[Farmmarketnews] Wednesday Ontario Commodity Report

Farm Market News - Ontario Commodity Report farmmarketnews at lists.sentex.ca
Wed Mar 9 15:51:29 EST 2011


FARM MARKET NEWS - ONTARIO COMMODITY REPORT FOR Wed, March 9
(All Bases in CAD)
Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9686 down 0.0027
Chicago corn closed mixed.
 
      MAY11   HI 7.11  1/4                    DEC11    HI 6.13  3/4
             LOW 6.91  1/4                            LOW 6.02  1/4
            CLOSE7.01   Down 4 1/2                  CLOSE 6.10  1/4  Up  1/4
 
            OLD CROP BASIS                          NEW CROP BASIS
Location    Spot   1mt   2mt   3mt  Adj $/bu   $/mt Cntrct  Adj   $/bu   $/mt
ELEVATORS        +MAY11+JUL11+JUL11
CK Low      -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
CK High     -0.93                        6.08 239.36 -1.00         5.10 200.88
CK Avg      -0.94                  -0.72 6.07 238.83 -1.00 -0.82   5.10 200.88
Essex Cty   -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Mdsx Low    -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Mdsx High   -0.93                        6.08 239.36 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Mdsx Avg    -0.94                  -0.72 6.07 238.83 -1.00 -0.82   5.10 200.88
Hensall     -0.94                        6.07 238.97 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Bruce       -0.93                        6.08 239.36 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Putnam      -0.93                        6.08 239.36 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Princeton   -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Durham      -1.00                        6.01 236.60 -1.05         5.05 198.91
Norfolk     -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Trenton     -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Winchester  -0.90                        6.11 240.54 -0.95         5.15 202.84
North Gower -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -0.85         5.25 206.78
Huron FOB   -0.90                        6.11 240.54 -0.95         5.15 202.84
Kent FOB    -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Lamb FOB    -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Mdsx FOB    -0.90 -0.90N/A   N/A         6.11 240.54 -1.00         5.10 200.88
FOB SW Que  -0.60                        6.41 252.35 -0.70         5.40 212.69
Track       -0.54                        6.47 254.71N/A
PROCESSORS
Chat-Eth    N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.80         5.30 208.75
Jhnstwn-Eth N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.75         5.35 210.72
Aylmer-Eth  N/A   -0.75 -0.75 -0.75                 N/A
Sarn-Eth    -0.70 -0.70 -0.60 -0.60      6.31 248.41N/A
Cllngwd-Eth -0.70N/A   N/A   N/A         6.31 248.41-0.70*         5.40 212.69
Kwrth-Eth   N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                    N/A
London-Cas  N/A  N/A    -0.70 -0.70                  -0.70         5.40 212.69
Pt.Colb-Cas N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.65         5.45 214.66
Cardnl-Cas  N/A  N/A   N/A   N/A                     -0.60         5.50 216.62
W O Feed    -0.56                  -0.53 6.45 254.08
 
US Rep      -0.15                  -0.12 6.86 270.07
Toledo El.  -0.17                        6.84 269.11 -0.46         5.65 222.28
 
TRANSFER
Sarnia      -0.95                        6.06 238.57 -1.00         5.10 200.88
Pt. Stanley -1.00                        6.01 236.60 -1.00         5.10200 7/8
Hamilton    -0.97                        6.04 237.78 -0.74         5.36211 1/9
 
MID SD CRN  -0.94                        6.07
HI SD CRN   -0.93                        6.08
*Wet Bid
 

Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9686 down 0.0027
Chicago soybeans closed lower.
 
       MAY11   HI 13.83  3/4          NOV11    HI 13.46
              LOW 13.47  1/4                  LOW 13.13
             CLOSE13.49   Down 33           CLOSE 13.20   Down 26
 
             OLD CROP                             NEW CROP
Location     Basis 1mt  2mt  3mt Adj.  $/bu  $/mt BasisAdj.  $/bu  $/mt
ELEVATORS         +MAY1+MAY1+JUL11
CK Low       -1.31                    12.18 447.54-1.50     11.70 429.90
CK High      -1.25                    12.24 449.74-1.40     11.80 433.58
CK Average   -1.27               -0.8512.22 448.86-1.47-1.0811.73 431.15
Essex Cty    -1.18                    12.31 452.32-1.38     11.82 434.31
Mdsx Low     -1.28                    12.21 448.64-1.50     11.70 429.90
Mdsx High    -1.20                    12.29 451.58-1.42     11.78 432.84
Mdsx Average -1.24               -0.8212.25 449.99-1.45-1.0711.75 431.62
Hensall      -1.28                    12.22 448.82-1.53     11.68 428.98
Bruce        -1.25                    12.24 449.74-1.50     11.70 429.90
Putnam       -1.25                    12.24 449.74-1.50     11.70 429.90
Princeton    -1.15                    12.34 453.42-1.40     11.80 433.58
Durham       -1.24                    12.25 450.11-1.46     11.74 431.37
Norfolk      -1.19                    12.30 451.95-1.41     11.79 433.21
Trenton      -1.45                    12.04 442.39-1.40     11.80 433.58
Winchester   -1.42                    12.07 443.50-1.32     11.88 436.52
North Gower  -1.40                    12.09 444.23-1.30     11.90 437.25
Huron FOB    -1.15                    12.34 453.42-1.45     11.75 431.74
Kent FOB     -1.24                    12.25 450.11-1.46     11.74 431.37
Lambton FOB  -1.24                    12.25 450.11-1.46     11.74 431.37
Middlesex FOB-1.05-1.00-0.90 N/A      12.44 457.09-1.12     12.08 443.86
 
PROCESSORS
Hamilton     -0.85-0.80-0.80-0.75     12.64 464.44-0.80     12.40 455.62
Windsor      -0.79-0.72-0.70-0.76     12.70 466.65-0.97     12.23 449.38
Winchester   -1.32                    12.17 447.17-1.22     11.98 440.19
 
TRANSFER
Hamilton     -0.90 N/A  N/A  N/A      12.59 462.60-0.85     12.35 453.78
Pt. Stanley  -1.35                    12.14 446.07-1.30     11.90 437.25
Sarnia       -0.98                    12.51 459.66-0.90     12.30 451.95
Owen Sound    N/A                                  N/A
Sorel QC     -0.60                    12.89 473.63-0.55     12.65 464.81
 
Toledo El.   -0.24                    13.25 486.78-0.47     12.73 467.90
 

Bank of Canada Noon exchange rate was 0.9686 down 0.0027
Chicago wheat closed lower.
MAY11      HI         7.89              JUL11   HI         8.21
           LOW    7.49  1/4                     LOW     7.81  1/4
           CLOSE  7.58  3/4  Down 21            CLOSE   7.91   Down 20 1/2
 
Minni wheat closed moderately lower.
MAY11      HI         9.29              SEP11   HI         9.30
           LOW        8.94                      LOW     8.97  3/4
           CLOSE  9.03  3/4  Down 18 1/2        CLOSE   9.09  1/2  Down 16
 
GFO Cash Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Current Crop 10   Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -1.06         -0.58           -1.06         -0.70
CAD $/bu              6.53          7.01            6.53          8.34
CAD $/tonne         239.79        257.59          239.79        306.35
 

Direct MarkHarvest 2010                 Harvest 2011
           DELIVERED BASIS              DELIVERED BASIS
Location   SWW(C) HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M) SWW(C)  HRW(C)  SRW(C) HRS(M)
ELEVATORS
Brgssvll     N/A   -0.65   -1.25   N/A    N/A    -1.20   -2.10   N/A
London      -0.99  -0.65   -1.18   N/A   -1.40   -1.45   -2.18   N/A
Hensall     -0.85   N/A    -1.20   N/A   -1.20    N/A    -2.05   N/A
Trenton      N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A    -2.00   N/A
Winchester   N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A   -1.30
Essex        N/A    N/A    -1.30   N/A    N/A     N/A    -2.16   N/A
Norwich     -0.85   N/A    -1.20   N/A   -1.10    N/A    -2.15   N/A
Mt. Elgin    N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A    N/A
Kent Bridge -0.85   N/A    -1.20   N/A   -1.10    N/A    -2.15   N/A
Chatham      N/A   -0.50   -1.25   N/A    N/A    -1.40   -2.05   N/A
Brigden      N/A   -0.50   -1.25   N/A    N/A    -1.40   -2.05   N/A
Palmerston   N/A   -0.58   -1.15  -0.19   N/A    -1.01   -2.03  -0.88
Mitchell    -0.85  -0.75   -1.20   N/A   -1.20   -1.25   -2.05   N/A
Thornton     N/A    N/A     N/A   -1.59   N/A     N/A     N/A   -1.91
North Gower  N/A    N/A     N/A    N/A    N/A     N/A     N/A   -1.34
 
TERMINAL
Sarnia      -1.21  -0.53   -1.97   N/A   -1.10   -0.91   -1.74   N/A
Hamilton     N/A    N/A    -0.50   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.20   N/A
Pt. Stanley  N/A    N/A    -1.00   N/A    N/A     N/A    -1.65   N/A
 
PROCESSORS
Toledo FM    N/A    0.21   -0.67   N/A    0.01   -0.04   -0.81   N/A
 
Toledo El. 7.08US         6.86CA        7.18US          6.97CA
 
GFO Contract Wheat Prices - DEL Terminal
Harvest 11        Soft White(C)  Hard Red(C)    Soft Red(C)    Red Spring(M)
Basis                -1.15         -0.81           -1.74         -0.99
CAD $/bu              6.76          7.10            6.17          8.10
CAD $/tonne         248.24        260.72          226.84        297.64
 
(C)-Basis over the Chicago Board of Trade futures
(M)-Basis over the Minneapolis Grain Exchange
 
FEED GRAINS
Bayport Wheat             295.00 - 300.00
Bayport Oats              300.00
Bayport Barley            257.00
FOB Hm Soymeal            373.58 - 374.68
DDG's FOB Srn, Wndr, Aylm 190.00 - 205.00


Wednesday 9 March 2011			
Commodity	Period	Price  	Weekly Movement
			
Corn CBOT	May. 	7.00 ½ 	↓	21   	cents
Soybeans CBOT	May.	13.55 ¾	↓	38 ½  	cents
Wheat CBOT	May. 	7.58 ¾	↓	52 ½  	cents
Wheat Minn.	May. 	9.03 ¾  	↓	36 ½      	cents
Wheat Kansas	May. 	8.53 ½ 	↓	56 ½   	cents
 	 	 	 	 	 
Canadian $	Jun. 	1.0302	↑	             38	points

CORN

Corn futures have climbed recently to curb demand and entice farmers to expand
plantings this spring to replenish supplies, however an across the board selloff
this week did see corn futures touch a seven day low.  The possibility of
ethanol subsidies being cut or eliminated in 2012 has the trade looking hard at
corn values.  Farmers are expected to sow significantly more corn than they did
last year.

It is expected the USDA Supply & Demand update report due out on Thursday will
see few changes from the previous report.  The planting intentions report due on
March 31 is the one that really matters for corn now and will have the attention
of all.

SOYBEANS

Soybean futures fell on Tuesday for a second straight day, pressured by a
strong dollar and high oil prices, both of which could crimp demand. Traders
were consolidating positions ahead of a USDA report that some expect to lift the
US soybean stocks forecast for the first time in 11 months; due a slowdown in
domestic usage.
Rains continue to delay harvest in Brazil, it will be interesting to see how
the USDA estimates the crop sizes in South America and the world inventory. 
Petroleum markets will carefully monitor the scheduled “Days of Rage” in
Saudi Arabia on March 11th and 20th.

WHEAT
Wheat values continue to soften despite another week of poor US crop ratings
and dryness fears.  There are concerns that the rise in oil prices driven by the
crisis in Libya may stall economic recovery in the US and elsewhere while recent
high prices appeared to be starting to curtail demand for wheat.  However, some
countries continue to make purchases as it was reported that Iraq bought another
quantity of US wheat.
The USDA reported wheat export inspections of 21.44 million bushels on Monday,
near the low end of forecasts, which the trade viewed as evidence that export
demand for US supplies has slowed down after a surge in February.  It will be
interesting to see if the USDA factors these slower exports into their Supply &
Demand update, and increases ending stock projections.



Current contract prices for March 9, 2011 at the close are as follows:
SWW at $239.84 per tonne ($6.53 /bu.), SRW at $239.84 per tonne ($6.53 /bu.),
HRW at $257.64 per tonne ($7.01 /bu.), and HRS at $306.40 per tonne ($8.34
/bu.).



John Jordan
Editor, AgriLink and Farm Market News
University of Guelph, Ridgetown Campus
Tel. 519-674-1500 x 63577
Fax. 519-674-1530
E-mail: jjordan at ridgetownc.uoguelph.ca
AgriLink website : www.ridgetownc.com/agrilink 

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