of investor fear in Europe, has risen up
by more than 100% since mid-March when Spain issues about not being able to meet
its austerity targets surfaced. The TSX initially dipped on EU fears, but
recovered by midday Wednesday.The loonies rebounded from a 16 week low on
Wednesday following better than expected North American data.
 CORN 
Corn rose in Chicago for the third straight day following US sales to China,
the world’s biggest hog producer, signaling increased demand for feedstock.
China purchased 900,000 tonnes of US corn in the 8th largest one-day trade ever,
with most of the supplies ready for shipment in the next marketing year
according to the USDA.       
SOYBEANS
Soybean was firm in Chicago with spot basis bids steady to higher at processors
and river terminals around the Midwest. Crop supplies tightened due to slow
farmer sales, according to various dealers. The China National Grain and Oils
Information Center projected a 7% drop in China's 2012 soy production after a
10.5% fall in 2011 as farmers shift to grow corn due to higher returns.
WHEAT
Wheat prices rose in Chicago to a two week high over concerns about dry
conditions for the developing US winter crop. The lack of rain hitting the
driest US areas is expected to continue in the near future and may have an
impact on yields. The cash market on the other hand was quiet for the most part
on Wednesday as farmers are focusing on planting and not booking wheat for sale.
                         
Contract prices for May 16th, 2012 at close, are as follows:
SWW at $230.26 per tonne ($6.27/bu.), HRW at $258.17 per tonne ($7.03 /bu.),
HRS at $267.94 per tonne ($7.29 /bu.), and SRW at $232.12 per tonne ($6.32
/bu.).

John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at ridgetownc.uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink 

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